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EcoSynthetix (ECO) AI Stock Analysis

TSE:ECO

EcoSynthetix

(TSX:ECO)

Select Model
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:CAD 1.50â–²(4.90% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/16/26

The score is primarily supported by a strong, low-leverage balance sheet and improving cash generation. However, persistent losses, recent revenue softness, negative valuation signals, and broadly bearish technical trends materially constrain the outlook.

Positive Factors
Bio-based specialty productsEcoSynthetix’s plant-derived polymers target replacement of petroleum-based ingredients in paper, packaging, and other industrial processes. This addresses a structural sustainability and formulation need, while qualified customer supply relationships can support repeat commercial adoption over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Continued unprofitabilityNegative EBIT and a continuing net loss show that EcoSynthetix has not yet converted its products and gross margin into durable operating profitability. This limits internally generated capital and leaves future progress dependent on further growth, cost control, or operating leverage.

EcoSynthetix (ECO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%TSE:ECO-67.21%EWC+23.59%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CAD 83.47M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
38.93K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-62.9
Beta (1Y)
0.66
Revenue Growth
1.02%
EPS Growth
-62.32%
Country
Canada
Employees
28
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Chemicals - Specialty

EcoSynthetix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

EcoSynthetix Inc., established in Burlington, Canada, in 1996, operates as a renewable chemistry company. It focuses on developing and commercializing bio-based technologies that serve as sustainable alternatives to conventional synthetic, petrochemi...

How the Company Makes Money

EcoSynthetix makes money primarily by selling its bio-based specialty products to industrial customers. Revenue is generated through (1) product sales of its plant-based polymer solutions supplied for use in customer manufacturing processes (includin...

EcoSynthetix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025(Q3-2025)|% Change Since:-67.28%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 02, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented a positive outlook with strong sales growth and market diversification, particularly in pulp and tissue markets, as well as progress in wood composites and personal care. However, there were concerns about declining gross profit percentage and increased SG&A expenses. Despite these challenges, the company's strategic market positioning and operational efficiencies indicate a strong potential for future growth.

Positive Updates

Sales Growth and Market Diversification
Sales were up 11% year-over-year, driven by strong demand in key end markets such as pulp, tissue, wood composites, and personal care.

Negative Updates

Decline in Gross Profit Percentage
Gross profit as a percentage of sales declined to 34.2%, down from 36.8% in the previous year, primarily due to higher manufacturing costs.

Company Guidance

During the EcoSynthetix 2025 Third Quarter Results Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics indicating growth and progress across its core markets. Sales increased by 11% year-over-year, driven by strong demand in pulp, tissue, and wood composites, with volumes in these segments exceeding the overall sales growth rate. The company's gross profit margin was reported at 34.2%, down from 36.8% in the same period in 2024, attributed to higher manufacturing costs due to product mix. Notably, the demand for EcoSynthetix’s SurfLock strength aids from a major global pulp manufacturer increased significantly, with their annual run rate on the first line growing from $1 million to over $3 million. EcoSynthetix also achieved two new tissue account wins during the quarter, partly through their collaboration with the European distributor, R&M Group. In personal care, the company observed an uptick in demand from its partner Dow, signaling potential growth in this market segment. Financially, net sales for the quarter were $5.8 million, with SG&A expenses rising to $1.8 million and R&D expenses declining to $390,000. Adjusted EBITDA was reported at $200,000 for the quarter, and the company maintained a cash reserve of $30.4 million as of September 30, 2025.

EcoSynthetix Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The low-debt balance sheet is a clear strength, while improving but still loss-making operations and volatile cash flow limit the score.

Income Statement

42Neutral

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.09M21.16M18.54M12.66M19.03M18.16M
Gross Profit5.92M6.14M5.31M2.78M4.15M3.97M
EBITDA-868.88K-636.30K-2.02M-3.24M-1.77M-1.86M
Net Income-948.68K-441.39K-1.37M-2.82M-1.32M-3.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets40.99M42.65M41.28M42.84M48.19M50.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.10M29.53M32.20M33.28M25.86M42.23M
Total Debt1.92M2.19M237.79K584.36K819.47K1.08M
Total Liabilities3.04M4.13M1.94M1.87M3.14M3.18M
Stockholders Equity37.95M38.52M39.35M40.97M45.06M47.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-223.10K-885.09K236.11K-1.31M-5.17M94.09K
Operating Cash Flow1.15M-23.96K1.10M316.99K-4.90M474.07K
Investing Cash Flow1.86M2.21M3.47M2.00M-31.15M24.69M
Financing Cash Flow-1.17M-1.72M-1.73M-2.27M-1.51M474.28K

EcoSynthetix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1.43

Price Trends

50DMA1.94Negative
100DMA2.38Negative
200DMA2.94Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.15Positive
RSI32.95Neutral
STOCH16.72Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ECO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.69, below the 50-day MA of 1.94, and below the 200-day MA of 2.94, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:ECO.

EcoSynthetix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

TSE:ECO against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
TSE:BOSTSE:BOS57NeutralCAD 172.54M-20.84-5.06%2.20%6.10%-46.82%
TSE:ECOTSE:ECO52NeutralCAD 83.47M-62.88-2.47%―1.02%-62.32%
TSE:NANOTSE:NANO47NeutralCAD 94.63M-5.62-81.75%――-42.93%
TSE:CNOTSE:CNO43NeutralCAD 18.71M-7.14-89.62%―-29.28%-95.12%
TSE:GMGTSE:GMG42NeutralCAD 260.86M-8.23-969.63%―224.03%-204.33%
TSE:SURETSE:SURE36UnderperformCAD 5.25M-5.25-24.00%――-904.55%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%TSE:ECOTSE:BOSTSE:CNOTSE:NANOTSE:GMGTSE:SUREDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSE:ECO and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:ECOEcoSynthetix Inc.1.42-2.88-66.98%
TSE:BOSAirboss of America6.352.1852.42%
TSE:CNOCalifornia Nanotechnologies0.40-0.01-1.23%
TSE:NANONano One Materials0.79-0.86-52.12%
TSE:GMGGraphene Manufacturing Group Ltd1.950.6853.54%
TSE:SURESureNano Science Ltd0.13-0.02-16.67%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 16, 2026