JPMorgan analyst Jimmy Bhullar believes Globe Life is among the most compelling stocks in the insurance sector, and one that “presents esoteric risk/upside that is not correlated with macro or sector-specific trends.” Although there is downside risk to shares if the recent allegations are proven true, the stock price is already discounting a “relatively onerous outcome, even following its recent recovery,” the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes the significant recent volatility in Globe Life shares affirms its view that the stock price is being driven more by fear and technical factors than a fundamental analysis of the economic value of the business under reasonable positive or negative scenarios. It believes management addressed concerns about the most serious allegations – the Renee Zinsky lawsuit and accusations of kickbacks – and provided its justification for not including the Department of Justice inquiry in the annual filing. JPMorgan keeps an Overweight rating on the shares with a $136 price target.
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