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United Bancorp (UBCP) AI Stock Analysis

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UBCP

United Bancorp

(NASDAQ:UBCP)

Select Model
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:$15.00â–²(5.63% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/21/26

The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong TTM revenue growth and improved free cash flow) tempered by higher/less stable leverage and increased CRE concentration risk. Technical indicators are weak and weigh on the score, while a low P/E and high dividend yield provide a meaningful valuation offset.

Positive Factors
Strong revenue growth and profitabilityThe combination of very strong TTM revenue growth and a solid net margin indicates improving operating scale and meaningful earnings power. If sustained, this growth can strengthen the franchise, support reinvestment, and provide a durable foundation for future profitability.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverageThe sizable debt burden relative to equity reduces balance-sheet flexibility and can make the company more sensitive to funding costs, credit stress, or weaker earnings. Reported leverage was also volatile, which complicates assessment of capital strength and limits resilience.

United Bancorp Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Loan Portfolio BreakdownDistribution of the bank's loans across commercial, commercial real estate, residential, and consumer segments reveals where interest income is generated and where credit risk is concentrated. Heavy exposure to a single sector or a few large borrowers raises vulnerability to local economic shocks and can drive higher loan‑loss provisions, while a diversified mix supports steadier earnings and room to grow. Pay attention to average credit quality and loan maturities, which influence sensitivity to interest‑rate moves and the bank’s potential losses if conditions worsen.

$0.00$100.00M$200.00M$300.00M$400.00M$500.00MMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26
Chart Insights

United Bancorp has been tilting toward commercial real estate — that book has steadily grown to become the dominant exposure, which can boost yields but concentrates cyclical risk in CRE markets; by contrast commercial and residential loans remain stable, providing diversification. A brief 2024 surge in installment lending has since rolled back, implying a temporary consumer lending push rather than a sustained strategy shift.

Data provided by:The Fly

United Bancorp (UBCP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%UBCP+15.33%SPY+9.07%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$81.44M
Dividend Yield
6.69%
Average Volume (3M)
6,581
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.0
Beta (1Y)
-0.10
Revenue Growth
6.48%
EPS Growth
0.00%
Country
US
Employees
125
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

United Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

United Bancorp, Inc. acts as the parent organization for Unified Bank, which delivers a comprehensive range of commercial and individual banking solutions, with a primary focus on Ohio. The bank facilitates various deposit options, including checking...

How the Company Makes Money

United Bancorp primarily makes money through its banking subsidiary by (1) earning net interest income and (2) generating noninterest income. Net interest income is the largest, core earnings engine for most community banks: the bank collects interes...

United Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability is solid (TTM net margin ~16.5%) and revenue growth is very strong (~73% TTM), supported by a rebound to positive free cash flow (~$6.5M) with strong FCF-to-net-income (~96%). Offsetting these positives, margins are compressed versus 2021–2022, leverage is elevated (debt ~$108.3M vs equity ~$72.1M) with volatility/anomalies in reported leverage ratios, and cash-flow consistency has been uneven. KPI insight adds risk: the loan book has shifted materially toward commercial real estate, increasing concentration sensitivity to property/rate cycles.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue48.17M47.50M43.98M40.90M31.74M30.41M
Gross Profit33.00M31.99M28.96M30.34M29.43M29.07M
EBITDA8.80M9.62M8.52M10.64M10.70M11.97M
Net Income7.97M7.75M7.40M8.95M8.66M9.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets877.97M857.45M816.66M819.45M757.40M724.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments249.41M161.33M138.84M210.73M247.70M229.31M
Total Debt111.28M131.27M132.21M128.33M41.83M39.37M
Total Liabilities805.88M786.93M753.20M755.86M697.66M652.75M
Stockholders Equity72.09M70.52M63.46M63.59M59.74M71.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.46M-1.82M-1.25M8.38M7.97M7.42M
Operating Cash Flow6.75M9.96M8.45M9.46M8.48M8.19M
Investing Cash Flow-21.77M-4.01M-19.46M-48.47M-103.26M-1.21M
Financing Cash Flow11.31M20.98M-10.14M49.70M41.86M24.42M

United Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price14.20

Price Trends

50DMA14.71Negative
100DMA15.12Negative
200DMA14.99Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.08Negative
RSI48.85Neutral
STOCH58.37Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UBCP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.20 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.00, below the 50-day MA of 14.71, and below the 200-day MA of 14.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UBCP.

United Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

UBCP against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
BOTJBOTJ69Neutral$111.04M9.2214.94%1.64%7.06%52.33%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
FUSBFUSB65Neutral$83.85M11.927.58%1.70%3.74%43.52%
UBCPUBCP63Neutral$81.44M10.0011.53%6.69%6.48%0.00%
SSBISSBI55Neutral$77.13M189.830.33%―-7.24%―
BYFCBYFC51Neutral$107.63M-4.28-7.74%―10.60%-935.88%
FNWBFNWB42Neutral$94.42M-1067.74-0.03%―-6.23%99.32%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%UBCPBOTJBYFCSSBIFUSBFNWBDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
UBCP and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
UBCPUnited Bancorp14.202.1617.95%
BOTJBank Of The James Financial Group, Inc.24.447.7846.68%
BYFCBroadway Financial11.605.2382.10%
SSBISummit State Bank11.390.686.35%
FUSBFirst Us Bancshares16.453.2424.55%
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp9.930.808.76%

United Bancorp Corporate Events

Dividends

United Bancorp Declares Third-Quarter 2026 Dividend

Positive
Aug 20, 2026

On August 20, 2026, United Bancorp, Inc. reported that its Board of Directors had declared the company’s third-quarter 2026 dividend on August 19, 2026, reinforcing its ongoing policy of regular shareholder distributions. The dividend will be p...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2026