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Grand Ocean Retail Group Ltd. (5907) AI Stock Analysis

TW:5907

Grand Ocean Retail Group Ltd.

(TWSE:5907)

Select Model
Rating:29Underperform
Price Target:TWD 3.50â–¼(-7.89% Downside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:11/09/26

Grand Ocean Retail scores poorly, driven primarily by a deteriorating financial profile: four consecutive years of revenue contraction, a widening net loss, negative operating margins and leverage of 3.36x debt-to-equity after equity more than halved. Technical signals reinforce the caution, with the share price below all major moving averages and negative MACD momentum. Valuation provides no offset, as the company is loss-making (negative P/E) and pays no dividend. Positive EBITDA and still-positive free cash flow are the main mitigating factors, but both are shrinking and are small relative to the NT$12.8bn debt burden. A stabilization in sales and a return to operating profitability would be the key signals of improvement.

Positive Factors
Positive Free Cash FlowPositive free cash flow through 2023–2025 provides an internal source of liquidity despite reported losses. This can help fund essential operations and limit immediate reliance on external financing, although the benefit is moderated by the substantial year-over-year decline in 2025.
Negative Factors
Persistent Revenue ContractionFour consecutive years of revenue contraction indicate sustained pressure on the company’s sales base rather than a single-period setback. Continued top-line erosion can weaken fixed-cost absorption, reduce operating leverage, and make a durable return to profitability more difficult over the next several quarters.

Grand Ocean Retail Group Ltd. (5907) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%TW:5907-33.22%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
TWD 706.07M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
325.36K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.8
Beta (1Y)
0.40
Revenue Growth
-8.72%
EPS Growth
-22.72%
Country
TW
Employees
3,258
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Department Stores

Grand Ocean Retail Group Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Grand Ocean Retail Group Ltd. primarily operates within China's department store retail sector, additionally providing management consulting services. The company manages a network of 17 retail establishments spread across 12 different cities, includ...

Grand Ocean Retail Group Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are weak across the board. Revenue has declined four straight years (down roughly 47% since 2021 to NT$2.75bn), operating profit is negative at -NT$211m, and the 2025 net loss of NT$890m nearly doubled year-over-year, extending a six-year streak of losses. The balance sheet is strained, with debt-to-equity at 3.36x after shareholders' equity more than halved to NT$3.82bn and ROE at -23.3%. The one relative positive is cash generation: positive EBITDA of NT$1.08bn and free cash flow of NT$315m, though that is down about 46% year-over-year and covers only a small fraction of the NT$12.8bn debt load.

Income Statement

19Very Negative

Balance Sheet

20Very Negative

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.73B2.75B3.23B3.82B4.15B5.16B
Gross Profit2.00B2.35B2.75B3.18B1.75B3.73B
EBITDA1.10B1.08B1.75B393.54M1.74B2.12B
Net Income-897.54M-890.33M-511.89M-2.08B-832.85M-232.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.61B21.26B24.22B24.24B23.35B27.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.03B1.00B1.42B1.50B1.74B3.64B
Total Debt12.60B12.82B14.06B14.01B13.56B15.57B
Total Liabilities16.95B17.44B19.43B19.16B16.09B19.24B
Stockholders Equity3.66B3.82B4.79B5.07B7.26B8.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow499.74M314.91M460.81M984.79M-570.33M960.47M
Operating Cash Flow572.01M391.92M558.41M1.25B-303.51M1.19B
Investing Cash Flow-99.87M-48.76M104.43M-1.20B-66.17M-63.79M
Financing Cash Flow-597.20M-906.82M-903.35M-659.82M-1.61B-1.34B

Grand Ocean Retail Group Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TW:5907 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TW:3085TW:308541NeutralTWD 798.37M-19.00――30.89%8.02%
TW:2736TW:273639UnderperformTWD 786.93M-6.40――13.62%-10.62%
TW:7723TW:772339UnderperformTWD 878.27M-2.13――-18.41%-1763.71%
TW:5907TW:590729UnderperformTWD 739.11M-0.83――-8.72%-22.72%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%TW:5907TW:2736TW:3085TW:7723TW:7756Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TW:5907 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TW:5907Grand Ocean Retail Group Ltd.3.80-1.93-33.68%
TW:2736HOYA Resort Hotel Group9.86-5.89-37.40%
TW:3085Newretail Co Ltd14.90-4.55-23.39%
TW:7723Jhu Jian Catering Co Ltd17.75-18.75-51.37%
TW:7756Donutes International Co., Ltd.38.85-9.95-20.40%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 09, 2026