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Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc (SWP) AI Stock Analysis

19 Followers
TSE:SWP

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc

(TSX:SWP)

Select Model
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:CAD 10.50â–²(2.44% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

The score is supported primarily by improving profitability, positive cash generation, lower debt, and strong earnings-call momentum. These strengths are offset by elevated leverage, declining free cash flow, modest margins, moderate valuation support, and technically overbought momentum.

Positive Factors
Volume growth and demandSustained processing-volume growth, supported by existing and new customers, indicates expanding demand for the company’s decaffeination service. Longer booking visibility improves production planning and supports more predictable utilization over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverageDebt remains high relative to equity, limiting financial flexibility and increasing sensitivity to earnings or refinancing conditions. Although repayments have improved the trend, leverage could constrain investment choices and amplify the impact of operating volatility.

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc (SWP) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%TSE:SWP+130.34%EWC+21.04%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
CAD 98.32M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
7,336
Price to Earnings (P/E)
18.1
Beta (1Y)
0.43
Revenue Growth
5.52%
EPS Growth
127.75%
Country
Canada
Employees
86
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Packaged Foods

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc. operates globally, including in Canada and the United States, as a specialist in decaffeinating green coffee. The company processes and then supplies these decaffeinated green coffee beans to a diverse clientele,...

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:13.26%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. Volume growth, gross profit expansion, record trailing adjusted EBITDA, improved net income, operating cash generation, debt repayment, high utilization, extended order visibility, and planned capacity expansion significantly outweighed the lower nine-month revenue caused by lower coffee prices, higher operating expenses, quarterly risk management losses, lower quarter-end cash, and continued market volatility.

Positive Updates

Processing Volume Growth
Third-quarter processing volumes increased 16% year-over-year and were up 11% for the first nine months of 2026. Growth was supported by established customers, healthy spot orders, and incremental volume from new customers.

Negative Updates

Nine-Month Revenue Decline
Revenue for the first nine months was $189.3 million, down 2% from $192.7 million in the same period last year. The decrease was primarily driven by lower NY'C' Coffee futures prices, partially offset by higher volumes.

Company Guidance

Swiss Water plans to invest approximately $6.2 million within its existing building to expand capacity by approximately 15%, expects to fund it primarily from internally generated cash flow, and expects to have capacity online in mid-2027; the expansion will increase capacity by roughly 15% for about 5% of what Delta originally cost, with one line expected to have about a 2-week shutdown within a normal maintenance window. Customers are booking into the first half of 2027, inventory volumes are expected to remain at or close to current levels in the near term, and the company is not forecasting kind of an additional pipeline fill or expecting a lot of additional coverage; as it looks into 2027, it is pricing as if and for a continued inversion.

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability and cash generation improved, with higher margins, positive free cash flow, and lower debt. However, leverage remains high relative to equity, margins are modest, and free cash flow declined substantially from the prior period.

Income Statement

68Positive

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue255.31M258.72M173.13M166.28M176.94M125.08M
Gross Profit35.74M26.59M26.19M18.80M26.09M17.61M
EBITDA26.18M19.19M17.83M16.59M20.40M12.89M
Net Income5.43M1.56M1.27M-528.00K2.39M496.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets206.65M208.86M216.92M200.34M219.04M168.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.15M6.61M8.51M11.09M3.76M4.25M
Total Debt107.19M110.94M117.60M116.58M115.68M88.57M
Total Liabilities144.66M150.13M162.05M144.48M164.13M112.65M
Stockholders Equity61.99M58.73M54.87M55.86M54.91M55.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.35M6.00M1.18M10.63M-27.01M-20.09M
Operating Cash Flow16.84M7.32M2.14M30.55M-1.04M-6.38M
Investing Cash Flow-1.49M-1.32M-963.00K-19.55M-24.61M-13.72M
Financing Cash Flow-17.14M-7.91M-3.75M-3.67M25.16M21.59M

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price10.25

Price Trends

50DMA8.85Positive
100DMA7.57Positive
200DMA6.28Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.52Negative
RSI75.18Negative
STOCH91.45Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SWP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.19, above the 50-day MA of 8.85, and above the 200-day MA of 6.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.18 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SWP.

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

TSE:SWP against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:SAPTSE:SAP70OutperformCAD 17.70B31.428.44%1.78%-7.13%―
TSE:SWPTSE:SWP65NeutralCAD 98.19M18.059.00%―5.52%127.75%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
TSE:PBHTSE:PBH62NeutralCAD 4.02B31.835.71%4.40%20.55%63.47%
TSE:NPRATSE:NPRA49NeutralCAD 38.46M-24.7830.14%―32.91%55.73%
TSE:BUTSE:BU43NeutralCAD 10.79M-0.74338.06%―556.85%-11.49%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%200%400%600%TSE:SWPTSE:BUTSE:DTEATSE:PBHTSE:SAPTSE:NPRADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TSE:SWP and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:SWPSwiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee, Inc10.255.90135.63%
TSE:BUBurcon Nutrascience Corporation0.84-1.16-58.00%
TSE:DTEADavidstea Inc.1.200.2830.43%
TSE:PBHPremium Brands Holdings77.22-8.08-9.48%
TSE:SAPSaputo Inc.45.488.1921.95%
TSE:NPRANepra Foods, Inc.0.300.18154.17%

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures

Swiss Water Reports Higher Third-Quarter Profit and Stronger Cash Generation

Positive
Nov 3, 2026

Swiss Water processes coffee using chemical-free methods and focuses on serving specialty coffee customers. Its operations support demand from established markets while strengthening its position as a premium decaffeination provider.For the third qua...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Swiss Water Sets Date for Q3 2026 Results and Investor Call

Neutral
Oct 27, 2026

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc. will release its financial results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2026, after markets close on November 3, 2026. The company will follow with a conference call on November 4, 2026, at 2:00 PM P...

Business Operations and Strategy

Swiss Water invests $6.2 million to boost chemical‑free decaf capacity

Positive
Sep 16, 2026

Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc. plans to invest $6.2 million to expand production capacity at its Delta, British Columbia facility, lifting output by 15% and reinforcing its position in the chemical‑free decaffeinated coffee segment. Constructi...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026