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TIMIA Capital (MONT) AI Stock Analysis

TSE:MONT

TIMIA Capital

(TSXV:MONT)

Select Model
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:CAD 0.01â–²(0.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:01/13/26

The score is driven primarily by very weak financial performance (sharp revenue decline, large losses, persistent cash burn, and extremely high leverage). Technicals add additional downside risk with a clear downtrend versus key moving averages. Valuation provides limited support due to negative earnings and no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors
Business model — Revenue-based financingRBF aligns repayments with borrower revenue, creating cashflow-linked returns and fee income potential. As a non-dilutive option for growth firms, this model can sustain origination demand long-term, embedding contractual repayment caps that provide predictable payoff profiles when underwriting holds.
Negative Factors
Extremely high leverageLeverage at ~28x equity meaningfully magnifies losses and raises refinancing and covenant risk. With limited equity cushion, adverse portfolio performance or higher funding costs could force asset sales, restructurings, or distress, reducing long-term strategic flexibility and increasing solvency risk across market cycles.

TIMIA Capital (MONT) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%TSE:MONT0.00%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CAD 433.65K
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
―
Price to Earnings (P/E)
0.0
Beta (1Y)
-0.38
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
Canada
Employees
7
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Asset Management

TIMIA Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Montfort Capital Corp. is a financial services firm focused on developing, managing, and investing in companies that extend private credit across a variety of North American markets. The company offers tailored debt solutions, including asset-backed...

How the Company Makes Money

TIMIA Capital makes money primarily by originating and holding revenue-based financing (RBF) investments. Under this model, TIMIA provides upfront capital to a portfolio company and earns a return through contracted repayment streams that are general...

TIMIA Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are highly stressed: TTM revenue fell ~72% to ~4.9M, gross profit is negative, and net income is about -15.5M (net margin roughly -314%). The balance sheet is extremely leveraged (TTM debt ~253.5M vs equity ~8.9M; ~28x debt-to-equity) with shrinking equity, and cash generation is weak with TTM operating cash flow/free cash flow around -33.4M, increasing funding and solvency risk.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

12Very Negative

Cash Flow

15Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Feb 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.23M24.27M25.56M31.27M8.02M6.09M
Gross Profit-1.68M-19.55M25.56M31.27M8.84M6.09M
EBITDA-698.39K14.87M12.10M20.63M5.52M3.49M
Net Income-15.52M-23.69M-12.50M591.08K2.26M-586.34K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets267.14M413.08M402.51M455.47M125.08M41.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments962.34K2.03M6.85M7.01M9.31M12.87M
Total Debt253.50M211.21M371.49M373.73M73.98M6.95M
Total Liabilities258.24M401.23M364.28M402.60M111.95M7.57M
Stockholders Equity8.90M11.85M35.77M50.27M13.13M7.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-33.44M-43.69M-30.20M-49.33M7.04M-4.42M
Operating Cash Flow-33.44M-43.69M-30.20M-49.33M7.04M-4.42M
Investing Cash Flow-57.71M3.76M256.82K-2.23M-4.57M0
Financing Cash Flow20.77M36.82M31.22M47.02M-5.15M13.18M

TIMIA Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.01

Price Trends

50DMA0.01Negative
100DMA0.01Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Negative
RSI46.30Neutral
STOCH0.00Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MONT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.01, below the 50-day MA of 0.01, and compared to the 200-day MA of , indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 0.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:MONT.

TIMIA Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TSE:MONT against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:QCATSE:QCA62NeutralCAD 4.63M2.0022.71%―-280.28%―
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TSE:MONTTSE:MONT42NeutralCAD 433.65K0.05103.05%―――
TSE:IDKTSE:IDK41NeutralCAD 10.37M-0.79-53.97%―39.12%48.22%
TSE:FGFLTSE:FGFL37UnderperformCAD 2.33M9.2613.48%―――
TSE:LLLTSE:LLL32UnderperformCAD 619.25K0.67568.36%――-209.94%
TSE:BLR.XTSE:BLR.X24UnderperformCAD 176.50K-0.0390.47%――-235.46%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%TSE:MONTTSE:BLR.XTSE:IDKTSE:QCATSE:FGFLTSE:LLLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSE:MONT and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:MONTTIMIA Capital0.010.000.00%
TSE:BLR.XBlackhawk Resource0.02-0.08-79.80%
TSE:IDKThreeD Capital0.110.0446.67%
TSE:QCAQuinsam Capital0.05-0.00-9.09%
TSE:FGFLFirst Growth Funds Ltd.0.030.02200.00%
TSE:LLLLanebury Growth Capital Ltd.0.060.0120.00%

TIMIA Capital Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures

Montfort Capital Reports Q3 2025 Results Amid Restructuring and Leadership Changes

Neutral
Nov 21, 2025

Montfort Capital Corp. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting the positive impact of restructuring efforts focused on reducing overhead expenses and concentrating operations in Toronto. Despite a decrease in total...

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackM&A Transactions

Montfort Capital Finalizes Pivot Group Sale and Share Repurchase

Neutral
Nov 4, 2025

Montfort Capital Corp. has completed the sale of its Pivot Group to Pivot Endgame Corp. and concurrently repurchased and canceled a significant number of shares from Dan Flaro, the president of the Pivot Group. The sale involved a cash consideration...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions

Montfort Capital Updates Pivot Sale Agreement and Announces Auditor Change

Neutral
Oct 21, 2025

Montfort Capital Corp. has amended its agreement to sell the Pivot Group to a third-party investment fund, revising the payment terms to include a $1,000,000 cash consideration and a non-interest bearing promissory note. The sale’s closing date...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026