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Rivalry Corp (RVLY) AI Stock Analysis

TSE:RVLY

Rivalry Corp

(TSXV:RVLY)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:CAD 0.05â–²(400.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:01/10/26

The score is primarily held back by weak financial health (loss-making operations, negative operating cash flow, and negative equity/solvency concerns). Technical indicators are comparatively supportive, but valuation remains challenged due to ongoing losses and no dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Top-line GrowthTTM revenue growth of 43.12% indicates sustained demand and platform adoption. Durable top-line expansion supports scaling fixed-cost platform economics, funds product investment, and increases addressable-market penetration if conversion and retention remain consistent.
Negative Factors
Persistent LossesOngoing negative net profit, EBIT and EBITDA margins show the business remains loss-making. Sustained unprofitability erodes capital, increases financing needs, and risks dilution or cost-cutting that could impair growth and long-term viability absent a clear path to profitability.

Rivalry Corp (RVLY) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-75%-50%-25%0%25%50%TSE:RVLY-75.00%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CAD 436.35K
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
220.50K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.1
Beta (1Y)
1.30
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
Canada
Employees
53
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Software - Application

Rivalry Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Rivalry Corp., through its subsidiaries, operates as an esports and sports betting company in Canada and internationally. It operates through the Sportsbook and Gaming segments. The company offers regulated online wagering on esports, sports, fantasy...

How the Company Makes Money

Rivalry Corp generates revenue primarily through its online betting operations, where users place wagers on esports and traditional sports events. The company earns money by taking a percentage of the total bets placed, known as the 'vig' or 'juice.'...

Rivalry Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 28, 2024(Q3-2024)|% Change Since:-91.67%|Next Earnings Date:May 25, 2022
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The earnings call highlighted significant improvements in product offerings and operational efficiency, with record increases in net revenue per user and successful cost reductions. However, these achievements were tempered by a decrease in betting handle and a slight increase in net loss. The positive developments in the crypto segment and successful capital raise indicate a strong foundation for future growth.

Positive Updates

Record Increase in Net Revenue Per User
Average net revenue per user hit all-time records, increasing by 51% compared to the 2024 year-to-date average and by 70% compared to the trailing 3-year average.

Negative Updates

Decrease in Betting Handle
Betting handle was $79.9 million in the third quarter, representing a 9% sequential decrease from quarter 2 of 2024, primarily due to a reduction in marketing expenses.

Company Guidance

During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Rivalry Corp (RVLY.V), significant guidance was provided on the company's strategic realignment and financial performance. The executives highlighted a dramatic reduction in operating expenses by approximately 50% and a substantial organizational overhaul, including a 50% reduction in headcount. The company completed a major product overhaul within 90 days, featuring a revamped registration flow, sportsbook, and a new crypto-first cashier, which contributed to a 51% increase in average net revenue per user compared to the 2024 year-to-date average. Additionally, Rivalry's native crypto token, NUTZ, generated $3 million in deferred revenue during Q3. The company also reported a 9% sequential decrease in betting handle to $79.9 million and adjusted revenue of $6 million, including the deferred revenue from NUTZ. These efforts align with Rivalry's aim to capture crypto gambling market share and achieve near-term profitability.

Rivalry Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong TTM revenue growth (43.12%) is a positive, but persistent losses (negative net profit/EBIT/EBITDA margins), negative operating cash flow, and a weak balance sheet with negative equity and solvency concerns materially reduce the financial strength.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

20Very Negative

Cash Flow

40Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.48M13.55M16.24M9.81M11.08M1.55M
Gross Profit6.23M13.55M16.24M9.81M2.19M690.31K
EBITDA-10.98M-20.02M-24.31M-30.90M-24.08M-6.59M
Net Income-13.09M-22.41M-23.80M-31.12M-24.30M-6.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.00M4.09M15.08M18.06M40.46M7.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.25M1.57M10.54M12.19M35.45M620.16K
Total Debt21.13M12.22M10.23M484.99K139.20K320.64K
Total Liabilities28.66M20.88M13.15M3.36M1.47M814.62K
Stockholders Equity-26.66M-16.79M-1.11M14.70M38.98M6.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.40M-12.18M-21.55M-21.39M-10.93M-12.06M
Operating Cash Flow-6.35M-12.04M-21.48M-21.28M-10.87M-12.03M
Investing Cash Flow589.62K-3,014-105.13K-606.22K-58.76K-25.96K
Financing Cash Flow4.33M3.20M20.64M-124.39K45.30M9.31M

Rivalry Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.01

Price Trends

50DMA0.01Positive
100DMA0.01Positive
200DMA0.02Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Negative
RSI24.47Positive
STOCH100.00Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RVLY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.01, above the 50-day MA of 0.01, and below the 200-day MA of 0.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 24.47 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:RVLY.

Rivalry Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TSE:RVLY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TSE:BRAGTSE:BRAG54NeutralCAD 41.94M-2.89-12.39%―4.34%-50.56%
TSE:RVLYTSE:RVLY50NeutralCAD 447.46K-0.0817.36%―――

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%TSE:RVLYTSE:BRAGTSE:JJTSE:GOODTSE:BETDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSE:RVLY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:RVLYRivalry Corp0.01-0.03-75.00%
TSE:BRAGBragg Gaming Group Inc1.35-1.79-57.01%
TSE:JJJackpot Digital0.02-0.10-83.33%
TSE:GOODGood Gamer Entertainment Inc.0.09-0.14-60.87%
TSE:BETNorthstar Gaming Holdings Inc0.01-0.02-66.67%

Rivalry Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Rivalry Corp. Achieves Record Growth in Ontario Market

Positive
Dec 17, 2025

Rivalry Corp. has reported record-breaking growth in its key Ontario market in the fourth quarter of 2025, driven by a surge in active players, deposits, and wagers after a recent capital restructuring and marketing ramp-up. This performance undersco...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Rivalry Corp Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results with Sustained Revenue Growth

Positive
Dec 1, 2025

Rivalry Corp reported its Q3 2025 financial results, highlighting a third consecutive quarter of revenue growth and significant reductions in operating expenses and net loss. The company has completed a debt restructure and recapitalization, position...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Rivalry Corp. Extends Private Placement Closing Date to Bolster Growth

Positive
Nov 14, 2025

Rivalry Corp. has announced an extension of the closing date for its non-brokered private placement by 30 days, with the final tranche expected to be completed by December 15, 2025. The proceeds from this private placement are intended for corporate...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026