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WINSON Machinery Co., Ltd. (4538) AI Stock Analysis

TW:4538

WINSON Machinery Co., Ltd.

(TPEx:4538)

Select Model
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:TWD 16.50â–²(2.80% Upside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:11/10/26

The overall score of 56 reflects a company with a fortress-like balance sheet and strong cash flows that is currently facing significant headwinds. The most impactful factor is the extremely weak technical picture, with the stock in a deep downtrend and showing no signs of momentum. This is partially offset by the company's pristine financial health and a high dividend yield, which may provide a floor for the stock. The core risk remains the severe compression in profit margins, which makes the high P/E ratio difficult to justify and calls the dividend's long-term sustainability into question.

Positive Factors
Very low leverageDebt-to-equity near zero and a large equity-funded asset base reduce balance-sheet strain and preserve financial flexibility. This conservative funding profile can help WINSON withstand operating volatility while retaining capacity to support operations without heavy reliance on borrowing.
Negative Factors
Volatile revenue and marginsThe sharp margin compression and uneven revenue history show that profitability has not been consistently durable. Lower earnings retention reduces the company’s ability to compound internally generated funds and leaves results more exposed to recurring operating cyclicality.

WINSON Machinery Co., Ltd. (4538) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%TW:4538-1.41%SPY+14.30%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
TWD 963.41M
Dividend Yield
6.23%
Average Volume (3M)
20.24K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
43.1
Beta (1Y)
0.21
Revenue Growth
13.83%
EPS Growth
126.75%
Country
TW
Employees
104
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication

WINSON Machinery Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Headquartered in Changhua, Taiwan, WINSON Machinery Co., LTD. specializes in manufacturing and distributing a diverse range of castings across the region. The company provides critical components for various applications, including machine tools and...

WINSON Machinery Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is a tale of two halves. The balance sheet is exceptional (Score 85), now completely debt-free, and cash flow generation is robust (Score 78) with strong profit-to-cash conversion. However, the income statement (Score 42) reveals significant margin compression, with net margin falling to 4.6%. The overall financial profile is one of high safety and liquidity, weighed down by operational profitability challenges.

Income Statement

42Neutral

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Mar 2024Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue394.92M379.79M315.31M434.68M607.63M462.59M
Gross Profit56.14M60.09M57.33M105.41M140.73M88.05M
EBITDA54.77M55.96M43.59M109.50M132.84M87.47M
Net Income23.34M17.33M11.15M61.34M80.18M38.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets938.48M940.35M939.29M984.67M1.00B786.48M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments303.01M298.47M288.87M297.51M251.81M38.96M
Total Debt25.00M025.18M46.08M139.32M0
Total Liabilities111.86M67.08M71.95M104.31M251.34M96.67M
Stockholders Equity826.62M873.28M867.34M880.36M752.92M689.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow53.13M85.67M78.40M-15.62M76.17M-19.02M
Operating Cash Flow74.39M100.22M98.88M39.99M121.59M19.89M
Investing Cash Flow10.47M-106.67M-53.55M-147.92M-65.85M7.82M
Financing Cash Flow-71.28M-36.81M-46.02M-30.27M125.90M-40.37M

WINSON Machinery Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TW:4538 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TW:4550TW:455060NeutralTWD 893.00M12.41―5.16%-2.99%-33.42%
TW:4538TW:453856NeutralTWD 951.51M43.13―6.23%13.83%126.75%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TW:1539TW:153944NeutralTWD 941.33M17.14―5.90%-16.53%―
TW:4558TW:455843NeutralTWD 847.50M19.93――10.33%―
TW:4502TW:450237UnderperformTWD 900.72M-22.64――-5.95%-25.08%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%TW:4538TW:1539TW:4502TW:4550TW:4558TW:4589Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TW:4538 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TW:4538WINSON Machinery Co., Ltd.16.05-0.23-1.41%
TW:1539Chiu Ting Machinery Co., Ltd.14.40-2.70-15.79%
TW:4502Jian Sin Industrial Co., Ltd.15.85-0.30-1.86%
TW:4550Chang Jia M&E Engineering Corp.23.650.351.50%
TW:4558Alformer Industrial Co Ltd17.95-2.15-10.70%
TW:4589Motion Technology Electric & Machinery Co. Ltd.42.006.4718.21%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 09, 2026