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Kingcan Holdings Ltd (8411) AI Stock Analysis

TW:8411

Kingcan Holdings Ltd

(TWSE:8411)

Select Model
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:TWD 10.50â–¼(-1.41% Downside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:11/09/26

Kingcan Holdings scores low primarily because of deteriorating profitability: margins have compressed every year since 2020, operations have slipped back into loss, net losses are widening, and free cash flow has nearly disappeared while debt-to-equity has risen toward 1.0. Technicals reinforce the caution, with the price below all key moving averages and a negative MACD, although an RSI near 29 suggests the selling is extended. Valuation offers little support, as a ~32x P/E and a sub-1% dividend yield are hard to justify against loss-making results. Revenue growth, positive EBITDA and operating cash flow, and a stable NT$13.4 billion asset base are the main offsets; a sustained margin recovery and lower capital spending would be needed to improve the outlook.

Positive Factors
Serviceable Balance SheetManageable leverage and relatively stable assets and equity provide a financial base for ongoing operations. Although earnings weakness raises risk, the company is not described as excessively levered, preserving some flexibility to address business volatility over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Severe Revenue DeclineAn 80.8% revenue contraction materially weakens the company’s scale, operating leverage, and earnings outlook. Unless sales recover, fixed costs are harder to absorb and the business has less capacity to fund investment, service obligations, or rebuild sustainable profitability.

Kingcan Holdings Ltd (8411) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%TW:8411-14.46%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
TWD 2.27B
Dividend Yield
0.94%
Average Volume (3M)
131.62K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
41.5
Beta (1Y)
0.18
Revenue Growth
16.10%
EPS Growth
―
Country
TW
Employees
933
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Packaging & Containers

Kingcan Holdings Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Kingcan Holdings Limited primarily focuses on the research, development, production, and sale of metal food and beverage packaging, along with necessary raw materials, within China. The company's operations encompass the manufacturing, import, and ex...

Kingcan Holdings Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are the weakest part of the story. Revenue has grown steadily from roughly NT$5.8 billion in 2020 to about NT$9.2 billion, but gross margin has compressed every year to just 6.4%, the company swung to an operating loss of about NT$66 million, and the net loss widened to roughly NT$150 million. The balance sheet is stable with equity funding about 44% of assets, yet debt-to-equity has climbed to near 1.0 while equity has been flat for four years and ROE is negative. Cash flow remains positive at about NT$295 million from operations, but that is down sharply from NT$709 million, and heavy capital spending has cut free cash flow to roughly NT$19 million, leaving almost no surplus to reduce debt.

Income Statement

29Negative

Balance Sheet

44Neutral

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.03B9.19B8.95B8.26B8.68B7.81B
Gross Profit781.83M591.04M805.13M842.65M722.16M807.47M
EBITDA647.94M414.93M650.93M705.06M276.30M815.77M
Net Income74.76M-150.02M-53.92M31.80M-304.29M389.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.66B13.35B13.40B12.71B12.99B12.79B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.99B2.02B1.76B1.62B2.26B1.39B
Total Debt3.28B5.79B5.75B5.40B5.44B5.37B
Total Liabilities7.33B7.33B7.38B6.81B6.98B6.93B
Stockholders Equity6.18B5.87B5.86B5.75B5.85B5.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow709.75M19.49M264.19M-431.51M105.07M-557.66M
Operating Cash Flow966.04M294.87M709.12M131.99M1.17B-107.13M
Investing Cash Flow-313.08M-335.49M-496.54M-577.04M-995.26M-1.32B
Financing Cash Flow-717.75M192.57M-211.71M-145.73M528.80M698.37M

Kingcan Holdings Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TW:8411 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TW:2916TW:291673OutperformTWD 2.57B9.90―9.14%0.95%-8.03%
TW:6754TW:675468NeutralTWD 2.64B12.08―8.75%-18.18%-27.48%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TW:1473TW:147350NeutralTWD 2.45B717.95―2.98%-12.48%-98.35%
TW:6504TW:650441NeutralTWD 2.58B-547.06―2.69%-1.43%92.88%
TW:9919TW:991939UnderperformTWD 2.50B-4.00―1.56%-7.03%-104.89%
TW:8411TW:841139UnderperformTWD 2.34B41.47―0.94%16.10%―

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%TW:8411TW:1473TW:2916TW:6504TW:6754TW:9919Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TW:8411 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TW:8411Kingcan Holdings Ltd10.65-1.85-14.80%
TW:1473Tainan Enterprises Co., Ltd.16.80-8.24-32.90%
TW:2916Munsin Garment Corporation39.40-6.62-14.39%
TW:6504Nan Liu Enterprise Co., Ltd37.20-4.91-11.66%
TW:6754Rich Honour International Designs Co., Ltd.40.00-2.80-6.54%
TW:9919KNH Enterprise Co., Ltd.12.70-4.15-24.63%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 09, 2026