Shares of Origin Energy (ASX:ORG) closed 34.8% higher on November 10 following a takeover bid. Australia’s leading electricity and natural gas retailer said it received a takeover bid from a consortium led by Canada-based Brookfield Asset Management (NYSE:BAM) TSE:BAM.A), Canada’s leading global alternative asset manager.
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Per the offer, Brookfield Asset Management, along with MidOcean Energy, an LNG company formed and managed by EIG, intends to acquire all of Origin’s shares for AU$9 a piece. This indicates a premium of 54.9% to its closing price of $5.81 on November 9. Also, it is 60.6% higher than the ORG’s one-month volume weighted average price (VWAP) of $5.60.
Overall, the deal values Origin Energy at AU$18.4 billion (enterprise value).
Although investors cheered the news (as seen by the jump in the stock price), the uncertainty regarding the closure of the deal at this early stage poses a risk.
Is Origin Energy Stock a Good Buy?
Origin Energy stock is a Moderate Buy on TipRanks based on three Buy and Seven Hold recommendations. Due to the spike in ORG stock, these analysts’ average price target of AU$6.26 implies 20.1% downside potential.
Along with analysts, ORG stock has a positive signal from bloggers. Meanwhile, it has a Smart Score of six on 10, implying a Neutral outlook.