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Where Food Comes From (WFCF) AI Stock Analysis

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WFCF

Where Food Comes From

(NASDAQ:WFCF)

Select Model
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:$18.50▲(13.50% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/13/26

WFCF earns a moderately above-average score. Its financial foundation is sound — a nearly debt-free balance sheet, consistent positive free cash flow and high cash conversion — but multi-year revenue stagnation and meaningful margin and net income erosion limit the financial performance score. Encouragingly, the most recent earnings call showed a clear inflection, with revenue growth, 380 basis points of gross margin expansion, 68% operating income growth, strong RaiseWell adoption led by the Whole Foods relationship, and expanding organic certification demand. Technicals reinforce the improving story, with the stock trading above all key moving averages on positive MACD momentum, though indicators are approaching the upper end of their range. The principal offset is valuation: a P/E near 61 with no dividend leaves little margin for error if margin pressure or tight cattle supply persists.

Positive Factors
Conservative Balance SheetVery low leverage and a solid equity base give WFCF meaningful resilience and financial flexibility. This supports continued investment in verification programs, customer growth, and technology while reducing the balance-sheet strain that can limit smaller service businesses.
Negative Factors
Profitability CompressionAlthough revenue has re-accelerated and operating profit remains positive, the lower net margin shows that growth is not yet translating into historical profitability levels. Persistent margin pressure could reduce internally generated funds and constrain the benefits of future revenue expansion.

Where Food Comes From (WFCF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%WFCF+39.44%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$81.17M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
45.99K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
70.8
Beta (1Y)
0.35
Revenue Growth
-0.66%
EPS Growth
-55.74%
Country
US
Employees
90
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Specialty Business Services

Where Food Comes From Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Where Food Comes From, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a third-party food verification company in North America. The company conducts on-site and desk audits to verify claims about livestock, food, other specialty crops, and agricul...

How the Company Makes Money

WFCF primarily makes money by charging customers for professional services tied to independent verification and certification programs. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) Audit and verification service fees: Fees charged for scheduling and pe...

Where Food Comes From Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:1.94%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive, with revenue growth, expanding certification demand, successful RaiseWell adoption, organic customer gains, wider gross margins, lower or flat SG&A, significant operating-income growth, and continued share repurchases. The main challenges were tight cattle supply, record-low herd sizes and high beef prices, along with anomalous below-operating-income items.

Positive Updates

Third-Quarter Revenue Growth
Total third-quarter revenue increased 4% to $7.3 million, including 6% growth in the core verification and certification segment, which benefited from strong demand for multiple services across the solutions portfolio.

Negative Updates

Tight Cattle Supply and Elevated Prices
The beef industry is characterized by record-high prices, record-low herd sizes, and fewer cattle moving through the system. Management also noted continued pressure from smaller herd sizes, even as beef-related demand has resurged.

Company Guidance

Management said that, based on the growth of its new offerings and “the belief that recovery of the cattle supply cycle is on the horizon,” it remains “bullish on the long-term prospects for our beef-related business.” RaiseWell had 347,000 head of cattle approved, with 368 cattle ranchers across 26 states, 52 backgrounders, 31 finishing locations and 4 processors, while the company’s organic certification business covered more than 1,500 organic operations and more than 1 million organic acres, including an increase of over 94 customers through the first 9 months of 2026; ranchers were capturing premiums of $100 per head for cattle third-party verified to one or more standards.

Where Food Comes From Financial Statement Overview

Summary

A blend of the Income Statement (55), Balance Sheet (80) and Cash Flow (70) scores. The balance sheet is the standout: total debt has been cut to roughly $616K for a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.08, with about two-thirds of assets equity-funded. Cash generation is reliable and capital-light, with TTM operating cash flow of $2.07M and free cash flow of $1.85M that exceeds reported net income and rebounded sharply from the prior full year. The drag is the income statement: revenue has been flat in the $24.8M–$25.7M range since 2022, gross margin has slipped from 44.4% (2021) to 38.3% TTM, and net income has fallen from $2.96M to $1.13M. Shrinking equity and asset bases are secondary concerns, though recent operating profit trends suggest stabilization.

Income Statement

55Neutral

Balance Sheet

80Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.34M24.89M25.75M25.14M24.84M21.93M
Gross Profit9.98M9.51M10.56M10.52M10.47M9.74M
EBITDA2.39M2.88M3.63M3.70M3.58M4.42M
Net Income1.13M1.54M2.12M2.15M1.99M2.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.37M12.90M15.31M16.29M18.30M19.78M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.43M3.20M2.01M2.64M4.37M5.41M
Total Debt616.00K1.44M2.55M2.80M3.13M3.55M
Total Liabilities4.99M3.59M5.37M5.47M5.82M6.04M
Stockholders Equity9.38M9.30M9.93M10.82M12.48M13.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.85M1.45M2.57M2.67M2.39M2.81M
Operating Cash Flow2.07M1.61M2.73M2.82M2.65M3.02M
Investing Cash Flow-219.00K1.68M-159.00K-648.00K-267.00K-3,000
Financing Cash Flow-2.18M-2.10M-3.20M-3.90M-3.43M-1.98M

Where Food Comes From Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price16.30

Price Trends

50DMA13.89Positive
100DMA13.35Positive
200DMA12.77Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.70Negative
RSI59.66Neutral
STOCH59.90Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WFCF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.30 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.59, above the 50-day MA of 13.89, and above the 200-day MA of 12.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WFCF.

Where Food Comes From Risk Analysis

Where Food Comes From disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Where Food Comes From reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

2 New Risks
1.Increased scrutiny and changing expectations from stakeholders with respect to the Company's ESG practices may result in additional costs or risks.Q4, 2023
2.Unfavorable global economic conditions, including any adverse macroeconomic conditions or geopolitical events, including the conflict between Ukraine and Russia, and the conflict between Israel and Hamas could adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations or liquidity.Q4, 2023

Where Food Comes From Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

WFCF against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
WFCFWFCF68Neutral$84.95M70.8112.28%―-0.66%-55.74%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
NXTTNXTT46Neutral$13.71M-0.00-35.97%―451.55%-106.45%
PHUNPHUN44Neutral$35.98M-2.66-13.83%―14.63%11.10%
SURGSURG44Neutral$8.74M-0.09193.81%―83.91%38.02%
YXTYXT43Neutral$7.67M-0.45-145.28%―――

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%0%100%WFCFPHUNSURGNXTTYXTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
WFCF and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
WFCFWhere Food Comes From, Inc.16.304.3536.40%
PHUNPhunware1.73-0.33-16.02%
SURGSurgepays Inc0.14-1.76-92.58%
NXTTNext Technology Holding Inc.4.48-1307.52-99.66%
YXTYXT.COM Group Holding Limited Sponsored ADR1.10-7.53-87.25%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2026