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Waterstone Financial (WSBF) AI Stock Analysis

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WSBF

Waterstone Financial

(NASDAQ:WSBF)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:$20.00▼(-0.70% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

Waterstone Financial scores in the below-average range, driven primarily by weak fundamentals: sharply contracted revenue and margins versus the 2021 mortgage-boom peak, eroding shareholders' equity, and highly erratic cash flow that limits earnings visibility. Technicals are neutral, with the stock trading below its 50- and 100-day moving averages but above its 200-day, and momentum indicators showing no clear direction. The main offset is valuation — an 11.5x P/E, a 3.3% dividend yield, and low beta provide downside cushion and income for patient investors. A sustained re-rating would require evidence that the recent improvement in net income and margins can continue.

Positive Factors
Profitability RecoveryThe sharp improvement in net income and margin shows that profitability has recovered from the weaker 2023–2024 period. If maintained, stronger earnings can support capital formation, investment in the banking franchise, and greater resilience through changing credit and interest-rate conditions.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionThe substantial TTM revenue decline indicates that the recovery in bottom-line profitability is occurring despite weaker top-line performance. Continued revenue pressure could limit operating leverage, constrain future earnings growth, and make the improved margin profile harder to sustain.

Waterstone Financial (WSBF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%WSBF+37.39%SPY+14.97%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$362.06M
Dividend Yield
3.28%
Average Volume (3M)
71.44K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.7
Beta (1Y)
0.39
Revenue Growth
4.60%
EPS Growth
52.13%
Country
US
Employees
593
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

Waterstone Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Waterstone Financial, Inc. functions as a bank holding company, with its principal operations conducted through its subsidiary, WaterStone Bank SSB. It offers a broad spectrum of financial services to customers situated in southeastern Wisconsin, USA...

How the Company Makes Money

Waterstone Financial primarily makes money through its banking subsidiary by earning interest income on loans and investments and by generating fee-based income from banking and mortgage-related services. A major revenue driver is net interest income...

Waterstone Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Weak overall. The income statement (38) shows revenue down roughly 40% from the 2021 peak to $162M TTM, with a further ~21.7% TTM decline, and margins far below historical norms despite a partial recovery (TTM net margin 18.6%, EBIT margin 12.3%). The balance sheet (50) is adequate for a regional bank — debt/equity of 1.17x, modest asset growth to $2.25B, and declining total debt — but equity has eroded from $432.8M to $351.1M and ROE of 8.6% trails stronger peers. Cash flow (35) is the biggest weakness, swinging from $206.7M in 2022 to negative $27.6M in 2023 and $44.1M TTM, with very thin operating cash flow coverage of total debt (2.4%), reflecting the unpredictability of a mortgage-heavy model.

Income Statement

38Negative

Balance Sheet

50Neutral

Cash Flow

35Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue162.01M201.61M199.38M176.97M171.06M268.47M
Gross Profit105.99M143.63M132.55M127.32M156.80M258.09M
EBITDA22.89M35.99M26.48M14.33M28.51M98.16M
Net Income30.10M26.40M18.69M9.38M19.49M70.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.25B2.26B2.21B2.21B2.03B2.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments275.55M234.22M191.24M235.84M232.55M541.76M
Total Debt412.00M412.26M446.52M466.05M386.78M477.13M
Total Liabilities1.90B1.91B1.87B1.87B1.66B1.78B
Stockholders Equity351.13M349.39M339.13M344.06M370.49M432.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow42.78M23.02M46.96M-28.28M205.96M141.23M
Operating Cash Flow44.74M24.18M48.06M-27.58M206.66M142.01M
Investing Cash Flow-33.67M-8.74M-23.96M-159.22M-335.74M160.06M
Financing Cash Flow-43.80M15.91M-20.76M176.58M-201.00M-20.12M

Waterstone Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price20.14

Price Trends

50DMA20.13Positive
100DMA20.20Negative
200DMA19.05Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.05Negative
RSI52.18Neutral
STOCH42.25Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WSBF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.95, above the 50-day MA of 20.13, and above the 200-day MA of 19.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WSBF.

Waterstone Financial Risk Analysis

Waterstone Financial disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Waterstone Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Risk Related to Mortgage Banking OperationsQ2, 2026
2.We face funds transfer and payments-related risks.Q4, 2025
3.The grant of bank charters and special purpose fintech charters by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency to fintech companies could present financial risk and market risk to us generally and the payments processing business specifically.Q4, 2025

Waterstone Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

WSBF against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
PCBPCB81Outperform$421.15M10.0010.72%2.93%3.68%23.15%
FNLCFNLC80Outperform$415.92M10.3813.69%4.08%2.06%24.55%
CZFSCZFS78Outperform$412.85M9.4312.40%2.36%4.04%26.08%
PLBCPLBC75Outperform$435.47M10.4315.86%2.10%24.22%39.38%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
FSBWFSBW58Neutral$339.44M11.139.14%2.68%6.16%-7.24%
WSBFWSBF50Neutral$360.98M11.688.63%3.28%4.60%52.13%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%WSBFFNLCPLBCFSBWCZFSPCBDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
WSBF and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
WSBFWaterstone Financial20.145.4537.12%
FNLCThe First Bancorp Inc36.7813.0755.12%
PLBCPlumas62.9122.3455.06%
FSBWFs Bancorp, Inc.43.215.3214.05%
CZFSCitizens Financial Services85.4833.2963.78%
PCBPCB Bancorp29.909.3045.15%

Waterstone Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Waterstone Financial announces orderly director board resignation

Neutral
Oct 16, 2026

On October 16, 2026, Waterstone Financial, Inc., the holding company for WaterStone Bank, reported that director Derek L. Tyus will resign from the boards of both the company and the bank, effective October 20, 2026. Tyus, who joined the boards in 20...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026