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Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK) AI Stock Analysis

TUSK

Mammoth Energy Services

(NASDAQ:TUSK)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:$3.00â–¼(-2.60% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/30/26

The score is constrained primarily by negative cash flow, weak underlying profitability, and a very high P/E ratio. Strong liquidity, low existing leverage, improving adjusted EBITDA, and favorable aviation-led growth guidance provide meaningful support, but execution and earnings-quality risks remain substantial.

Positive Factors
Aviation Leasing GrowthThe expanding aviation fleet and rising lease deployment support a larger recurring-revenue base, reducing reliance on individual project awards. Favorable demand for engines and APUs, combined with leasing’s strong earnings contribution, could sustain margin improvement as additional assets enter service.
Negative Factors
Negative and Volatile Cash FlowNegative operating and free cash flow indicate that reported earnings have not yet translated consistently into cash generation. Continued volatility could constrain reinvestment, increase reliance on asset sales or financing, and make the company less resilient during weaker operating periods.

Mammoth Energy Services Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Adjusted EBITDA by SegmentShows each segment’s operating profit after removing one-time items and accounting differences, highlighting which businesses generate the most cash profit and where margins are strongest or weakest. Helps evaluate operational efficiency, capital-allocation priorities and how vulnerable Mammoth is to downturns in drilling and production activity.

-$7.50M-$5.00M-$2.50M$0.00$2.50M$5.00MMar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Aviation-led Rentals and higher‑margin Accommodations are the clear inflection points driving the company back to consolidated EBITDA positivity and supporting management’s upgraded guidance; drilling is approaching break-even but still burdened by front‑loaded costs, while Sand and Infrastructure remain material drags (infrastructure especially due to recent fiber investment). The balance sheet strength funding aviation assets and buybacks is a positive, but sustainability depends on maintaining rental utilization and extracting better sand/infrastructure margins rather than one-time timing benefits.

Data provided by:The Fly

Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%TUSK+46.23%SPY+12.58%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$149.20M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
142.84K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.2
Beta (1Y)
0.46
Revenue Growth
-46.29%
EPS Growth
88.49%
Country
US
Employees
115
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Conglomerates

Mammoth Energy Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. operates as a company providing a variety of services to the energy sector. Its operations are divided into four main business units: Infrastructure Services, Well Completion Services, Natural Sand Proppant Services, and...

How the Company Makes Money

Mammoth Energy Services makes money primarily by providing contracted services and renting/using specialized equipment to customers in the energy and infrastructure markets. Its core revenue model is fee-for-service: customers (typically oil and gas...

Mammoth Energy Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:5.84%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive. Mammoth reported substantially improved profitability, higher margins, strong aviation fleet growth and lease deployment, improved Sand and Accommodations performance, raised its 2026 margin outlook, and initiated a more than 40% 2027 adjusted EBITDA growth outlook. These positives outweighed sequential revenue pressure, seasonal softness expected in several businesses, lower Drilling activity, Infrastructure losses and higher depreciation and disclosed costs.

Positive Updates

Adjusted EBITDA More Than Doubled Sequentially
Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled sequentially to $5.8 million, and adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 27.2% from 10% in the second quarter. This was Mammoth's third consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA and its strongest profitability since the portfolio reset.

Negative Updates

Sequential Revenue Declined
Third-quarter revenue was $21.3 million, nearly double the third quarter of last year but down sequentially. The decline primarily reflected lower-margin revenue, including aviation asset sales in the second quarter that did not recur and lower sand freight revenue.

Company Guidance

Mammoth expects full year 2026 adjusted EBITDA margins in the mid-teens and is reaffirming full year revenue growth of greater than 90%; guidance does not include any further aviation asset sales, so any sales would be additive, and incorporates a seasonally softer fourth quarter in Sand, Drilling and Accommodations. The company expects 2027 adjusted EBITDA to increase by more than 40% compared with full year 2026 adjusted EBITDA, and is reaffirming its SG&A exit run rate guidance of $11 million to $12 million. It expects the number of revenue-producing aviation assets to continue growing, fourth quarter Sand volumes to soften, seasonal softening in room utilization in the fourth quarter, Drilling activity to remain soft through year-end, and Infrastructure activity to build meaningfully in the fourth quarter; the screener project is expected to have a likely 10% to 15% impact on production capability for the same amount of shift hours.

Mammoth Energy Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary

A strong balance sheet with only 1.7% debt-to-equity and $262.6 million of equity is offset by negative EBIT, weak profitability, and negative operating cash flow of $19.4 million and free cash flow of $142.8 million.

Income Statement

45Neutral

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

20Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue66.92M44.29M187.93M309.49M362.09M228.96M
Gross Profit13.20M-8.56M-7.90M16.54M19.23M-47.84M
EBITDA32.15M-17.84M-168.25M70.44M88.77M-40.79M
Net Income13.65M4.60M-207.33M-3.16M-619.00K-101.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets341.62M334.89M384.03M698.48M724.68M720.89M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.59M121.62M60.97M16.56M17.28M11.66M
Total Debt3.80M3.45M18.03M63.26M120.20M115.44M
Total Liabilities79.06M76.61M131.21M238.38M262.06M257.67M
Stockholders Equity262.57M258.29M252.82M460.10M462.62M463.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-142.79M-89.12M163.65M11.99M2.53M-24.71M
Operating Cash Flow-19.35M-18.57M180.72M31.39M15.27M-18.86M
Investing Cash Flow-81.75M54.55M-10.43M-8.79M-2.12M5.51M
Financing Cash Flow-798.00K-4.29M-112.11M-15.59M-5.60M8.43M

Mammoth Energy Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price3.08

Price Trends

50DMA2.95Positive
100DMA2.97Positive
200DMA2.78Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.02Negative
RSI63.39Neutral
STOCH82.51Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TUSK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.81, above the 50-day MA of 2.95, and above the 200-day MA of 2.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.51 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TUSK.

Mammoth Energy Services Risk Analysis

Mammoth Energy Services disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mammoth Energy Services reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Mammoth Energy Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

TUSK against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
RCMTRCMT69Neutral$250.44M15.6237.92%―11.24%31.12%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
NNBRNNBR61Neutral$368.41M-4.28-27.06%―13.92%29.66%
TUSKTUSK58Neutral$153.05M11.185.22%―-46.29%88.49%
FIPFIP53Neutral$338.00M-0.55-51.47%4.23%73.46%-259.87%
TRCTRC53Neutral$442.61M71.661.27%―25.45%―
CODICODI47Neutral$838.88M-5.64-21.01%―8.37%51.01%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%150%TUSKCODINNBRRCMTTRCFIPDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TUSK and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TUSKMammoth Energy Services Inc3.101.0551.22%
CODICompass Diversified11.675.6794.50%
NNBRNN Inc3.721.92106.67%
RCMTRCM (RCMT)34.9911.9351.73%
TRCTejon Ranch16.230.654.17%
FIPFTAI Infrastructure Incorporation2.84-2.20-43.66%

Mammoth Energy Services Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Mammoth Energy Secures Major Aviation Term Loan Facility

Positive
Oct 30, 2026

Mammoth Energy Services’ aviation subsidiaries, Cobra Aviation Services and Leopard Aviation, entered into a senior secured loan and security agreement with Bank7 on October 28, 2026, establishing up to $58 million in term loan commitments to f...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing

Mammoth Energy Services Posts Strong Q3 Turnaround

Positive
Oct 30, 2026

On October 30, 2026, Mammoth Energy Services reported third-quarter 2026 results showing a sharp turnaround in performance, with revenue from continuing operations rising 95% year over year to $21.3 million and net income of $0.3 million versus a $12...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions

Mammoth Energy Raises 2026 Outlook After Strong Q2

Positive
Aug 7, 2026

Mammoth Energy Services reported on August 7, 2026 that second quarter 2026 revenue from continuing operations more than doubled year on year to $26.1 million, while Adjusted EBITDA rose to $2.6 million and net loss narrowed sharply to $1.2 million,...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026