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Shanyuan Co., Ltd. (4416) AI Stock Analysis

TW:4416

Shanyuan Co., Ltd.

(TPEx:4416)

Select Model
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:TWD 10.00â–¼(-3.38% Downside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:11/09/26

The score is dominated by a fragile financial profile: extreme leverage near 7.4x debt-to-equity, a thin equity base funding under 12% of assets, a bottom-line loss despite strong revenue growth and 24% operating margins, and roughly NT$576m of negative free cash flow. Technicals reinforce the caution, with the price below all key moving averages and a negative MACD, though deeply oversold RSI and stochastic readings suggest scope for a short-term bounce. A low 3.4x P/E and 9.4% dividend yield provide the main offset, but their reliability is questionable given loss-making results and ongoing cash burn. With no earnings call or corporate event data available, the assessment rests on fundamentals, trend and valuation.

Positive Factors
Revenue ReboundThe sharp 2025 revenue rebound indicates improving business scale and demand relative to the prior period. If the company can sustain this higher activity level, it may provide a broader base for operating leverage and strengthen its ability to absorb fixed costs over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Very High LeverageDebt-to-equity of roughly seven times leaves limited equity protection against asset deterioration or weaker business conditions. This capital structure raises refinancing and downturn risk, while interest and debt obligations can restrict management’s flexibility to fund growth or withstand volatility.

Shanyuan Co., Ltd. (4416) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%TW:4416-78.81%SPY+10.92%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
TWD 761.95M
Dividend Yield
9.66%
Average Volume (3M)
1.17M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
3.3
Beta (1Y)
0.34
Revenue Growth
295.87%
EPS Growth
―
Country
TW
Employees
12
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Real Estate - Services

Shanyuan Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Shanyuan Co., Ltd. primarily focuses on the development of residential properties throughout Taiwan. The company's operations also encompass the sale and leasing of commercial real estate, including office buildings, retail storefronts, and other div...

Shanyuan Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Very weak overall. Revenue jumped to roughly NT$1.46bn from NT$404m and gross margin improved to about 35.5%, with operating margin near 24% — but heavy financing costs wiped out operating profit, leaving a net loss of about NT$44m (-3.0% net margin) and ROE of -2.7%. The balance sheet is the core risk: roughly NT$11.8bn of debt against only NT$1.61bn of equity (about 7.4x debt-to-equity), with equity funding under 12% of assets. Cash flow is persistently negative, with operating cash flow of about -NT$574m and free cash flow near -NT$576m, marking burn in five of the past six years. Modest debt reduction and improving gross margins are genuine positives, but volatile earnings, a thin equity cushion and dependence on external financing keep the financial profile high-risk.

Income Statement

36Negative

Balance Sheet

21Negative

Cash Flow

18Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.17B1.46B404.30M116.55M95.72M91.33M
Gross Profit1.56B517.32M108.98M63.88M51.89M47.50M
EBITDA640.02M386.39M193.35M170.49M-138.38M1.41B
Net Income230.43M-44.12M5.85M-1.47M-271.11M977.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.46B13.65B15.74B14.82B14.81B12.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments803.23M1.00B2.23B2.21B2.50B1.44B
Total Debt11.27B11.83B12.47B12.37B12.73B10.10B
Total Liabilities11.51B12.04B14.01B13.16B13.05B10.28B
Stockholders Equity1.94B1.61B1.73B1.67B1.75B2.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow287.60M-575.81M-123.14M132.23M-1.67B-1.89B
Operating Cash Flow352.96M-573.81M-122.82M134.24M-1.67B-1.89B
Investing Cash Flow290.39M-1.34M692.50M-108.95M27.39M1.46B
Financing Cash Flow-679.38M-720.00M85.52M-452.19M2.39B706.57M

Shanyuan Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TW:4416 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TW:5516TW:551646NeutralTWD 659.78M12.60――26.78%―
TW:6264TW:626443NeutralTWD 819.50M-10.02――52.16%-21.07%
TW:4402TW:440241NeutralTWD 866.90M-71.59――66.21%-366.24%
TW:5345TW:534540UnderperformTWD 718.10M-190.57――229.58%90.01%
TW:4416TW:441638UnderperformTWD 717.97M3.30―9.66%295.87%―

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-75%-50%-25%0%25%TW:4416TW:4402TW:5345TW:5516TW:6264Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TW:4416 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TW:4416Shanyuan Co., Ltd.10.35-36.30-77.81%
TW:4402J.D Development Co. Ltd.12.75-4.90-27.76%
TW:5345Fullhome Development Co., Ltd.19.00-6.10-24.30%
TW:5516Sun-Sea Construction Corporation12.80-1.85-12.63%
TW:6264KINGLAND PROPERTY CORPORATION LTD6.01-1.24-17.10%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 09, 2026