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ACI Worldwide (ACIW)
NASDAQ:ACIW

ACI Worldwide (ACIW) AI Stock Analysis

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ACI Worldwide

(NASDAQ:ACIW)

74Outperform
ACI Worldwide's stock receives a strong overall score driven by robust financial performance and positive earnings call insights, particularly from the Payment Software segment. Technical analysis shows mixed signals, suggesting potential for upward movement, while the valuation remains moderate. The positive outlook is tempered slightly by high debt levels and uncertainties introduced by the CFO's retirement.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The company reported 25% year-over-year growth in total revenue, surpassing forecasts and consensus expectations.
Software License Fees
More than 100% year-over-year growth in non-recurring revenue was driven by high-margin Software License Fees increasing significantly.
Negative Factors
2Q Guidance
The 2Q guide was below expectations, with management leaving the FY25 guidance largely unchanged.
Future Guidance
Despite strong quarterly results, the shares pulled back, potentially due to investors expecting a larger revision to future guidance.

ACI Worldwide (ACIW) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

ACI Worldwide Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionACI Worldwide (ACIW) is a leading global provider of real-time electronic payment and banking solutions. The company operates within the financial technology sector, offering a comprehensive suite of software products and services that facilitate electronic payments for financial institutions, intermediaries, merchants, and corporations. ACI Worldwide's core offerings include payment processing services, fraud detection, and risk management solutions, enabling secure and seamless transactions across various channels and platforms worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyACI Worldwide generates revenue primarily through the sale of its software solutions and services that support electronic payments and banking operations. The company's revenue model includes software licensing fees, maintenance fees, and professional services. Key revenue streams are derived from its on-premise software installations, cloud-based solutions, and Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) offerings. ACI Worldwide also earns from transaction-based fees linked to the payment processing volume handled through its platforms. Significant partnerships with banks, financial institutions, and technology providers enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings by integrating ACI's solutions into broader financial systems and networks.

ACI Worldwide Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ACI Worldwide exhibits strong financial performance, marked by significant revenue growth, healthy profit margins, and robust cash flow generation. The company maintains a stable balance sheet with manageable leverage, indicating financial stability. Potential challenges include asset growth, but overall, the financial outlook is positive, reflecting strong operational execution.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
The income statement reveals strong revenue growth with a 9.8% increase from 2023 to 2024, indicating robust demand. Gross profit margin is healthy at 50.3%, and net profit margin has improved to 12.7%, showcasing enhanced profitability. EBIT margin is solid at 19.3%, reflecting efficient operations, while EBITDA margin is 18.1%, slightly lower but still favorable.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable equity position with an equity ratio of 47.1%, indicating a balanced capital structure. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.67, suggesting manageable leverage. ROE is strong at 14.3%, reflecting good utilization of equity, but the decrease in total assets indicates potential challenges in asset growth.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The cash flow statement demonstrates a remarkable free cash flow growth of 162.6%, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.77 suggests efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.69, indicating robust cash profitability.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.59B1.45B1.42B1.37B1.29B
Gross Profit
802.50M733.37M725.83M731.73M671.86M
EBIT
308.13M223.01M203.84M209.90M144.74M
EBITDA
443.55M360.11M398.19M364.03M319.02M
Net Income Common Stockholders
203.12M121.51M142.18M127.79M72.66M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
216.39M164.24M124.98M122.06M165.37M
Total Assets
3.03B3.44B3.21B3.16B3.39B
Total Debt
947.17M1.08B1.12B1.11B1.19B
Net Debt
730.77M912.19M998.80M987.03M1.03B
Total Liabilities
1.60B2.12B2.02B1.91B2.18B
Stockholders Equity
1.42B1.32B1.19B1.24B1.21B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
343.35M130.74M103.49M175.10M289.67M
Operating Cash Flow
358.75M168.52M143.38M220.47M336.30M
Investing Cash Flow
-45.05M-37.78M60.25M-45.37M-30.70M
Financing Cash Flow
-288.20M-111.55M-171.06M-256.88M-261.57M

ACI Worldwide Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price48.87
Price Trends
50DMA
52.28
Negative
100DMA
52.57
Negative
200DMA
51.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.01
Positive
RSI
41.13
Neutral
STOCH
29.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ACIW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 48.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.45, below the 50-day MA of 52.28, and below the 200-day MA of 51.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ACIW.

ACI Worldwide Risk Analysis

ACI Worldwide disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ACI Worldwide reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ACI Worldwide Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
VNVNT
75
Outperform
$5.48B15.1035.88%0.27%-3.59%-11.30%
74
Outperform
$5.13B19.2619.69%13.11%91.21%
72
Outperform
$7.13B-3.82%9.30%20.59%
70
Neutral
$6.01B642.250.46%9.05%
60
Neutral
$11.59B10.39-7.23%2.94%7.46%-10.76%
59
Neutral
$5.67B-3.95%13.12%75.24%
56
Neutral
$5.07B-7.09%-28.33%-129.75%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ACIW
ACI Worldwide
48.87
11.58
31.05%
QTWO
Q2 Holdings
91.01
27.09
42.38%
VNT
Vontier
37.07
-3.05
-7.60%
ALGM
Allegro MicroSystems
27.51
-2.54
-8.45%
CCCS
CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings
9.12
-2.33
-20.35%
PATH
UiPath
12.92
-7.39
-36.39%

ACI Worldwide Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -10.95%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong start to the fiscal year with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, driven by the Payment Software segment. The introduction of the Connetic platform and strong cash flow further supported the positive outlook. However, the limited EBITDA growth in the Billers segment and the upcoming retirement of the CFO bring some uncertainty. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to Fiscal Year 2025
Q1 2025 revenue grew 25% compared to Q1 2024, and EBITDA increased by 95%.
Payment Software Segment Growth
Payment Software segment revenue increased by 42% and adjusted EBITDA more than doubled compared to Q1 2024.
Introduction of Connetic
Officially named the next-generation payments hub solution 'Connetic'. The solution is cloud-native and offers enhanced capabilities such as AI-driven analytics.
Biller Segment Growth
Biller segment revenue increased by 11% in Q1 2025, with new ARR bookings up about 40% over Q1 2024.
Strong Cash Flow and Financial Position
Cash flow from operating activities was $78 million, with $230 million in cash on hand and a net debt leverage ratio of 1.2x.
Raised Full-Year Revenue Guidance
Full-year revenue is now expected to be in the range of $1.69 billion to $1.72 billion.
Negative Updates
Limited Growth in Billers Segment EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for the Billers segment increased by only 1% from Q1 2024, despite an 11% increase in revenue.
Scott Behrens' Retirement
Scott Behrens, CFO, announced his plans to retire, which may lead to a transition period for the financial leadership of the company.
Company Guidance
During ACI Worldwide Inc.'s Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided an optimistic financial outlook for the year, driven by a robust start with a 25% increase in revenue and a 95% surge in EBITDA. The Payment Software segment outperformed with a 42% revenue growth and more than doubled adjusted EBITDA, while the Biller segment saw an 11% revenue increase. The company has raised its full-year revenue guidance to $1.69 billion-$1.72 billion and expects adjusted EBITDA between $480 million and $495 million. For Q2, anticipated revenue is $375 million-$385 million with adjusted EBITDA projected between $55 million and $65 million. ACI also emphasized its strong liquidity position, with $230 million in cash and a net debt leverage ratio of 1.2x. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, the company remains confident in its strategy and potential for long-term growth, highlighting the positive reception of its new Connetic platform, which is expected to expand its market reach.

ACI Worldwide Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
ACI Worldwide Announces CFO Retirement Amid Strong Q1 Results
Positive
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, ACI Worldwide announced the retirement of Scott Behrens, their Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Chief Accounting Officer, with a successor yet to be determined. The company reported strong financial results for Q1 2025, with a 25% revenue increase and a net income of $59 million, compared to a net loss in Q1 2024. ACI Worldwide’s Payment Software segment saw a 42% revenue growth, and the company raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance, reflecting confidence in its strategic execution and financial outlook.

Spark’s Take on ACIW Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, ACIW is a Outperform.

ACI Worldwide’s overall score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, which are the primary drivers of the high score. Technical analysis shows mixed signals, with some potential for upward movement. Valuation is moderate, with a P/E ratio suggesting the stock is fairly valued, although the lack of a dividend yield is a minor drawback.

To see Spark’s full report on ACIW stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ACI Worldwide Reports Strong 2024 Financial Performance
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

ACI Worldwide reported a strong financial performance for the year ending December 31, 2024, with a 10% increase in total revenue to $1.594 billion and a 67% rise in net income to $203 million. The company also saw a significant growth in cash flow from operating activities, which more than doubled to $359 million. The bank and merchant segments showed notable revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth, while the biller segment experienced a decrease in adjusted EBITDA due to non-recurring margin benefits. ACI Worldwide is poised for continued growth in 2025, with expected revenue growth between 7% and 9% and a focus on becoming a leader in Intelligent Payments Orchestration.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.