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Where Food Comes From (WFCF) AI Stock Analysis

WFCF

Where Food Comes From

(NASDAQ:WFCF)

Select Model
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:$17.50▲(7.96% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/02/26

The company's strong financial foundation, particularly its debt-free balance sheet and solid cash generation, is the primary support for the score. Positive operational developments and strategic growth initiatives discussed in the earnings call further bolster the outlook. However, the stock's high valuation and weak technical momentum are significant detractors, capping the overall score.

Positive Factors
Conservative Balance SheetVery low leverage reduces financial risk and preserves flexibility for investment, acquisitions, and shareholder returns. Because the company is not heavily dependent on debt financing, it should be better positioned to withstand operating volatility while funding opportunities from its balance sheet.
Negative Factors
Margin CompressionMulti-year margin deterioration suggests that higher costs or pricing pressure are limiting the conversion of revenue into earnings. Unless operating improvements persist, weaker margins could constrain reinvestment, reduce resilience during slower growth, and keep long-term earnings quality below prior levels.

Where Food Comes From (WFCF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%WFCF+30.31%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$80.72M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
45.54K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
57.9
Beta (1Y)
0.30
Revenue Growth
-2.23%
EPS Growth
-28.33%
Country
US
Employees
90
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Specialty Business Services

Where Food Comes From Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Where Food Comes From, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a third-party food verification company in North America. The company conducts on-site and desk audits to verify claims about livestock, food, other specialty crops, and agricul...

How the Company Makes Money

WFCF primarily makes money by charging customers for professional services tied to independent verification and certification programs. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) Audit and verification service fees: Fees charged for scheduling and pe...

Where Food Comes From Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:27.74%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 17, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call conveyed a generally positive operational picture: revenue growth (modest), notable improvements in gross profit, margins and operating income, strong cash generation and continued shareholder returns via buybacks. Management highlighted meaningful product diversification (RaiseWell, CARE, sustainability audits) and renewed strategic flex through a shelf registration for M&A. Offsetting these positives were a notable decline in reported net income driven by noncash digital asset valuation swings and the loss of a prior-year dividend, ongoing headwinds in the core beef business (about 50% of revenue) and limited participation in some high-risk food-safety segments. On balance, the company’s operational momentum, diversification, cash generation and shareholder-return actions outweigh the transitory and structural negatives.

Positive Updates

Revenue and Verification Growth
Total revenue increased slightly to $6.6M in Q2 2026, driven by verification and certification revenue of $5.4M (versus $5.3M in Q2 2025). Six-month total revenue rose 1% to $12.0M from $11.8M, with verification and certification revenue up 3% to $9.8M from $9.5M.

Negative Updates

Q2 Net Income Decline
Net income in Q2 was $413K ($0.08/share) versus $562K ($0.11/share) a year ago — a decline of approximately 26% year-over-year. Management attributes the majority of the Q2 decline to a $240K noncash fair market value negative swing on digital assets and the absence of a prior-year $50K dividend from a divested asset.

Company Guidance

Management did not give formal forward‑looking revenue or EPS guidance on the call; instead they provided strategic guidance and near‑term actions: re‑engaging in M&A after a roughly three‑year pause with a focus on transactions that are immediately or near‑term accretive and filing a shelf registration “in the next day or so” to increase deal flexibility (the stock traded over $20 twice this year), continuing aggressive share repurchases (≈65,000 shares repurchased in Q2 and nearly 89,500 YTD, with >$17.2M returned to shareholders since 2019) funded by strong cash generation ($1.5M cash from operations YTD and $3.4M cash at quarter end), and operational priorities to expand RaiseWell beyond beef (currently >270,000 head enrolled and beef ≈50% of revenue), grow their >50‑standard verification portfolio, and pursue service bundling to drive further revenue and margin improvement (Q2 revenue $6.6M; verification revenue $5.4M vs $5.3M LY; gross profit $2.7M, +9% YoY; gross margin 40.6% vs 37.5% LY; Q2 operating income $665K, +21% YoY; Q2 net income $413K, $0.08/share; 6‑month revenue $12.0M; verification revenue YTD $9.8M; YTD operating income $963K; YTD net income $505K, $0.10/share).

Where Food Comes From Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The balance sheet is a standout with minimal debt (D/E 0.08) and strong equity. Revenue growth of 19.6% is robust, and cash flow generation remains healthy (FCF conversion 78%). However, margin compression and declining operating cash flow trends temper the overall financial picture.

Income Statement

68Positive

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.03M24.89M25.75M25.14M24.84M21.93M
Gross Profit9.58M9.51M10.56M10.52M10.47M9.74M
EBITDA2.83M2.88M3.63M3.70M3.58M4.42M
Net Income1.45M1.54M2.12M2.15M1.99M2.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.58M12.90M15.31M16.29M18.30M19.78M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.42M3.20M2.01M2.64M4.37M5.41M
Total Debt729.00K1.44M2.55M2.80M3.13M3.55M
Total Liabilities4.76M3.59M5.37M5.47M5.82M6.04M
Stockholders Equity8.82M9.30M9.93M10.82M12.48M13.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.01M1.45M2.57M2.67M2.39M2.81M
Operating Cash Flow1.25M1.61M2.73M2.82M2.65M3.02M
Investing Cash Flow1.59M1.68M-159.00K-648.00K-267.00K-3,000
Financing Cash Flow-2.63M-2.10M-3.20M-3.90M-3.43M-1.98M

Where Food Comes From Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price16.21

Price Trends

50DMA13.36Positive
100DMA12.92Positive
200DMA12.53Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.82Negative
RSI67.22Neutral
STOCH92.98Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WFCF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.44, above the 50-day MA of 13.36, and above the 200-day MA of 12.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.98 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WFCF.

Where Food Comes From Risk Analysis

Where Food Comes From disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Where Food Comes From reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Where Food Comes From Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

WFCF against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
WFCFWFCF63Neutral$80.72M57.8515.39%―-2.23%-28.33%
SURGSURG47Neutral$8.71M-0.11193.81%―83.91%38.02%
YXTYXT47Neutral$9.58M-0.59-145.28%―――
NXTTNXTT46Neutral$7.81M-0.00-60.08%―617.83%-107.08%
PHUNPHUN46Neutral$38.27M-2.88-13.83%―14.63%11.10%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%-50%0%50%100%WFCFPHUNSURGNXTTYXTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
WFCF and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
WFCFWhere Food Comes From, Inc.16.213.6729.27%
PHUNPhunware1.87-0.58-23.67%
SURGSurgepays Inc0.16-2.42-93.64%
NXTTNext Technology Holding Inc.5.30-1650.70-99.68%
YXTYXT.COM Group Holding Limited Sponsored ADR1.45-8.65-85.64%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 02, 2026