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Source Rock Royalties Ltd. (SRR) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:SRR

Source Rock Royalties Ltd.

(TSXV:SRR)

Select Model
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:CAD 1.50â–²(27.12% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/06/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance—especially the zero-debt balance sheet and solid profitability—supported by a constructive technical uptrend. Valuation is mixed: the high dividend yield helps, but the P/E around 24 reduces the valuation contribution.

Positive Factors
Zero-debt balance sheetA zero-debt balance sheet materially lowers financial risk and preserves flexibility through changing oil and gas conditions. Stable equity relative to assets also supports resilience, allowing the company to retain more capacity for distributions or investment without refinancing pressure.
Negative Factors
Uneven revenue trendThe uneven revenue trajectory makes forward earnings growth less predictable and indicates that recent expansion has not yet become consistently established. A 2025 decline after strong prior growth could limit operating leverage and make medium-term planning more difficult.

Source Rock Royalties Ltd. (SRR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%TSE:SRR+46.95%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CAD 53.79M
Dividend Yield
6.61%
Average Volume (3M)
44.73K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
27.0
Beta (1Y)
0.10
Revenue Growth
-11.22%
EPS Growth
51.92%
Country
Canada
Employees
6
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Oil & Gas Midstream

Source Rock Royalties Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Source Rock Royalties Ltd., an oil and gas royalty company, engages in acquiring and managing oil and gas royalties and mineral title interests. It has an oil focused portfolio of royalty interests concentrated in S.E. Saskatchewan, central Alberta,...

Source Rock Royalties Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are strong overall, led by an exceptionally conservative balance sheet (93; zero debt) and solid profitability (78; ~56% gross margin and ~32% net margin in TTM). Cash flow is positive with good cash conversion (74; FCF ~91% of net income), but multi-year revenue and free-cash-flow volatility (including a large negative FCF year in 2023) keeps the score below top-tier.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

93Very Positive

Cash Flow

74Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.27M6.03M7.69M6.65M6.49M4.26M
Gross Profit3.54M3.07M3.75M3.46M4.31M2.03M
EBITDA5.12M4.61M6.11M5.02M5.34M2.10M
Net Income1.99M1.32M1.50M1.57M2.56M176.54K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.53M23.95M26.59M27.26M28.82M15.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.09M4.15M4.64M1.46M13.15M1.49M
Total Debt000000
Total Liabilities491.02K531.09K865.12K401.50K1.38M795.93K
Stockholders Equity23.04M23.42M25.72M26.86M27.44M14.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.09M4.59M6.62M-8.36M1.70M2.21M
Operating Cash Flow4.51M4.62M6.65M4.91M5.32M3.41M
Investing Cash Flow-1.31M-830.89K-27.10K-13.28M-3.62M-1.19M
Financing Cash Flow-4.27M-4.27M-3.45M-3.33M9.96M-1.63M

Source Rock Royalties Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1.18

Price Trends

50DMA1.07Positive
100DMA1.02Positive
200DMA0.97Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.03Negative
RSI69.52Neutral
STOCH86.03Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SRR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.10, above the 50-day MA of 1.07, and above the 200-day MA of 0.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.03 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SRR.

Source Rock Royalties Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TSE:SRR against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:PSKTSE:PSK84OutperformCAD 8.60B30.8210.96%2.85%17.21%29.29%
TSE:SRRTSE:SRR81OutperformCAD 53.79M27.008.53%6.61%-11.22%51.92%
TSE:FRUTSE:FRU75OutperformCAD 2.90B20.6413.88%6.11%0.67%11.91%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%TSE:SRRTSE:FRUTSE:PSKDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSE:SRR and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:SRRSource Rock Royalties Ltd.1.180.3745.14%
TSE:FRUFreehold Royalties Ltd.17.674.4133.28%
TSE:PSKPrairiesky Royalty Ltd.36.9812.7252.44%

Source Rock Royalties Ltd. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividends

Source Rock Royalties Declares Monthly Dividend, Reinforces Yield-Focused Strategy

Positive
Oct 15, 2026

Source Rock Royalties Ltd., a Canadian oil and gas royalty specialist, manages an oil-focused portfolio of royalties and mineral leases across key producing regions in Saskatchewan and Alberta. Its business model targets a blend of growth and income,...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions

Source Rock Royalties Expands Alberta Heavy Oil Footprint With $4 Million GORR Deal

Positive
Oct 13, 2026

Source Rock Royalties has acquired a 0.75% gross overriding royalty in roughly 126,000 acres of largely contiguous heavy oil sands leases in Alberta for $4 million, funded entirely from cash on hand. The transaction increases the company’s tota...

Business Operations and StrategyDividends

Source Rock Royalties Declares Monthly Dividend to Support Growth-and-Yield Strategy

Positive
Sep 16, 2026

Source Rock Royalties Ltd., a Calgary-based pure-play oil and gas royalty company, manages an oil-focused portfolio of royalties across Saskatchewan and Alberta, along with oil sands and petroleum and natural gas leases. The business targets a blend...

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Source Rock Royalties Posts Record Q2 Revenue and Expands Western Canadian Royalty Footprint

Positive
Aug 31, 2026

Source Rock Royalties reported record quarterly royalty revenue of $2.13 million in the second quarter of 2026, up 40% year over year, despite a 7% decline in royalty production to 220 boe/d. Strong pricing lifted operating and corporate netbacks to...

Business Operations and StrategyDividends

Source Rock Royalties Declares Monthly Dividend to Support Growth-and-Yield Strategy

Positive
Aug 14, 2026

Source Rock Royalties Ltd., a Calgary-based pure-play oil and gas royalty company, operates an oil-focused portfolio of royalty interests across key producing regions in Saskatchewan and Alberta. The firm targets a blend of growth and income by reinv...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2026