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NATO - ETF AI Analysis

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NATO

Themes Transatlantic Defense ETF (NATO)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
NATO, the Themes Transatlantic Defense ETF, has a solid overall rating that reflects a portfolio anchored by strong defense and aerospace leaders with some pockets of weakness. High-quality holdings like General Dynamics, RTX, and GE Aerospace support the fund’s quality through strong financial performance, robust order backlogs, and positive earnings outlooks, while names like Boeing and Airbus introduce more risk due to financial challenges, valuation concerns, and operational or supply chain issues. The main risk factor is the ETF’s concentration in the defense and aerospace sector, which makes it sensitive to industry-specific issues such as government spending trends, supply chain disruptions, and sector-wide valuation swings.
Positive Factors
Strong Top Holdings
Many of the largest positions, such as GE Aerospace, Rolls-Royce, Howmet Aerospace, and BAE Systems, have shown strong year-to-date performance, helping support the ETF’s overall returns.
Focused Transatlantic Defense Theme
The fund concentrates on major U.S. and European defense and aerospace companies, giving investors targeted exposure to a sector that can benefit from steady government defense spending.
Moderate Expense Ratio
The ETF’s expense ratio is moderate for a specialized thematic fund, so investors are not paying unusually high ongoing fees for this focused exposure.
Negative Factors
Heavy Concentration in Industrials
With the vast majority of assets in the industrials sector, the fund is highly exposed to sector-specific risks such as changes in defense budgets or aerospace demand.
Single-Stock and Country Concentration
A small group of large holdings and a strong tilt toward U.S. companies mean the ETF is less diversified and more vulnerable if these names or the U.S. market weaken.
Recent Short-Term Weakness
The ETF has experienced a recent one-month decline and includes a notable holding like Boeing that has shown weak year-to-date performance, which can add near-term volatility.

NATO vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NATO Summary

The Themes Transatlantic Defense ETF (ticker NATO) is a fund that tracks the Solactive Transatlantic Aerospace and Defense Index. It invests mainly in industrial companies that build planes, jets, missiles, and other defense systems across the U.S. and Europe. Well-known holdings include Boeing and Lockheed Martin, along with other major defense contractors. Someone might invest in this ETF to get diversified exposure to the defense industry, which often benefits from steady government spending and long-term contracts. A key risk is that it is heavily focused on defense and aerospace, so it can rise or fall sharply with changes in military budgets, politics, or global conflicts.
How much will it cost me?The Themes Transatlantic Defense ETF (NATO) has an expense ratio of 0.35%, which means you’ll pay $3.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This cost is slightly higher than average for ETFs because it is actively managed to focus on a specific niche, the Aerospace & Defense sector, requiring more research and specialized management.
What would affect this ETF?The NATO ETF could benefit from increased government defense spending and heightened geopolitical tensions, which often drive demand for advanced aerospace and defense technologies. However, it may face challenges from regulatory changes, budget cuts in defense spending, or economic slowdowns that could impact the industrial sector globally.

NATO Top 10 Holdings

NATO leans heavily into big transatlantic aerospace and defense names, with U.S. contractors like Lockheed Martin, RTX, and General Dynamics doing much of the heavy lifting as their shares keep rising on strong backlogs and steady government demand. Howmet Aerospace has been a standout, adding extra thrust to returns. On the flip side, Boeing has been dragging the fund, and Airbus has shown more mixed momentum, tempering gains. With most holdings in industrials and a blend of U.S. and European champions, this ETF is a focused bet on the defense and aerospace story across the Atlantic.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
GE Aerospace9.16%$9.40M$373.60B33.56%
72
Outperform
RTX8.43%$8.66M$290.06B37.66%
74
Outperform
Rolls-Royce Holdings7.22%$7.42M£122.32B39.31%
71
Outperform
Boeing7.10%$7.29M$170.83B5.01%
54
Neutral
Lockheed Martin5.80%$5.96M$134.49B38.37%
70
Outperform
Airbus Group SE5.23%$5.37M$183.57B21.05%
68
Neutral
Howmet Aerospace4.97%$5.11M$112.93B58.06%
67
Neutral
SAFRAN SA4.73%$4.86M€141.08B21.93%
67
Neutral
General Dynamics3.84%$3.94M$103.74B22.27%
80
Outperform
BAE Systems3.80%$3.91M£61.36B19.59%
61
Neutral

NATO Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
40.43
Positive
100DMA
39.93
Positive
200DMA
39.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.69
Negative
RSI
68.93
Neutral
STOCH
95.66
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NATO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.79, equal to the 50-day MA of 40.43, and equal to the 200-day MA of 39.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.66 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NATO.

NATO Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$107.26M0.35%
65
Neutral
$986.13M0.75%
73
Outperform
$944.64M0.49%
67
Neutral
$941.89M0.40%
61
Neutral
$794.67M0.60%
64
Neutral
$759.45M0.75%
61
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NATO
Themes Transatlantic Defense ETF
43.52
7.47
20.72%
IVES
Dan IVES Wedbush AI Revolution ETF
TRFK
Pacer Data and Digital Revolution ETF
GII
SPDR S&P Global Infrastructure ETF
JETS
U.S. Global Jets ETF
ARKX
ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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