The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) rallied 1.54% on Monday, lifted by optimism over a possible end to the U.S. government shutdown and a tech stock rally.
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Within SPY’s holdings, the Technology, Consumer Discretionary, Communication Services, and Materials sectors posted gains today, while the Real Estate, Utilities, and Consumer Staples sectors declined.
Importantly, SPY closely tracks the S&P 500 Index (SPX), which rose 1.54%. Also, the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NDX) gained 2.2%.
Key Catalysts That Can Move SPY
Looking ahead, potential catalysts for volatility in the SPY ETF are a lineup of Federal Reserve official speeches this week, updates on the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, and key corporate earnings reports from companies such as Cisco (CSCO) and The Walt Disney Company (DIS).
Fund Flows and Sentiment
SPY’s 5-day net inflows totaled $3 billion, showing that investors put capital in SPY over the past five trading days. Meanwhile, its three-month average trading volume is 73.8 million shares.
It must be noted that retail sentiment remains neutral, while hedge fund managers have increased their holdings of the SPY ETF in the last quarter.
SPY’s Price Forecasts and Holdings
According to TipRanks’ unique ETF analyst consensus, which is based on a weighted average of analyst ratings on its holdings, SPY is a Moderate Buy. The Street’s average price target of $779.25 for the SPY ETF implies an upside potential of 14.38%.
Currently, SPY’s five holdings with the highest upside potential are DuPont de Nemours (DD), Loews (L), Fiserv (FI), Moderna (MRNA), and Dexcom (DXCM).
Meanwhile, its five holdings with the greatest downside potential are Paramount Skydance (PSKY), Incyte (INCY), Tesla (TSLA), Expeditors (EXPD), and Ford Motor (F).
Revealingly, SPY’s ETF Smart Score is eight, implying that this ETF is likely to outperform the broader market.
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