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Longchen Paper & Packaging Co. Ltd. (1909) AI Stock Analysis

TW:1909

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co. Ltd.

(TWSE:1909)

Select Model
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:TWD 8.50â–¼(-5.97% Downside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:11/10/26

Primarily driven by poor financial performance with revenue declines, margin compression, and balance sheet strain. Bearish technical indicators and high valuation multiples add further pressure.

Positive Factors
Positive Operating Cash FlowConsistently positive operating cash flow provides an important liquidity buffer while reported earnings remain weak. It indicates the core business has continued converting operations into cash, supporting working-capital needs and helping the company service obligations over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Four Consecutive Years of Net LossesFour consecutive annual net losses demonstrate that the business has not yet restored sustainable bottom-line profitability after the stronger 2020–2021 period. Persistent losses can erode equity, constrain reinvestment, and reduce flexibility to absorb further operating setbacks.

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co. Ltd. (1909) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%TW:1909-15.12%SPY+14.30%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
TWD 11.87B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
2.84M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
39.5
Beta (1Y)
0.46
Revenue Growth
3.63%
EPS Growth
―
Country
TW
Employees
1,042
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co., Ltd. is a key player in the paper industry, focusing on the production, processing, and distribution of paper raw materials across both Taiwan and Mainland China. The company's diverse operations include manufacturing,...

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Deteriorating fundamentals with steady revenue decline from 56.6B to 44.7B, gross margin compression to 9%, persistent net losses, and rising leverage above 2.0 eroding equity.

Income Statement

28Negative

Balance Sheet

22Negative

Cash Flow

42Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue47.54B44.71B47.80B46.71B52.97B56.61B
Gross Profit4.53B3.99B4.66B4.55B4.39B9.30B
EBITDA2.19B2.12B3.41B2.81B3.48B6.94B
Net Income296.53M-516.65M-373.55M-1.02B-923.15M2.35B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets69.62B68.75B68.53B70.13B72.59B78.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.67B1.61B991.17M1.04B1.95B1.62B
Total Debt33.76B41.56B40.91B41.65B42.32B40.13B
Total Liabilities48.79B48.43B47.09B48.00B48.49B50.71B
Stockholders Equity20.79B20.29B21.40B22.08B24.05B27.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.00B201.22M988.66M-93.03M-815.54M629.93M
Operating Cash Flow1.80B1.23B2.56B4.38B2.89B3.64B
Investing Cash Flow-1.12B-1.39B-925.27M-4.50B-3.55B-3.47B
Financing Cash Flow2.16B477.86M-977.00M-1.05B1.18B-154.28M

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TW:1909 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TW:6790TW:679068NeutralTWD 9.84B11.95―7.17%-3.83%17.72%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TW:1903TW:190342NeutralTWD 11.73B32.79――-1.63%―
TW:1905TW:190540UnderperformTWD 12.55B-22.75――-6.94%23.37%
TW:1909TW:190939UnderperformTWD 11.92B39.46――3.63%―

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%TW:1909TW:1903TW:1905TW:6790Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TW:1909 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TW:1909Longchen Paper & Packaging Co. Ltd.9.04-1.06-10.50%
TW:1903Shihlin Paper Corporation44.60-11.20-20.07%
TW:1905Chung Hwa Pulp Corp.11.60-1.55-11.79%
TW:6790Yuen Foong Yu Consumer Products Co., Ltd.36.951.434.03%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 09, 2026