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Valion Bio (VBIO)
NASDAQ:VBIO
US Market
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Valion Bio (VBIO) AI Stock Analysis

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VBIO

Valion Bio

(NASDAQ:VBIO)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(1462.50% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/06/26
Overall score reflects a company with some early revenue traction and a low-debt balance sheet, but still dominated by heavy losses and sustained cash burn (largest drag). Technicals are strongly bearish with the price far below key moving averages, reinforcing downside risk. Corporate events add modest support via financing and operational progress, but also introduce dilution/structure concerns; valuation metrics are limited due to negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Early revenue traction and positive gross margin
Revenue generation and positive gross margin indicate that Valion Bio has begun converting its products and activities into commercial economics. Although the current scale is small, maintaining gross profit could support future operating leverage if pipeline development and commercialization expand revenue over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Severe and persistent operating losses
Operating costs currently exceed the company’s modest revenue base by a wide margin, showing that commercial activity has not yet translated into sustainable profitability. Unless revenue scales materially or expenses decline, the persistent loss structure will continue to erode shareholder capital and constrain investment.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Early revenue traction and positive gross margin
Revenue generation and positive gross margin indicate that Valion Bio has begun converting its products and activities into commercial economics. Although the current scale is small, maintaining gross profit could support future operating leverage if pipeline development and commercialization expand revenue over the coming quarters.
Read all positive factors

Valion Bio (VBIO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Valion Bio Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Valion Bio, Inc. operates as a late-stage biopharmaceutical company. Its lead drug candidate is Entolimod, a TLR5 agonist that is in late-stage development to treat acute radiation syndrome. The company's pipeline also comprises Entolimod to treat...

Valion Bio Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Tivic Health demonstrated substantial progress in its strategic transformation and development of Entolimod, improving its financial position despite experiencing increased net loss and manufacturing delays.
Positive Updates
Strategic Transformation
Tivic Health expanded from bioelectronics to biologic pharmaceuticals, focusing on immune system-related treatments.
Negative Updates
Increased Net Loss
Net loss for Q3 2025 was $2.6 million compared to $1.4 million in Q3 2024.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Strategic Transformation
Tivic Health expanded from bioelectronics to biologic pharmaceuticals, focusing on immune system-related treatments.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Tivic Health Systems reported significant progress in its strategic transformation towards the biopharmaceutical market, having licensed entolimod and related assets to pivot from bioelectronics to biologic pharmaceuticals. The company is focusing on entolimod as a military countermeasure for acute radiation syndrome (ARS) and has moved forward with transferring two INDs related to ARS and advanced cancer. Financially, Tivic saw revenue net of returns at $140,000 for the quarter, an increase from $126,000 in the previous year, although nine-month revenue decreased to $302,000 from $600,000 due to reduced advertising spend. The cost of sales rose to $291,000, influenced by a $230,000 inventory reserve, while gross margins excluding this reserve improved to 42% from 35%. Operating expenses increased to $2,300,000 from $1,500,000 due to heightened R&D investments and corporate costs. The net loss widened to $2,600,000 from $1,400,000, and cash reserves grew to $3,500,000, supported by additional financing tranches totaling $3,800,000 during the quarter.

Valion Bio Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: TTM revenue is ~1.6M with positive gross profit (~39% margin) and low leverage (about $0.4M debt vs ~$21.8M equity). However, profitability is deeply negative (EBIT/EBITDA around -6x revenue; net margin roughly -7x) and cash burn remains significant (TTM operating and free cash flow about -$5.5M), implying ongoing financing/dilution risk.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue-156.00K0.000.001.18M1.84M1.26M
Gross Profit-805.00K0.00-352.00K287.00K299.00K-46.00K
EBITDA-15.87M-7.84M-4.06M-8.06M-9.92M-5.61M
Net Income-18.75M-8.88M-5.66M-8.24M-10.10M-8.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets32.47M31.61M2.81M5.16M5.88M15.04M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.11M12.64M2.00M3.40M3.52M12.97M
Total Debt17.41M6.45M0.00369.00K530.00K708.00K
Total Liabilities20.59M14.81M272.00K1.58M2.25M1.76M
Stockholders Equity11.88M16.80M2.54M3.58M3.63M13.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-14.67M-7.04M-5.72M-8.63M-8.93M-5.61M
Operating Cash Flow-14.57M-7.00M-5.72M-8.51M-8.92M-5.61M
Investing Cash Flow-223.00K-705.00K0.00-118.00K-11.00K0.00
Financing Cash Flow16.09M18.35M4.33M8.51M-528.00K17.54M

Valion Bio Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.16
Price Trends
50DMA
7.65
Negative
100DMA
14.72
Negative
200DMA
23.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.42
Negative
RSI
30.84
Neutral
STOCH
10.29
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VBIO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.06, below the 50-day MA of 7.65, and below the 200-day MA of 23.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 30.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.29 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VBIO.

Valion Bio Risk Analysis

Valion Bio disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Valion Bio reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Valion Bio Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
54
Neutral
$407.52M-1.20-9.67%843.62%21.98%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$2.85M>-0.01-605.75%8.36%88.88%
46
Neutral
$2.46M-0.05-165.44%-49.63%82.22%
44
Neutral
$1.29M-0.16-123.09%87.54%
44
Neutral
$3.72M-0.07-125.01%93.91%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VBIO
Valion Bio
2.77
-71.73
-96.28%
NUWE
Nuwellis
0.78
-151.12
-99.49%
AEMD
Aethlon Medical
1.82
-30.68
-94.40%
BBLG
Bone Biologics
0.57
-1.58
-73.58%
MOVE
Movano
14.74
9.37
174.39%
BJDX
Bluejay Diagnostics
0.83
-4.89
-85.45%

Valion Bio Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingStock Split
Valion Bio raises capital via new preferred financing
Neutral
Sep 1, 2026
On August 31, 2026, Valion Bio entered a letter agreement with investor 3i to issue additional Series B and Series C non-voting convertible preferred shares and accompanying warrants for an aggregate purchase price of about $7.7 million, adjusted ...
Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceStock Split
Valion Bio Enacts Reverse Stock Split to Maintain Listing
Neutral
Aug 27, 2026
Valion Bio, Inc., a Nasdaq-listed biotech focused on immune-modulating biologics for radiation-related and immune dysfunction conditions, is advancing lead drug Entolimod for Acute Radiation Syndrome under special FDA provisions, alongside next-ge...
Private Placements and FinancingShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Valion Bio Secures New Series B Preferred Financing
Positive
Aug 17, 2026
On August 17, 2026, Valion Bio entered into a letter agreement with 3i, LP to issue 1,500 shares of Series B Non-Voting Convertible Preferred Stock at $1,000 per share and associated Series B warrants for a total of $1.5 million, under a previousl...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Valion Bio Issues Milestone Preferred Stock to Investors
Positive
Aug 6, 2026
Valion Bio, a company engaged in the development and commercialization of licensed products, has advanced its commercialization efforts by validating its current inventory of materials for distribution and sales, marking a significant operational ...
Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Valion Bio advances Entolimod platform and manufacturing scale-up
Positive
Jul 15, 2026
On July 14, 2026, Valion Bio reported a series of developments that mark its evolution from a single-product developer into a broader platform company. The update highlighted the Entolimod program’s positioning across government radiation pr...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Valion Bio Completes New Preferred Stock Financing Round
Positive
Jun 18, 2026
On June 17, 2026, Valion Bio, Inc. issued 250 shares of its Series B Non-Voting Convertible Preferred Stock at $1,000 per share and a warrant to purchase 156,026 shares of common stock at an exercise price of $0.616280 per share to 3i, LP, for tot...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2026