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Virco Manufacturing (VIRC) AI Stock Analysis

VIRC

Virco Manufacturing

(NASDAQ:VIRC)

Select Model
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:$6.50â–²(4.84% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/07/26

Virco's score is held back primarily by deteriorating earnings: revenue is down about 28% from its fiscal 2024 peak, gross margins have narrowed by more than five percentage points, and the company has slipped into an operating and net loss on a trailing-twelve-month basis, which also leaves the P/E ratio negative and provides no earnings-based valuation support. Offsetting this, the balance sheet is conservative and strengthening, with equity more than doubling since fiscal 2022, debt reduced, and leverage at a comfortable 0.30 debt-to-equity, while free cash flow has rebounded to $14.7 million. Technical indicators are the most favorable element, with the price above all major moving averages and a positive MACD, though momentum readings suggest the stock is already near the top of its recent range. A modest 1.53% dividend yield adds some income appeal. Overall, financial resilience and improving price trends are counterbalanced by weak revenue momentum and negative profitability.

Positive Factors
Domestic manufacturing advantageVirco’s domestic manufacturing model is positioned to benefit as global supply-chain economics improve for U.S. producers. Its stated flexibility, customization, and response time can support customer retention, faster fulfillment, and market-share gains in education furniture over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue contractionDeclining revenue signals that Virco’s core education-furniture demand remains pressured rather than merely experiencing a minor quarterly fluctuation. Prolonged sales weakness can reduce operating leverage, limit reinvestment capacity, and make recovery dependent on uncertain school budgets and purchasing cycles.

Virco Manufacturing (VIRC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%VIRC-10.12%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$97.74M
Dividend Yield
1.61%
Average Volume (3M)
21.77K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-40.2
Beta (1Y)
1.03
Revenue Growth
-18.97%
EPS Growth
-118.61%
Country
US
Employees
731
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Virco Manufacturing Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Virco Mfg. Corporation (VIRC) is a leading designer, manufacturer, and distributor of furniture products throughout the United States. Its extensive portfolio includes a wide array of seating solutions, such as traditional four-legged and cantilever...

How the Company Makes Money

Virco makes money primarily by selling education-focused furniture and equipment to institutional customers, with the core revenue stream coming from product sales (e.g., chairs, desks, tables, and other classroom furnishings). Revenue is generated w...

Virco Manufacturing Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial results are mixed but trending negative. The income statement is the weak point (score 33): revenue has fallen roughly 28% from its fiscal 2024 peak to $192 million on a trailing-twelve-month basis, gross margin has compressed from about 43% to 37.5%, and the company has swung to a $4.7 million operating loss and $2.5 million net loss. The balance sheet remains the strongest pillar (score 63), with equity more than doubling since fiscal 2022 to $110 million, debt reduced to $33.6 million, and a conservative 0.30 debt-to-equity ratio, though return on equity is now negative at -2.3%. Cash flow (score 55) has rebounded to $12.2 million operating cash flow and $14.7 million free cash flow, exceeding reported net income, but remains highly inconsistent year to year and partly driven by working capital swings amid shrinking volumes.

Income Statement

33Negative

Balance Sheet

63Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue201.94M266.24M199.65M269.12M231.06M184.83M
Gross Profit82.44M114.69M81.24M116.06M85.34M60.93M
EBITDA12.52M34.46M9.90M37.02M14.56M2.04M
Net Income3.86M21.64M2.57M21.91M16.55M-15.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets181.54M191.95M174.18M146.44M150.13M126.44M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.51M26.87M14.44M5.29M1.06M1.36M
Total Debt41.80M41.82M40.37M11.96M38.70M35.42M
Total Liabilities67.90M82.68M68.25M55.27M82.06M79.00M
Stockholders Equity113.64M109.27M105.93M91.18M68.06M47.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.33M26.83M-6.70M21.71M-7.12M-3.40M
Operating Cash Flow1.69M33.13M-841.00K26.96M-3.79M-401.00K
Investing Cash Flow-5.89M-5.56M-5.74M-4.76M-3.33M-2.37M
Financing Cash Flow-8.15M-5.98M-5.85M-17.97M6.82M3.73M

Virco Manufacturing Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price6.20

Price Trends

50DMA6.30Negative
100DMA6.20Negative
200DMA6.15Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.04Positive
RSI42.92Neutral
STOCH36.66Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VIRC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.20 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.39, below the 50-day MA of 6.30, and above the 200-day MA of 6.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VIRC.

Virco Manufacturing Risk Analysis

Virco Manufacturing disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Virco Manufacturing reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities, Use of Proceeds and Issuer Purchases of Equity SecuritiesQ2, 2026
2.Item 3. Defaults Upon Senior SecuritiesQ2, 2026
3.Item 5. Other InformationQ2, 2026

Virco Manufacturing Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

VIRC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
FLXSFLXS70Outperform$306.49M11.1719.83%1.22%3.40%48.89%
ETDETD68Neutral$513.16M12.978.40%23.62%-5.72%-22.50%
KEQUKEQU63Neutral$96.82M11.6911.34%―5.33%-33.32%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
BSETBSET54Neutral$194.66M28.854.12%3.56%1.40%-11.99%
VIRCVIRC52Neutral$97.74M-40.23-2.32%1.61%-18.97%-118.61%
HOFTHOFT51Neutral$153.43M-8.54-10.59%3.20%-28.13%-38.44%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%VIRCBSETETDFLXSHOFTKEQUDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
VIRC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
VIRCVirco Manufacturing6.20-0.96-13.46%
BSETBassett Furniture Industries, Incorporated22.508.4760.42%
ETDEthan Allen Interiors20.360.985.06%
FLXSFlexsteel Industries, Inc.73.6439.65116.63%
HOFTHooker Furniture14.355.5663.24%
KEQUKewaunee Scientific33.44-8.68-20.61%

Virco Manufacturing Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Virco Declares Q3 Dividend Amid Challenging Market Conditions

Negative
Sep 4, 2026

Virco Mfg. Corporation, a leading U.S. manufacturer and direct supplier of movable furniture and equipment for educational environments and public spaces, reported weaker year-to-date financial results as the school furniture market continues to reba...

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings

Virco Stockholders Back Directors, Pay and Auditor Choices

Positive
Jun 17, 2026

Virco Manufacturing held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 16, 2026, with 13,708,014 of 15,729,543 eligible shares represented in person or by proxy, and stockholders elected Class I directors Craig L. Levra and Robert R. Lind to terms...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 07, 2026