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Valion Bio (VBIO) AI Stock Analysis

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VBIO

Valion Bio

(NASDAQ:VBIO)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:$0.50▼(-0.60% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/09/26

Overall score reflects heavy ongoing losses and cash burn despite a low-debt balance sheet and some early revenue traction. The stock’s technical setup is strongly bearish with price far below key moving averages, while valuation signals are limited due to negative earnings and no dividend. Recent financings help liquidity but come with dilution/structure and leadership-change risks.

Positive Factors
Low LeverageThe very low debt burden gives Valion Bio greater financial flexibility than a highly leveraged biotech and limits interest-related pressure. Its asset base provides capital support while the company works to advance development programs and seek future commercial opportunities.
Negative Factors
Severe UnprofitabilityOperating costs remain far above the company's current revenue scale, showing that the business has not yet reached sustainable economics. Persistently extreme losses can erode equity, require repeated external financing, and limit the resources available for advancing its therapeutic pipeline.

Valion Bio (VBIO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-75%-50%-25%0%25%50%VBIO-98.95%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$1.08M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.90M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.0
Beta (1Y)
2.18
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
52
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Biotechnology

Valion Bio Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Valion Bio, Inc. operates as a late-stage biopharmaceutical company. Its lead drug candidate is Entolimod, a TLR5 agonist that is in late-stage development to treat acute radiation syndrome. The company's pipeline also comprises Entolimod to treat Ne...

Valion Bio Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 14, 2025(Q3-2025)|% Change Since:-98.95%|Next Earnings Date:May 16, 2022
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

Tivic Health demonstrated substantial progress in its strategic transformation and development of Entolimod, improving its financial position despite experiencing increased net loss and manufacturing delays.

Positive Updates

Strategic Transformation
Tivic Health expanded from bioelectronics to biologic pharmaceuticals, focusing on immune system-related treatments.

Negative Updates

Increased Net Loss
Net loss for Q3 2025 was $2.6 million compared to $1.4 million in Q3 2024.

Company Guidance

During the third quarter of 2025, Tivic Health Systems reported significant progress in its strategic transformation towards the biopharmaceutical market, having licensed entolimod and related assets to pivot from bioelectronics to biologic pharmaceuticals. The company is focusing on entolimod as a military countermeasure for acute radiation syndrome (ARS) and has moved forward with transferring two INDs related to ARS and advanced cancer. Financially, Tivic saw revenue net of returns at $140,000 for the quarter, an increase from $126,000 in the previous year, although nine-month revenue decreased to $302,000 from $600,000 due to reduced advertising spend. The cost of sales rose to $291,000, influenced by a $230,000 inventory reserve, while gross margins excluding this reserve improved to 42% from 35%. Operating expenses increased to $2,300,000 from $1,500,000 due to heightened R&D investments and corporate costs. The net loss widened to $2,600,000 from $1,400,000, and cash reserves grew to $3,500,000, supported by additional financing tranches totaling $3,800,000 during the quarter.

Valion Bio Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals: TTM revenue improved to ~$1.6M with positive gross profit (~39% gross margin), and the balance sheet shows very low debt (~$0.4M) versus equity (~$21.8M). However, profitability is deeply negative (EBIT/EBITDA roughly -6x revenue; net margin ~-7x) and cash burn remains material (TTM operating and free cash flow about -$5.5M), raising ongoing funding/dilution risk.

Income Statement

22Negative

Balance Sheet

70Positive

Cash Flow

24Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue412.00K01.18M01.84M1.26M
Gross Profit-331.00K0287.00K-352.00K299.00K-46.00K
EBITDA-7.06M-7.84M-8.06M-4.06M-9.92M-5.61M
Net Income-7.51M-8.88M-8.24M-5.66M-10.10M-8.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.23M31.61M5.16M2.81M5.88M15.04M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.45M12.64M3.40M2.00M3.52M12.97M
Total Debt06.45M369.00K0530.00K708.00K
Total Liabilities638.00K14.81M1.58M272.00K2.25M1.76M
Stockholders Equity5.59M16.80M3.58M2.54M3.63M13.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.63M-7.04M-8.63M-5.72M-8.93M-5.61M
Operating Cash Flow-6.08M-7.00M-8.51M-5.72M-8.92M-5.61M
Investing Cash Flow-556.00K-705.00K-118.00K0-11.00K0
Financing Cash Flow7.89M18.35M8.51M4.33M-528.00K17.54M

Valion Bio Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.50

Price Trends

50DMA1.75Negative
100DMA5.03Negative
200DMA13.87Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.44Negative
RSI21.16Positive
STOCH23.62Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VBIO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.50 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.77, below the 50-day MA of 1.75, and below the 200-day MA of 13.87, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 21.16 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VBIO.

Valion Bio Risk Analysis

Valion Bio disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Valion Bio reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.The contemplated reverse stock split could cause our stock price to decline relative to its value before the split and decrease the liquidity of shares of our Common Stock.Q2, 2026
2.Even if we effect the Reverse Stock Split of our common stock, we cannot assure you that the market price of our common stock will remain high enough for such Reverse Stock Split to have the intended effect of complying with Nasdaq's minimum bid price requirement.Q2, 2026
3.If our stock price continues to remain below $1.00, our common stock may be subject to delisting from the Nasdaq Capital Market, which would materially reduce the liquidity of our common stock and have an adverse effect on our market price.Q3, 2024

Valion Bio Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

VBIO against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
AEMDAEMD50Neutral$8.90M-0.47-123.09%――87.54%
VBIOVBIO46Neutral$1.14M-0.00-165.44%―――
BJDXBJDX44Neutral$3.14M-0.07-125.01%――93.91%
MOVEMOVE44Neutral$156.50M-0.47-9.67%―843.62%21.98%
NUWENUWE41Neutral$2.83M-0.00-605.75%―8.36%88.88%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%0%100%200%VBIONUWEAEMDBBLGMOVEBJDXDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
VBIO and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
VBIOValion Bio, Inc.0.50-51.50-99.03%
NUWENuwellis, Inc.5.53-764.64-99.28%
AEMDAethlon5.53-18.17-76.67%
BBLGBone Biologics Corp0.35-1.35-79.41%
MOVECorvex, Inc.5.70-1.85-24.47%
BJDXBluejay Diagnostics, Inc.2.80-22.00-88.71%

Valion Bio Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing

Valion Bio Announces Series B Preferred Stock Financing

Positive
Nov 9, 2026

On November 6, 2026, Valion Bio, Inc., a Delaware corporation, issued 700 Series B non-voting convertible preferred shares and warrants to purchase 21,539 common shares to 3i, LP for $700,000. The securities were sold under a private-placement exempt...

Executive/Board Changes

Valion Bio Executives Announce Voluntary Resignations Effective December

Negative
Nov 5, 2026

On October 31, 2026, Lisa Wolf notified Valion Bio, Inc.’s Special Committee of her decision to voluntarily resign as president, chief operating officer and chief financial officer. The resignations were scheduled to become effective December 11, 202...

Executive/Board ChangesProduct-Related Announcements

Valion Bio Enters Separation Agreement With Former General Counsel

Positive
Nov 2, 2026

On October 27, 2026, Valion Bio notified General Counsel and Senior Vice President of Legal Affairs Melinda Lackey of the termination of her employment, effective October 30. On October 31, the company entered a separation agreement providing Lackey...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Valion Bio expands preferred equity financing through private placements

Positive
Oct 27, 2026

On October 26, 2026, Valion Bio and investor 3i, LP executed a letter agreement for a further closing under their Series B financing, with 3i agreeing to purchase 50 Series B Non-Voting Convertible Preferred Shares and warrants for 1,539 common share...

Private Placements and Financing

Valion Bio Secures Additional Series B Preferred Financing

Positive
Oct 8, 2026

On October 7, 2026, Valion Bio, Inc. entered into a third side letter with investor 3i, LP under an existing Series B Preferred Purchase Agreement initially dated April 29, 2025 and amended December 9, 2025. Under this latest arrangement, 3i agreed t...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Valion Bio Names Interim CEO Amid Governance Reshuffle

Positive
Sep 23, 2026

On September 22, 2026, Valion Bio appointed board member and life sciences veteran Dean Zikria as Interim Chief Executive Officer, effective immediately, under a consulting agreement that treats him as an independent contractor and runs through Janua...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingStock Split

Valion Bio raises capital via new preferred financing

Neutral
Sep 1, 2026

On August 31, 2026, Valion Bio entered a letter agreement with investor 3i to issue additional Series B and Series C non-voting convertible preferred shares and accompanying warrants for an aggregate purchase price of about $7.7 million, adjusted for...

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceStock Split

Valion Bio Enacts Reverse Stock Split to Maintain Listing

Neutral
Aug 27, 2026

Valion Bio, Inc., a Nasdaq-listed biotech focused on immune-modulating biologics for radiation-related and immune dysfunction conditions, is advancing lead drug Entolimod for Acute Radiation Syndrome under special FDA provisions, alongside next-gener...

Private Placements and FinancingShareholder MeetingsStock Split

Valion Bio Secures New Series B Preferred Financing

Positive
Aug 17, 2026

On August 17, 2026, Valion Bio entered into a letter agreement with 3i, LP to issue 1,500 shares of Series B Non-Voting Convertible Preferred Stock at $1,000 per share and associated Series B warrants for a total of $1.5 million, under a previously e...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 09, 2026