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RTH - AI Analysis

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RTH

VanEck Retail ETF (RTH)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$276.00
The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) has a solid overall rating, driven by strong contributions from top holdings like Amazon and TJX Companies. Amazon’s robust financial performance and strategic advancements, despite valuation concerns, provide significant support to the fund. TJX Companies adds further strength with its sales growth and operational efficiencies, although its high P/E ratio poses a minor risk. However, weaker holdings like Lowe’s and O’Reilly Auto, which face financial risks and bearish technical indicators, slightly weigh on the ETF’s rating. The fund’s concentration in retail could pose risks if the sector faces economic challenges.
Positive Factors
Strong Top Holdings
Several key holdings, such as Walmart, TJX Companies, and McKesson, have delivered strong year-to-date performance, supporting the ETF's overall returns.
Sector Diversification
The ETF is diversified across consumer cyclical, consumer defensive, and health care sectors, reducing reliance on a single industry.
Reasonable Expense Ratio
The fund charges a relatively low expense ratio, making it cost-effective compared to many actively managed funds.
Negative Factors
High Concentration in Top Holdings
Amazon alone accounts for nearly 19% of the portfolio, increasing the risk tied to the performance of a single company.
Weak Recent Performance
The ETF's one-month performance has been slightly negative, indicating short-term challenges in the retail sector.
Limited Geographic Exposure
The fund is entirely focused on U.S. companies, offering no diversification across international markets.

RTH vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

RTH Summary

The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) is an investment fund that focuses on the consumer discretionary sector, specifically retail companies. It includes a mix of well-known names like Amazon and Walmart, as well as other major players in e-commerce and brick-and-mortar retail. This ETF is designed for investors who want to benefit from the growth and innovation in the retail industry, which is constantly evolving to meet consumer needs. However, since it focuses heavily on retail, its performance can be affected by changes in consumer spending habits and economic conditions.
How much will it cost me?The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) has an expense ratio of 0.35%, which means you’ll pay $3.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This expense ratio is slightly higher than average for ETFs because it is a sector-focused fund, which often requires more active management to maintain its targeted exposure. It’s important to consider this cost when evaluating your investment options.
What would affect this ETF?The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) could benefit from continued growth in e-commerce and technological advancements, especially with top holdings like Amazon and Walmart driving innovation in online shopping and logistics. However, rising interest rates or economic slowdowns could negatively impact consumer spending, which is crucial for the retail sector. Additionally, regulatory changes or supply chain disruptions could pose challenges for some of the ETF's key companies.

RTH Top 10 Holdings

The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) leans heavily into consumer discretionary giants, with Amazon and Walmart leading the charge. Walmart’s steady sales growth and strategic initiatives have been a bright spot, while Amazon’s mixed performance, weighed down by challenges in its cloud business, has held the fund back. Health care names like CVS Health and McKesson are providing a surprising boost, thanks to strong momentum and earnings growth. Meanwhile, Home Depot and Lowe’s are lagging, as bearish technical trends and financial risks dampen their outlook. Overall, the fund’s global exposure is anchored in retail innovation but faces sector-specific headwinds.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Amazon19.90%$50.97M$2.46T19.49%
77
Outperform
Walmart9.43%$24.17M$816.90B25.89%
75
Outperform
Costco7.71%$19.75M$404.37B3.79%
68
Neutral
Home Depot7.31%$18.73M$376.30B-3.69%
75
Outperform
TJX Companies5.15%$13.19M$157.69B25.44%
79
Outperform
McKesson5.12%$13.13M$100.46B61.74%
74
Outperform
CVS Health4.91%$12.58M$102.23B42.93%
74
Outperform
O'Reilly Auto4.12%$10.56M$80.20B21.99%
60
Neutral
Lowe's4.12%$10.55M$133.75B-8.76%
60
Neutral
AutoZone3.49%$8.94M$61.69B22.90%
58
Neutral

RTH Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
249.40
Negative
100DMA
244.76
Positive
200DMA
237.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Positive
RSI
43.61
Neutral
STOCH
36.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RTH, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 248.09, equal to the 50-day MA of 249.40, and equal to the 200-day MA of 237.63, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RTH.

RTH Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$253.55M0.35%
72
Outperform
$991.56M0.20%
68
Neutral
$943.95M0.47%
61
Neutral
$927.47M1.11%
61
Neutral
$457.81M0.39%
71
Outperform
$158.13M0.65%
67
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RTH
VanEck Retail ETF
246.52
34.15
16.08%
CRBN
iShares MSCI ACWI Low Carbon Target ETF
IHAK
iShares Cybersecurity & Tech ETF
EIPI
FT Energy Income Partners Enhanced Income ETF
RXI
iShares Global Consumer Discretionary ETF
IBUY
Amplify Online Retail ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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