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Nerds On Site (NERD) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:NERD

Nerds On Site

(CNQX:NERD)

Select Model
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:CAD 0.03â–¼(-3.33% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

Nerds On Site scores low primarily because of its fragile financial position: negative shareholders' equity of about -$2.0 million, debt exceeding total assets, and persistent net losses and cash burn leave almost no financial flexibility. The operational story is more encouraging — five straight years of revenue growth to $13.4 million, steady ~25% gross margins, and a swing to positive operating income — but margins are too thin to repair the capital structure quickly. Technicals reinforce caution, with the price below its 100- and 200-day averages and a negative MACD, though oversold Stochastic readings suggest selling pressure may be easing. Valuation offers no cushion given negative earnings and no dividend. This is a high-risk, speculative turnaround that would require sustained profitability and positive free cash flow to re-rate.

Positive Factors
Improving ProfitabilityThe substantial narrowing of net losses shows that profitability has improved over several years rather than reflecting only a single-period fluctuation. If this trend continues, the company could move closer to sustainable earnings while reducing the funding burden associated with ongoing losses.
Negative Factors
Persistent Negative EquityPersistent negative equity materially reduces the company’s financial cushion and limits flexibility if operating performance weakens. It also makes the balance sheet more vulnerable to refinancing pressure, because debt is supported by a relatively small asset base and no rebuilt equity reserve.

Nerds On Site (NERD) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%300%TSE:NERD+20.00%EWC+21.04%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
CAD 1.54M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
154.51K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-75.0
Beta (1Y)
1.51
Revenue Growth
5.88%
EPS Growth
75.00%
Country
Canada
Employees
4
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Information Technology Services

Nerds On Site Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nerds on Site Inc. provides information technology (IT), hardware, software, and related support services to small to medium-sized enterprises in Canada and the United States. It offers on-site IT support services, such as laptop and computer support...

How the Company Makes Money

Nerds On Site makes money primarily by charging customers for technology support services delivered either on-site or remotely. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) service fees for one-time support engagements (e.g., troubleshooting, installat...

Nerds On Site Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Operating trends are improving — five consecutive years of revenue growth to $13.4 million, stable gross margins near 25%, and a swing from a $1.0 million operating loss to positive operating income of $221K (TTM $336K). However, the company remains unprofitable at the net line and the balance sheet is severely strained: shareholders' equity is roughly -$2.0 million, total debt of $1.7 million exceeds total assets of $1.1 million, and debt continues to climb. Cash flow has narrowed sharply but remains negative (-$83K TTM), leaving no internal funding buffer. Blending a modest income statement (52), a very weak balance sheet (15), and improving but still negative cash flow (33) yields a low score reflecting a genuine but fragile early-stage turnaround with elevated solvency risk.

Income Statement

52Neutral

Balance Sheet

15Very Negative

Cash Flow

33Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMAug 2026Aug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.44M13.44M12.09M10.95M10.53M9.63M
Gross Profit3.41M3.39M3.22M2.80M2.76M2.53M
EBITDA141.91K249.45K-140.09K-282.37K-586.42K-780.84K
Net Income-221.39K-221.84K-463.47K-443.72K-743.55K-932.83K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.12M1.12M1.06M1.31M1.24M1.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments220.93K220.93K160.88K437.37K206.79K279.46K
Total Debt1.53M1.53M1.57M1.25M732.07K500.77K
Total Liabilities3.17M3.17M3.13M2.75M2.23M1.86M
Stockholders Equity-1.92M-1.92M-1.95M-1.44M-986.83K-188.75K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-22.49K-22.48K-674.98K-435.30K-442.55K-852.64K
Operating Cash Flow-22.48K-22.48K-674.98K-431.06K-429.24K-825.50K
Investing Cash Flow00213.79K-81.96K-13.32K-27.13K
Financing Cash Flow132.02K132.02K394.07K580.89K424.41K741.44K

Nerds On Site Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.03

Price Trends

50DMA0.03Negative
100DMA0.04Negative
200DMA0.04Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Negative
RSI47.39Neutral
STOCH50.00Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NERD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.03, below the 50-day MA of 0.03, and below the 200-day MA of 0.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:NERD.

Nerds On Site Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

TSE:NERD against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:GIB.ATSE:GIB.A83OutperformCAD 23.93B13.5817.89%0.58%4.15%16.10%
TSE:PVTTSE:PVT68NeutralCAD 30.03M19.103.09%―-22.72%―
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
TSE:ALYATSE:ALYA42NeutralCAD 100.64M-2.40-27.81%―-3.88%-1119.52%
TSE:NERDTSE:NERD40UnderperformCAD 2.91M-75.005.03%―5.88%75.00%
TSE:KNRTSE:KNR38UnderperformCAD 104.58M-0.53-58.44%―10.80%-18342.86%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%TSE:NERDTSE:GIB.ATSE:KNRTSE:ALYATSE:PVTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TSE:NERD and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:NERDNerds On Site 0.030.0020.00%
TSE:GIB.ACGI Inc.116.83-3.44-2.86%
TSE:KNRKontrol Technologies Corp.2.500.000.00%
TSE:ALYAAlithya Group, Inc. Class A1.04-0.58-35.80%
TSE:PVTPivotree, Inc.1.15-0.45-28.13%

Nerds On Site Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Nerds On Site Delivers Record Revenue and Near-Breakeven Results in Fiscal 2026 Turnaround

Positive
Sep 28, 2026

Nerds On Site reported record fiscal 2026 revenue of $13.44 million, up 11% year over year, alongside a 95% reduction in operating loss and a 52% improvement in net loss attributable to shareholders. The company cut SG&A expenses by 10%, improved ope...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026