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Polaris Infras J (TSE:PIF)
TSX:PIF

Polaris Infrastructure (PIF) AI Stock Analysis

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Polaris Infrastructure

(TSX:PIF)

61Neutral
Polaris Infrastructure's overall stock score of 61 reflects a balance of strong operational efficiency and cash flow management against challenges in revenue growth and profitability. The high P/E ratio and mixed technical indicators suggest caution. Positive corporate events and a high dividend yield provide supportive elements for investors. Continued strategic focus on improving financial metrics and leveraging growth opportunities is essential for future performance.

Polaris Infrastructure (PIF) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Polaris Infrastructure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPolaris Infrastructure Inc. (PIF) is a Toronto-based company primarily engaged in the acquisition, development, and operation of renewable energy projects in Latin America. The company's main focus is on geothermal energy, but it is also involved in other renewable sectors such as hydroelectric power. Polaris aims to provide sustainable energy solutions while maximizing shareholder value and contributing to the communities in which it operates.
How the Company Makes MoneyPolaris Infrastructure makes money through the generation and sale of electricity from its renewable energy projects. The company's key revenue streams include long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with utility companies and governments, which provide a stable and predictable income. These contracts typically ensure that Polaris receives a fixed price for the electricity generated over an extended period. Additionally, the company's earnings are influenced by its strategic partnerships and investments in new projects, which help expand its portfolio and increase capacity. Factors such as government incentives for renewable energy, carbon credits, and the operational efficiency of its plants also contribute to Polaris Infrastructure's financial performance.

Polaris Infrastructure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Polaris Infrastructure shows strong operational efficiency and cash flow management, with solid EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, challenges in revenue growth and a weakened net profit margin impact overall profitability. The balance sheet is stable but highlights the need for better equity management and return optimization.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Polaris Infrastructure shows a fluctuating revenue pattern with a recent decline from the previous year, impacting the overall growth trajectory. However, the company maintains a healthy gross profit margin, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has weakened due to decreased net income, affecting overall profitability. Despite these challenges, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust, reflecting strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a balanced financial structure. However, the decline in stockholders' equity over the years poses a concern. Return on equity is relatively low, impacted by reduced net income, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio indicates a stable capital structure, though there is potential risk if liabilities increase.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Polaris Infrastructure's cash flow statements demonstrate solid operating cash flow, consistently covering net income, which underscores strong cash generation from operations. Free cash flow has shown growth, indicating improved liquidity and financial flexibility. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, supporting the company's ability to convert earnings into cash effectively.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
75.77M78.52M62.60M59.52M74.72M
Gross Profit
32.81M67.29M25.19M22.75M38.77M
EBIT
19.45M28.04M17.61M15.92M37.87M
EBITDA
49.84M56.99M45.24M45.69M78.59M
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.99M11.74M2.50M501.00K28.84M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
213.31M40.05M35.33M97.93M60.06M
Total Assets
662.11M519.40M535.10M502.70M491.12M
Total Debt
317.70M175.12M187.33M170.99M189.99M
Net Debt
104.39M135.07M152.00M73.06M129.93M
Total Liabilities
402.58M249.47M264.89M241.88M264.35M
Stockholders Equity
259.75M269.34M269.68M262.76M228.75M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
31.69M32.57M1.02M32.72M33.42M
Operating Cash Flow
35.05M43.96M33.51M41.13M40.31M
Investing Cash Flow
-3.31M-11.38M-65.99M-10.15M-2.85M
Financing Cash Flow
141.51M-27.71M-30.13M6.89M-9.99M

Polaris Infrastructure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.58
Price Trends
50DMA
11.80
Negative
100DMA
12.28
Negative
200DMA
12.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
45.93
Neutral
STOCH
47.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PIF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.59, below the 50-day MA of 11.80, and below the 200-day MA of 12.16, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PIF.

Polaris Infrastructure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSNPI
76
Outperform
$4.77B17.706.48%6.50%5.08%
71
Outperform
$4.09B32.676.15%5.01%-8.26%
TSINE
67
Neutral
C$2.75B267.061.44%2.65%2.60%
63
Neutral
$8.48B11.895.79%4.37%3.17%-10.89%
TSPIF
61
Neutral
C$243.94M59.811.08%7.18%-2.08%-75.32%
TSBLX
61
Neutral
C$3.13B86.952.23%2.18%-16.54%-53.85%
TSAQN
51
Neutral
$5.72B1.65%5.78%-6.72%-6766.85%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PIF
Polaris Infrastructure
11.58
-0.35
-2.93%
TSE:NPI
Northland Power
18.28
-2.04
-10.03%
TSE:AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities
7.45
-1.19
-13.74%
TSE:BLX
Boralex Inc Cl A
30.46
1.16
3.96%
TSE:INE
Innergex Renewable Energy
13.54
5.12
60.81%
BEPC
Brookfield Renewable
28.23
0.01
0.04%

Polaris Infrastructure Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.26%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mix of positive developments and challenges. While there was significant growth in adjusted EBITDA and operational cash flow, alongside strategic acquisitions and dividends, a reported net loss and revenue decline posed concerns. The company is also dealing with operational downtime in some regions, but is optimistic about future projects like the Puerto Rico battery program.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Power Generation
Consolidated power production for the quarter was 216,344 megawatt hours, up from 213,434 megawatt hours in the same period in 2024.
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $15 million, a significant increase from $5.7 million in the same period last year.
Cash Generation Improvement
Net cash from operating activities was $11.8 million, higher than $8.7 million for the same period last year.
Punta Lima Acquisition and Production
The acquisition of Punta Lima wind farm in Puerto Rico resulted in 3,558 megawatt hours of production since March 3, 2025.
Dividend Announcement
A quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share is to be paid on May 23 to shareholders of record on May 12.
Puerto Rico Battery Program
Plans for an 80-megawatt battery system in Puerto Rico are progressing, with a targeted signing in mid-June.
Negative Updates
Net Loss for the Quarter
A net loss of $10.4 million was reported for the quarter, mainly due to one-time finance costs related to the paydown of four loans.
Revenue Decline
Revenue for the quarter was $20.3 million, a slight decrease from $20.6 million last year.
Unplanned Downtime in Nicaragua and Peru
Nicaragua experienced unplanned downtime in the binary unit, resulting in 1,200 to 1,500 megawatt hours less production. Peru also faced downtime at 8 de Agosto, affecting 4,000 megawatt hours due to sediment issues.
Increased Cash Used in Investing Activities
Net cash used in investing activities was $14.7 million, up from $1.3 million in the same period in 2024, primarily due to the Punta Lima acquisition.
Company Guidance
During Polaris Renewable Energy's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported consolidated power production of 216,344 megawatt hours, a slight increase from the previous year's 213,434 megawatt hours. Despite a net loss of $10.4 million, attributed to one-time finance costs, the company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $15 million, significantly up from $5.7 million in Q1 2024. Revenue for the quarter was $20.3 million, slightly down from $20.6 million the previous year. Polaris also generated net cash from operating activities of $11.8 million, with a notable increase in net cash used in investing activities to $14.7 million, primarily due to the acquisition of the Punta Lima wind farm. The company plans to pay a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share on May 23. Looking ahead, Polaris is focused on its Puerto Rican ASAP battery program, targeting an 80-megawatt battery project with a $70 million gross CapEx and anticipated net CapEx of $50 million after potential ITC grants. The company maintains a strong balance sheet with $225 million in debt and $91 million in cash, positioning it for future growth opportunities.

Polaris Infrastructure Corporate Events

Dividends
Polaris Renewable Energy Declares Quarterly Dividend
Positive
May 1, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. has announced a quarterly dividend of US$0.15 per common share, payable on May 23rd to shareholders of record as of May 12th. The company’s board remains committed to maintaining and potentially increasing these dividends, reflecting its strong financial performance and dedication to shareholder value.

Spark’s Take on TSE:PIF Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:PIF is a Neutral.

Polaris Infrastructure’s overall score reflects a balance of strong operational efficiency and cash flow management against challenges in revenue growth and profitability. The company’s strategic expansions and high dividend yield are positives, but the high P/E ratio and mixed technical indicators suggest caution. Continued focus on improving financial metrics and leveraging growth opportunities is essential for future performance.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:PIF stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Polaris Renewable Energy Reports Q1 2025 Results with Strategic Acquisitions and Debt Optimization
Neutral
May 1, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy reported its Q1 2025 results, highlighting a slight increase in energy production due to the acquisition of a Puerto Rican wind farm. Despite a stable revenue stream, the company faced net losses attributed to one-time finance costs. The acquisition of the Punta Lima Wind Farm in Puerto Rico is expected to enhance future production, with a Power Purchase Agreement in place until 2044. The company’s debt optimization strategy, including the settlement of credit facilities, aims to reduce borrowing costs, which is a strategic move to strengthen its financial position.

Spark’s Take on TSE:PIF Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:PIF is a Neutral.

Polaris Infrastructure’s overall score reflects a balance of strong operational efficiency and cash flow management against challenges in revenue growth and profitability. The company’s strategic expansions and high dividend yield are positives, but the high P/E ratio and mixed technical indicators suggest caution. Continued focus on improving financial metrics and leveraging growth opportunities is essential for future performance.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:PIF stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Polaris Renewable Energy Schedules Q1 2025 Earnings Call
Neutral
Apr 4, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. has announced its Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast scheduled for May 1, 2025. This event will provide insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its operations and positioning in the renewable energy sector.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Polaris Renewable Energy Expands with Puerto Rico Wind Farm Acquisition
Positive
Mar 3, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. has completed the acquisition of Punta Lima Wind Farm LLC in Puerto Rico, marking a strategic expansion into wind energy. The acquisition, structured through a tax-equity agreement with Santander Bank, positions Polaris as the manager and operator of the 26 MW wind farm, with a 20-year power purchase agreement in place. This move is expected to provide attractive returns and growth opportunities, including potential energy storage solutions and further strategic developments on the island.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Polaris Renewable Energy Reports 2024 Results and Strategic Developments
Positive
Feb 20, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy reported a slight increase in energy production for the fourth quarter of 2024, despite an annual decline due to lower production from its geothermal facility in Nicaragua. The company also closed a significant $175 million green bond placement to refinance debt and invest in renewable assets. Notably, Polaris completed a solar panel optimization project in the Dominican Republic and signed an agreement for a wind farm project in Puerto Rico, indicating strategic efforts to enhance operational efficiency and expand its renewable energy portfolio.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Polaris Renewable Energy Declares Q1 Dividend, Reinforces Financial Stability
Positive
Feb 5, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. has announced a quarterly dividend of US$0.15 per common share, demonstrating their commitment to returning value to shareholders. This decision underscores the company’s stable financial performance and dedication to maintaining a consistent dividend policy, which could positively influence investor confidence and support its strategic positioning in the renewable energy sector.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.