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Geodrill (GEO) AI Stock Analysis

TSE:GEO

Geodrill

(TSX:GEO)

Select Model
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:CAD 3.00â–²(5.82% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/27/26

Profitability deterioration and margin compression are the dominant risks, partially mitigated by balance sheet strength, record revenue demand, and short-term bullish technical signals.

Positive Factors
Strong Revenue GrowthRecord quarterly revenue and year-over-year growth show that Geodrill is capturing sustained drilling activity rather than relying solely on a temporary volume spike. Continued top-line expansion can support fleet utilization, operating leverage, and investment in productivity improvements over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Material Margin CompressionThe sharp decline in gross margin indicates that revenue growth is not currently translating efficiently into profit. Lower contract economics reduce operating leverage and leave less room to absorb labor, fuel, consumable, mobilization, and currency pressures, making margin recovery central to durable earnings improvement.

Geodrill (GEO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%TSE:GEO-20.81%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CAD 134.70M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
25.61K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-7.5
Beta (1Y)
1.24
Revenue Growth
12.59%
EPS Growth
-194.85%
Country
Canada
Employees
52
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Industrial Materials

Geodrill Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Geodrill Limited, along with its subsidiaries, delivers specialized mineral exploration drilling services to mining enterprises operating in West Africa, Zambia, and Peru. The company offers a broad spectrum of drilling solutions, encompassing revers...

How the Company Makes Money

Geodrill makes money primarily by providing contract drilling services to mineral exploration and mining customers. Revenue is generated through drilling contracts where the company is paid for delivering meters drilled and/or time and equipment used...

Geodrill Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 09, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:8.21%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 08, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presents a mixed picture: strong top-line performance and robust market demand (record revenue, healthy fleet utilization, multi-year customer commitments) but material deterioration in profitability driven by inflationary pressures, currency effects and operational issues (notably in Chile). Management emphasizes execution and converting current demand into improved margins, while taking steps to address underperforming Chilean contracts and retaining cash to support operations.

Positive Updates

Record Quarterly Revenue
Revenue of $55.1M in Q2 2026 — the highest quarterly revenue in Geodrill's history — representing a 10% increase versus Q2 2025.

Negative Updates

Significant Margin Compression
Gross margin fell to 16% from 24% year-over-year (down 8 percentage points). EBITDA margin fell to 14% from 28% YoY (down 14 percentage points), reflecting meaningful margin deterioration.

Company Guidance

The company’s guidance emphasized execution to convert record activity into profitability: with Q2 revenue of $55.1M (+10% y/y) and a modern fleet of 104 rigs, management said it will focus on improving Chile performance, driving productivity gains and cost control to lift gross profit ($8.8M in Q2; gross margin 16% vs 24% LY) and EBITDA ($7.9M; EBITDA margin 14% vs 28% LY) after a Q2 net loss of ~ $0.2M (vs. $5.4M net income in Q2 2025). Management reiterated a constructive market backdrop (healthy exploration budgets, strong gold and copper fundamentals, multi‑rig/multi‑year commitments), will prioritize maintaining cash on the balance sheet (shareholders’ equity ~ $118M) over buybacks/dividends for now, and will pursue client‑by‑client streamlining in Chile while continuing Cote d’Ivoire repayments (scheduled $8.4M; ~ $4.5M repaid through June, monthly payments reduced from ~ $900k to $450k).

Geodrill Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong balance sheet with minimal leverage supports stability, but severe margin compression and shift to net losses create significant profitability concerns.

Income Statement

38Negative

Balance Sheet

79Positive

Cash Flow

47Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue187.89M188.15M143.05M130.54M138.63M115.21M
Gross Profit22.98M33.19M34.68M30.59M40.58M30.10M
EBITDA21.94M30.92M31.16M20.56M38.35M29.45M
Net Income-12.86M-1.55M9.26M3.90M18.92M14.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets183.35M176.28M161.49M148.61M141.23M116.56M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.82M18.93M19.52M15.81M15.11M13.53M
Total Debt12.78M10.26M3.45M978.29K5.82M7.61M
Total Liabilities65.78M59.08M41.97M38.65M34.17M29.03M
Stockholders Equity118.44M117.90M119.88M110.12M107.07M87.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.18M-1.82M372.49K-4.28M8.40M150.12K
Operating Cash Flow8.71M16.40M21.05M11.00M25.29M14.78M
Investing Cash Flow-19.94M-18.22M-20.68M-15.28M-16.88M-14.63M
Financing Cash Flow-8.95M-2.83M-2.35M5.39M-2.85M2.83M

Geodrill Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2.83

Price Trends

50DMA2.68Positive
100DMA2.65Positive
200DMA2.95Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.05Negative
RSI59.94Neutral
STOCH80.15Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GEO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.64, above the 50-day MA of 2.68, and below the 200-day MA of 2.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.15 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GEO.

Geodrill Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

TSE:GEO against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:GMXTSE:GMX63NeutralCAD 113.88M13.2220.67%―176.97%1835.90%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
TSE:AGXTSE:AGX61NeutralCAD 195.05M47.367.81%―108.81%―
TSE:GEOTSE:GEO53NeutralCAD 134.70M-7.50-10.61%―12.59%-194.85%
TSE:FARTSE:FAR50NeutralCAD 217.23M13.6611.36%―16.55%-31.54%
TSE:OGDTSE:OGD41NeutralCAD 45.52M-30.28-2.18%―7.49%-119.48%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%TSE:GEOTSE:FARTSE:GMXTSE:OGDTSE:AGXDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSE:GEO and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:GEOGeodrill Limited Ord2.83-0.80-22.01%
TSE:FARForaco International2.220.2713.85%
TSE:GMXGlobex Mining Enterprises Inc.2.000.2614.94%
TSE:OGDOrbit Garant Drill1.19-0.41-25.63%
TSE:AGXSilver X Mining Corp.0.680.2040.21%

Geodrill Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures

Geodrill Sets Date to Unveil Q3 2026 Results

Neutral
Oct 13, 2026

Geodrill Limited, a leading drilling contractor in West Africa with expanding operations in other African countries and Chile, provides a wide range of services from exploration to grade control drilling for major, intermediate and junior mining and...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 27, 2026