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Exela Technologies (XELA) AI Stock Analysis

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XELA

Exela Technologies

(Other OTC:XELA)

Select Model
Rating:37Underperform
Price Target:$0.07â–²(32.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:02/04/26

Dominant weak financial performance (negative equity, losses, revenue decline) drives low score, compounded by poor valuation and bearish technicals; high risk with no positive offsets.

Positive Factors
Recurring, contracted revenueExela’s business model centers on multi-year contracts and recurring managed-services revenue, which provide durable revenue visibility and stickiness. This recurring structure supports predictable cash flows and customer retention potential, aiding medium-term planning and investment.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue contractionA sustained ~35% TTM revenue decline erodes scale, reduces fixed-cost absorption, and pressures margins. Continued top-line shrinkage limits reinvestment capacity, risks contract renewals, and undermines the company’s ability to rebuild growth without meaningful operational or commercial improvement.

Exela Technologies (XELA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-75%-50%-25%0%25%50%75%100%XELA+25.00%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$55.50K
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
2,073
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.0
Beta (1Y)
22.26
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
12,600
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Application

Exela Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Exela Technologies, Inc. delivers a range of business solutions globally, focusing on transaction processing, managing enterprise information, document handling, and digitalizing business operations. The company organizes its services across three pr...

How the Company Makes Money

Exela primarily makes money by selling technology-enabled business process services and automation solutions to enterprises and public-sector customers under contracted arrangements. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) Managed services and BPO...

Exela Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 28, 2024(Q3-2024)|% Change Since:-96.21%|Next Earnings Date:Aug 09, 2020
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call presented a mix of positive revenue growth and operational efficiencies with significant challenges in margin decline, net loss, and NASDAQ delisting. While there are promising growth opportunities and improvements, the financial struggles and delisting weigh heavily.

Positive Updates

Revenue Growth
Third quarter revenues were $269.2 million, up 6.3% year-over-year. Information and Transaction Processing Solutions increased by 11.5% year-over-year.

Negative Updates

Gross Margin Decline
Q3 gross margins were 20.2%, down 330 basis points sequentially and 140 basis points year-over-year due to higher postage costs.

Company Guidance

During the Exela Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Call, interim CFO Matt Brown provided detailed financial guidance, highlighting a 6.3% year-over-year increase in revenues, reaching $269.2 million. Information and Transaction Processing Solutions (ITPS) grew by 11.5% year-over-year and 22.4% sequentially, driven by a large project from an existing customer, while Healthcare Solutions and Legal and Loss Prevention Services (LLPS) saw declines of 5.3% and 2.4% year-over-year, respectively. Gross margins dropped by 330 basis points sequentially and 140 basis points year-over-year, primarily due to increased postage costs. Exela achieved a net loss of $24.9 million, a $2 million improvement sequentially, with adjusted EBITDA at $14.6 million and a 6.7% sequential improvement. The company renewed over $113 million in Total Contract Value (TCV) and added approximately $40 million in Annual Contract Value (ACV) with 81 new logos. Despite being delisted from NASDAQ, Exela remains focused on growing revenue, improving gross margins, and enhancing profitability and liquidity.

Exela Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Severe revenue contraction (35% TTM decline), persistent net losses, negative equity (-$28.3M), high leverage, and weak cash flow trends indicate critical financial instability and insolvency risk.

Income Statement

27Negative

Balance Sheet

14Very Negative

Cash Flow

34Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Mar 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue-284.40M142.77M1.06B1.08B1.17B1.29B
Gross Profit-43.97M35.10M230.70M199.68M277.51M269.02M
EBITDA17.87M5.86M84.63M-174.68M114.46M102.89M
Net Income-37.96M-12.37M-125.16M-415.58M-142.39M-178.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets105.18M88.05M636.34M721.91M1.04B1.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.12M12.10M67.15M17.93M29.69M68.22M
Total Debt39.24M35.39M1.11B1.15B1.32B1.64B
Total Liabilities133.46M109.39M1.50B1.53B1.70B2.08B
Stockholders Equity-28.28M-21.35M-855.50M-807.59M-666.77M-926.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.53M-6.49M-8.34M-109.13M-128.06M-45.27M
Operating Cash Flow7.69M-5.23M3.56M-87.16M-111.53M-29.78M
Investing Cash Flow-759.00K-1.71M17.92M-21.77M-9.26M21.44M
Financing Cash Flow8.30M12.45M624.00K106.64M98.65M63.36M

Exela Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price0.05

Price Trends

50DMA0.03Positive
100DMA0.04Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.00Negative
RSI60.62Neutral
STOCH100.00Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XELA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.02, above the 50-day MA of 0.03, and compared to the 200-day MA of , indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XELA.

Exela Technologies Risk Analysis

Exela Technologies disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Exela Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Our securities have been delisted from Nasdaq and experience the risks of trading in an over-the-counter market.Q3, 2024
2.Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds, and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities.Q3, 2024
3.Item 3. Defaults Upon Senior Securities.Q3, 2024

Exela Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

XELA against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
SMSISMSI46Neutral$12.69M-0.64-84.56%―-9.51%62.16%
IDAIIDAI45Neutral$16.03M-1.16-141.04%―2.13%95.54%
CXAICXAI44Neutral$3.11M-0.04-135.04%―-20.40%32.15%
XELAXELA37Underperform$55.50K-0.002.82%―――

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%XELASMSICXAIRMSGIDAIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
XELA and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
XELAExela Technologies0.05-0.01-16.67%
SMSISmith Micro2.27-1.24-35.40%
CXAICxapp Inc.1.33-33.16-96.14%
RMSGReal Messenger Corporation0.17-1.99-91.90%
IDAIT Stamp, Inc. Class A2.82-1.37-32.70%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Feb 03, 2026