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Waterstone Financial (WSBF) AI Stock Analysis

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WSBF

Waterstone Financial

(NASDAQ:WSBF)

Select Model
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:$21.00▲(2.44% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/07/26

Waterstone Financial's overall score is weighed down most significantly by weak financial performance, including sharp revenue declines from 2021 peaks, compressed margins, and highly volatile cash flows characteristic of its mortgage-heavy model. These fundamental concerns are the dominant factor. On the positive side, the stock's valuation is reasonable with a P/E of ~12x and a 3.1% dividend yield, and technical indicators show the stock in a sustained uptrend above all major moving averages. However, overbought stochastic readings temper the technical outlook. Routine but positive corporate governance outcomes provide marginal support. The stock offers value and income appeal but carries meaningful cyclical and earnings quality risks.

Positive Factors
Improving profitability and ROENet income and margins have meaningfully recovered versus the weak 2023–2024 period, with TTM net income and margin expansion indicating the franchise is translating revenue and cost dynamics into sustained earnings. This strengthens internal capital generation and supports reinvestment and payouts over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Material TTM revenue declineA sharp ~21.7% TTM revenue contraction signals reduced loan origination or fee activity, limiting the top-line base that drives net interest income and noninterest fees. Persisting revenue pressure constrains margin recovery and makes earnings gains harder to sustain without structural demand improvement.

Waterstone Financial (WSBF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%WSBF+39.21%SPY+15.63%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$368.53M
Dividend Yield
3.22%
Average Volume (3M)
72.46K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.9
Beta (1Y)
0.45
Revenue Growth
4.60%
EPS Growth
52.13%
Country
US
Employees
593
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

Waterstone Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Waterstone Financial, Inc. functions as a bank holding company, with its principal operations conducted through its subsidiary, WaterStone Bank SSB. It offers a broad spectrum of financial services to customers situated in southeastern Wisconsin, USA...

How the Company Makes Money

Waterstone Financial primarily makes money through (1) net interest income and (2) noninterest income. Net interest income is earned by originating and holding loans and other interest-earning assets and funding those assets with deposits and other b...

Waterstone Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Waterstone Financial's financials reflect significant profitability compression from 2021 peaks, with revenue down ~40% and margins well below historical highs despite partial recovery. The income statement score of 38 highlights persistent revenue contraction and compressed margins. The balance sheet score of 50 shows manageable leverage but declining equity and below-average ROE. The cash flow score of 35 underscores extreme volatility driven by the mortgage-heavy business model, with thin debt service coverage. While TTM net income and margins show improvement, the overall financial trajectory remains weak.

Income Statement

38Negative

Balance Sheet

50Neutral

Cash Flow

35Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue162.01M201.61M199.38M176.97M171.06M268.47M
Gross Profit105.99M143.63M132.55M127.32M156.80M258.09M
EBITDA22.89M35.99M26.48M14.33M28.51M98.16M
Net Income30.10M26.40M18.69M9.38M19.49M70.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.25B2.26B2.21B2.21B2.03B2.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments275.55M234.22M191.24M235.84M232.55M541.76M
Total Debt412.00M412.26M446.52M466.05M386.78M477.13M
Total Liabilities1.90B1.91B1.87B1.87B1.66B1.78B
Stockholders Equity351.13M349.39M339.13M344.06M370.49M432.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow42.78M17.86M46.96M-28.28M205.96M141.23M
Operating Cash Flow44.74M19.02M48.06M-27.58M206.66M142.01M
Investing Cash Flow-33.67M-3.58M-23.96M-159.22M-335.74M160.06M
Financing Cash Flow-43.80M15.91M-20.76M176.58M-201.00M-20.12M

Waterstone Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price20.50

Price Trends

50DMA20.22Positive
100DMA20.13Positive
200DMA18.96Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.02Negative
RSI60.80Neutral
STOCH74.67Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WSBF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.50 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.82, above the 50-day MA of 20.22, and above the 200-day MA of 18.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WSBF.

Waterstone Financial Risk Analysis

Waterstone Financial disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Waterstone Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

2 New Risks
1.Risk Related to Mortgage Banking OperationsQ2, 2026
2.The following risk factors applicable to the Company supplement those disclosed in “Risk Factors” in Item 1A of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025 and should be read in conjunction therewith.Q2, 2026

Waterstone Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

WSBF against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CZFSCZFS79Outperform$406.94M9.7512.40%2.31%4.04%26.08%
PCBPCB78Outperform$430.42M10.2810.72%2.78%3.68%23.37%
PLBCPLBC75Outperform$440.02M10.5415.86%2.07%24.22%39.38%
FNLCFNLC69Neutral$407.30M10.4613.69%4.04%2.06%24.58%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
FSBWFSBW64Neutral$346.56M11.439.14%2.59%5.90%-7.04%
WSBFWSBF52Neutral$356.66M11.928.63%3.22%4.60%52.13%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%WSBFFNLCPLBCFSBWCZFSPCBDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
WSBF and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
WSBFWaterstone Financial20.505.8740.12%
FNLCThe First Bancorp Inc37.1513.3155.86%
PLBCPlumas63.7823.4057.97%
FSBWFs Bancorp, Inc.44.477.2319.42%
CZFSCitizens Financial Services87.3033.6862.82%
PCBPCB Bancorp30.9510.1849.04%

Waterstone Financial Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings

Waterstone Shareholders Affirm Directors, Auditor and Pay Practices

Positive
May 19, 2026

At its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on May 19, 2026, Waterstone Financial investors elected three directors—Stephen Schmidt, Derek Tyus and Molly Mulroy—to serve terms through 2029, affirming the company’s existing gover...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2026