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i-80 Gold Corp (IAU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:IAU

i-80 Gold Corp

(TSX:IAU)

Select Model
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:CAD 2.50â–²(30.21% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance: persistent losses, ongoing cash burn, and higher leverage increase financing and execution risk. Technicals are supportive (price above major moving averages with positive MACD), but near-term overbought signals and high volatility temper the setup. The latest earnings call was moderately constructive on guidance and long-term growth milestones, but rising cash burn and operational bottlenecks remain key risks.

Positive Factors
Scalable Production PlatformThe planned hub-and-spoke platform could materially increase production while shifting the company toward a lower-cost operating model. Combining multiple Nevada assets through Lone Tree may improve processing efficiency, support scale benefits, and create a clearer foundation for sustained growth.
Negative Factors
Deep and Persistent LossesStrong revenue growth has not yet translated into sustainable profitability, as the cost structure remains far above the level supported by current production. Continued large losses could absorb funding needed for development and make the path to durable earnings dependent on successful operational scaling.

i-80 Gold Corp (IAU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%120%TSE:IAU+38.13%EWC+21.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
CAD 1.67B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.00M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-4.7
Beta (1Y)
3.49
Revenue Growth
33.85%
EPS Growth
-29.28%
Country
Canada
Employees
133
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Gold

i-80 Gold Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

i-80 Gold Corp. specializes in the exploration, development, and production of gold and silver mineral deposits within the United States. The company holds a 100% interest in the Lone Tree property, encompassing approximately 12,000 acres in Northern...

How the Company Makes Money

i-80 Gold Corp’s earnings are primarily intended to come from the sale of precious metals (mainly gold, and to a lesser extent silver and other by-products) produced from its Nevada mining assets. The company generates revenue when it mines ore, proc...

i-80 Gold Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 02, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-0.52%|Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2025
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive. Management reported continued progress across Granite Creek, Archimedes, Lone Tree, and Mineral Point; higher year-to-date production; increased revenue and gross profit; strong liquidity; and substantial longer-term production targets. The principal challenges were lower quarterly production and sales, higher Granite Creek mining costs, workforce and processing constraints, increased losses and cash use during the development phase, delayed technical studies, and higher Cove dewatering costs. Management nevertheless stated that the projects remain on schedule or largely on budget and that the development objectives remain intact.

Positive Updates

Granite Creek Feasibility Study Established Reserves and Extended Mine Life
The Granite Creek Underground Feasibility Study established maiden mineral reserves, outlined robust project economics, increased the planned production rate, and extended mine life to eight-and-a-half years after accounting for more than a year of depletion since the PEA.

Negative Updates

Granite Creek Mining Volumes Below Plan
Total ore tons and material mined at Granite Creek were lower than plan because of high contractor workforce turnover caused by increased competition for skilled underground labor. Reduced material movement delayed access to some high-grade headings.

Company Guidance

Management expects 2026 production to be in the lower half of the guidance range, Granite Creek Underground to reach the lower half of its full-year production guidance range of 30,000-40,000 oz, operating costs to be at or below the low end of the guidance range, sustaining capital, growth capital, and pre-development expense to be at the low end of the guidance range, and exploration expenses to be below the guidance range. Archimedes’ first gold mine is expected in the fourth quarter of this year, with mining rates targeting somewhere in the range of 1,500 tons per day towards the end of 2027 versus a probable 700-800 range entering 2027; Lone Tree’s first gold pour is targeted for Q4 2027, with the $430 million capital estimate largely in line, labor costs approximately 5%-10% above original estimates, and approximately 20% of total contingency used at quarter end. The company plans to grow from a higher-cost 40,000-50,000 oz per year producer into a lower-cost 150,000-200,000 oz per year producer beginning in 2028, Mineral Point supports a medium-term target of 400,000-500,000 oz of gold equivalent production by the early 2030s, and Granite Creek Open Pit supports a longer-term target of 500,000-600,000 oz of annual gold production by the mid-2030s; in a perfect world, management would stockpile at least 200,000 tons before Lone Tree commissioning.

i-80 Gold Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Despite higher TTM revenue, profitability remains very weak with negative gross profit in recent annual periods and consistently negative EBIT/EBITDA. Cash generation is persistently negative (operating cash flow and free cash flow negative across periods), implying continued reliance on external financing. Balance-sheet risk increased as debt rose sharply while equity declined, lifting debt-to-equity to ~1.72 in TTM, raising refinancing/dilution risk while losses persist.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

33Negative

Cash Flow

22Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Mar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue130.76M89.17M50.34M54.91M36.96M0
Gross Profit8.30M-9.72M-15.72M-5.14M3.57M-387.00K
EBITDA-228.05M-140.99M-85.27M-57.82M-67.71M-23.95M
Net Income-265.04M-174.65M-121.53M-89.65M-79.20M88.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.16B703.42M655.63M654.28M641.96M656.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments411.36M63.24M19.00M16.28M48.28M87.66M
Total Debt453.04M174.72M192.08M194.42M115.88M41.44M
Total Liabilities931.11M356.65M314.96M308.99M308.55M249.37M
Stockholders Equity224.59M346.77M340.66M345.30M333.41M406.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-247.86M-95.27M-84.52M-94.13M-96.06M-19.02M
Operating Cash Flow-186.15M-85.64M-82.50M-54.62M-45.84M-13.01M
Investing Cash Flow-61.71M-9.62M-1.59M-42.51M-54.73M-137.59M
Financing Cash Flow535.87M141.09M82.67M65.16M61.43M222.90M

i-80 Gold Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1.92

Price Trends

50DMA2.23Negative
100DMA2.18Negative
200DMA2.22Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.08Negative
RSI40.97Neutral
STOCH60.32Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IAU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.03, below the 50-day MA of 2.23, and below the 200-day MA of 2.22, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:IAU.

i-80 Gold Corp Risk Analysis

i-80 Gold Corp disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. i-80 Gold Corp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

i-80 Gold Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

TSE:IAU against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:ORETSE:ORE79OutperformCAD 2.09B10.6024.45%―92.51%33.10%
TSE:RIOTSE:RIO68NeutralCAD 1.53B32.1410.53%――751.55%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
TSE:IAUTSE:IAU52NeutralCAD 1.72B-4.72-93.96%―33.85%-29.28%
TSE:ASETSE:ASE38UnderperformCAD 587.96M-0.95-485.87%―――

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%TSE:IAUTSE:ASETSE:ORETSE:RIODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TSE:IAU and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:IAUi-80 Gold Corp1.920.5035.21%
TSE:ASEAsante Gold0.63-1.53-70.83%
TSE:OREOrezone Gold Corporation2.821.3997.20%
TSE:RIORio2 Ltd2.670.4319.20%

i-80 Gold Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

i-80 Gold’s Nevada Drilling Results Point to Expansion Potential at Mineral Point

Positive
Sep 22, 2026

i-80 Gold Corp reported encouraging initial assay results from its 2026 infill and step-out drilling campaign at the Mineral Point open pit heap leach project in Nevada. The project, located on the Ruby Hill property along the Battle Mountain-Eureka...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

i-80 Gold’s Granite Creek Study Boosts Reserves and Nevada Growth Plan

Positive
Sep 21, 2026

i-80 Gold Corp has released a feasibility study for its Granite Creek Underground project in northern Nevada, confirming initial proven and probable reserves of 556,500 ounces of gold at an average grade of 7.87 g/t. Measured and indicated undergroun...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

i-80 Gold Lifts Output as Nevada Projects Advance, Despite Wider Quarterly Loss

Positive
Aug 10, 2026

i-80 Gold Corp reported second-quarter 2026 results showing strong operational progress, as Granite Creek underground development continued ahead of plan and Archimedes advanced on schedule toward becoming the firm’s second underground mine. Refurbis...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026