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Federal Corp. (2102) AI Stock Analysis

TW:2102

Federal Corp.

(TWSE:2102)

Select Model
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:TWD 14.50▼(-2.68% Downside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:11/09/26

The score is held down by weak fundamentals: revenue has shrunk more than 90% since 2020, operating earnings remain negative, and the company has burned cash for five consecutive years, with the recent swing to profit appearing non-recurring rather than operational. Technicals reinforce the caution, with price below all major moving averages and negative MACD, though deeply oversold RSI and Stochastic readings hint at scope for a short-term bounce. The optically low P/E of 1.69 is distorted by one-time gains and there is no dividend to support returns. The main offset is a transformed, near-debt-free balance sheet with equity at about 79% of assets, which removes solvency risk and buys time — but evidence of revenue stabilization and positive operating cash flow is needed before the outlook improves.

Positive Factors
2025 Profitability ReboundThe sharp 2025 profitability rebound indicates that Federal can restore earnings after a difficult period. If maintained, improved gross profit and net income could support reinvestment, strengthen financial resilience, and provide a better foundation for competing in automotive components.
Negative Factors
Multi-Year Revenue ContractionPersistent revenue contraction signals weakening demand, reduced scale, or loss of business momentum rather than a temporary quarterly fluctuation. A shrinking top line can limit operating leverage, reduce investment capacity, and make the 2025 earnings rebound harder to sustain.

Federal Corp. (2102) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%TW:2102-25.31%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
TWD 6.87B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
432.90K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
1.7
Beta (1Y)
0.28
Revenue Growth
-25.25%
EPS Growth
―
Country
TW
Employees
1,837
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Auto - Parts

Federal Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 1954 and based in Taoyuan City, Taiwan, Federal Corporation is a key manufacturer and distributor of tires. The company's operations extend across domestic Taiwanese markets and internationally, providing a comprehensive range of tire...

Federal Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Federal Corp. is in restructuring rather than recovery. Revenue has collapsed from roughly NT$5.70 billion in 2020 to about NT$266 million, with a further 4.3% decline last year, and operating earnings remain negative at about -NT$221 million despite a headline net profit of NT$2.88 billion that appears driven by one-time or non-operating items (Income Statement: 32). Cash generation is the weakest link, with five straight years of negative operating cash flow, worsening to roughly -NT$257 million, and free cash flow of about -NT$267 million (Cash Flow: 20). The offset is a dramatically repaired balance sheet: debt slashed to NT$59 million, debt-to-equity near zero at 0.006, and equity rebuilt to about 79% of assets, removing solvency risk and providing runway to fund the burn (Balance Sheet: 68). Net result is a weak overall profile stabilized only by capital structure.

Income Statement

32Negative

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

20Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue217.79M265.85M267.38M478.40M1.62B1.56B
Gross Profit24.43M54.24M17.45M-296.74M-31.07M-734.83M
EBITDA4.00B3.11B-127.61M-1.26B-840.40M-1.71B
Net Income3.93B2.88B-465.15M-1.73B-1.36B-2.35B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.05B12.29B13.42B13.78B10.02B11.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.74B2.92B831.94M1.08B1.20B1.39B
Total Debt419.00K58.87M4.51B4.35B5.01B5.21B
Total Liabilities2.44B2.64B6.68B6.59B6.04B6.26B
Stockholders Equity9.61B9.65B6.74B7.19B3.98B5.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-334.95M-266.53M-233.94M-580.31M-89.22M-1.14B
Operating Cash Flow-333.00M-256.77M-210.18M-450.49M-63.70M-761.79M
Investing Cash Flow6.68B6.87B173.00M604.97M102.63M246.58M
Financing Cash Flow-4.54B-4.51B161.26M-648.72M-194.03M110.63M

Federal Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TW:2102 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TW:2114TW:211478OutperformTWD 6.93B13.34―5.56%8.60%23.20%
TW:2221TW:222169NeutralTWD 6.43B56.44―0.90%18.85%87.57%
TW:2233TW:223357NeutralTWD 6.87B20.10―3.39%-2.23%-20.63%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TW:2254TW:225455NeutralTWD 7.08B-27.33――-78.81%-761.63%
TW:1522TW:152242NeutralTWD 7.42B-121.64―5.01%34.53%-119.38%
TW:2102TW:210242NeutralTWD 6.94B1.69――-25.25%―

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%200%400%600%TW:2102TW:1522TW:2114TW:2221TW:2233TW:2254Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TW:2102 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TW:2102Federal Corp.14.90-4.35-22.60%
TW:1522TYC Brother Industrial Co, Ltd.23.95-21.94-47.81%
TW:2114Hsin Yung Chien Co., Ltd.89.904.064.72%
TW:2221Tachia Yung Ho Machine Industry Co., Ltd.167.00139.45506.28%
TW:2233Turvo International Co., Ltd.118.00-91.87-43.78%
TW:2254Coplus Inc.111.5053.0090.60%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 09, 2026