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Collective Mining (CNL) AI Stock Analysis

TSE:CNL

Collective Mining

(TSX:CNL)

Select Model
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:CAD 14.50â–¼(-0.82% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/10/26

The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—no revenue, widening losses, and substantial negative free cash flow that increases reliance on external financing. Technicals are mixed/neutral and do not materially improve conviction, while valuation inputs are constrained by a negative P/E and no dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Low Leverage and Equity CushionThe company currently has a sizeable equity base relative to debt and modest leverage, providing some financial flexibility while exploration assets are advanced. This cushion can help support ongoing programs and reduce balance-sheet strain, although funding needs are increasing.
Negative Factors
No Operating RevenueThe absence of revenue confirms that the company remains pre-production and has no operating sales base to fund exploration or corporate costs. This leaves near-term financial performance dependent on project advancement and access to capital rather than internally generated business income.

Collective Mining (CNL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%TSE:CNL-4.32%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CAD 973.80M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
167.50K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-16.3
Beta (1Y)
1.71
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
-12.73%
Country
Canada
Employees
154
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Gold

Collective Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Collective Mining Ltd. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties located in Colombia. The company explores gold, silver, copper, and tungsten deposits. It holds 100% interest in its flagship project The Guayabales...

Collective Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement and cash flow are weak: zero revenue across periods, widening net losses through TTM, and deeply negative operating/free cash flow indicating an elevated and rising burn rate. The balance sheet is a partial offset with sizeable equity and still-modest leverage, but increasing debt points to ongoing financing needs.

Income Statement

12Very Negative

Balance Sheet

54Neutral

Cash Flow

18Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Dec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue000000
Gross Profit-563.70K-97.50K-44.38K-22.43K-8,809-6,606
EBITDA-54.17M-48.35M-26.56M-18.87M-17.15M-10.24M
Net Income-56.66M-49.86M-26.95M-19.13M-17.27M-17.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets168.53M158.05M42.56M16.97M10.14M17.27M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments93.57M129.65M38.93M14.17M8.50M16.31M
Total Debt14.65M1.86M155.53K119.70K76.61K121.65K
Total Liabilities52.65M12.92M5.55M4.25M3.20M1.69M
Stockholders Equity115.88M145.13M37.01M12.72M6.94M15.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-63.25M-41.83M-22.81M-17.29M-14.54M-8.10M
Operating Cash Flow-46.73M-35.88M-22.57M-16.94M-14.22M-7.87M
Investing Cash Flow-25.23M-14.66M-238.93K-353.51K-319.01K-234.03K
Financing Cash Flow96.15M140.73M49.30M22.26M7.26M23.07M

Collective Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price14.62

Price Trends

50DMA18.39Negative
100DMA18.56Negative
200DMA21.16Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.81Negative
RSI36.24Neutral
STOCH48.58Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CNL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.06, below the 50-day MA of 18.39, and below the 200-day MA of 21.16, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.81 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:CNL.

Collective Mining Risk Analysis

Collective Mining disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Collective Mining reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.The Registrants have identified material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting. If these material weaknesses are not remediated, they could result in material misstatements in the Registrants' financial statements.Q4, 2019
2.Cleco may be required to provide credit support to its counterparties, which could have a material adverse effect on the Registrants' liquidity ratios and liquidity.Q4, 2019
3.Changes in the method of determining LIBOR, or the replacement of LIBOR with an alternative reference rate, may adversely affect interest expense related to outstanding debt.Q4, 2019

Collective Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

TSE:CNL against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:RIOTSE:RIO68NeutralCAD 1.39B18.1422.56%―――
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
TSE:IAUTSE:IAU51NeutralCAD 1.68B-5.00-85.63%―67.80%-2.37%
TSE:CNLTSE:CNL47NeutralCAD 1.26B-16.35-49.67%――-12.73%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%TSE:CNLTSE:RIOTSE:IAUDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSE:CNL and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:CNLCollective Mining Ltd14.62-1.99-11.98%
TSE:RIORio2 Ltd2.530.187.66%
TSE:IAUi-80 Gold Corp1.940.6246.97%

Collective Mining Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Collective Mining Hits High-Grade Gold Outside Apollo Resource, Signalizing Growth Potential

Positive
Oct 27, 2026

Collective Mining reported multiple high-grade gold and silver intercepts from the Shallow Halo Zone of the Apollo deposit, including significant mineralization outside the current mineral resource, as part of its 2026 drilling program at the Guayaba...

Business Operations and Strategy

Collective Mining Unveils High-Grade Tungsten-Gold Discovery at Apollo in Colombia

Positive
Sep 24, 2026

Collective Mining has reported a new high-grade tungsten and gold discovery in schist rock south of and outside the Apollo breccia body at its Guayabales Project in Colombia. The key intercept from drill hole APC150-D4, located roughly 927 meters bel...

Business Operations and Strategy

Collective Mining to Spotlight Apollo Deposit at Mining Forum Americas 2026

Positive
Sep 23, 2026

Collective Mining will showcase its flagship Guayabales project and Apollo deposit at Mining Forum Americas 2026 in Colorado Springs, where Executive Chairman Ari Sussman is scheduled to deliver a livestreamed presentation to investors and industry p...

Business Operations and Strategy

Collective Mining Advances Apollo Flowsheet with Strong Copper and Tungsten Recoveries

Positive
Sep 21, 2026

Collective Mining is refining an integrated dual-route processing flowsheet for the Apollo deposit at its Guayabales Project in Colombia, aiming to support a planned 2027 licensing submission. The strategy separates the deposit into higher-grade copp...

Business Operations and Strategy

Collective Mining Unveils Maiden Resource at Apollo Deposit in Colombia

Positive
Sep 8, 2026

Collective Mining Ltd. has reported a maiden mineral resource for its Apollo deposit at the Guayabales Project in Caldas, Colombia, confirming both sizable open pit and underground potential in gold-equivalent ounces. The initial estimate outlines 37...

Business Operations and Strategy

Collective Mining Sets Maiden Apollo Resource and Outlines Aggressive Exploration Plans

Positive
Sep 8, 2026

Collective Mining Ltd. said it will publish its maiden mineral resource estimate for the Apollo deposit at the Guayabales project in Caldas, Colombia after markets close on September 8, 2026. The announcement marks a key milestone for the company&#82...

Business Operations and Strategy

Collective Mining Advances Orion and Victory Targets to Drilling at Guayabales Project

Positive
Sep 3, 2026

Collective Mining plans to start drilling this week at its newly defined Orion target at the Guayabales Project in Colombia, after surface work outlined a 350-meter by 300-meter mineralized zone with strong gold, silver, copper and molybdenum geochem...

Business Operations and Strategy

Collective Mining Extends High-Grade Apollo Breccia with New Northern Discovery

Positive
Sep 1, 2026

Collective Mining reported new drill results from its 2026 program at the Guayabales Project in Colombia, highlighting a significant northern extension of the Apollo breccia body. Two deep directional drill holes from Pad 37 intersected high-grade, g...

Business Operations and Strategy

Collective Mining Posts Strong Metallurgical Results at Apollo and Accelerates Resource Timeline

Positive
Aug 25, 2026

Collective Mining reported robust metallurgical results from a master composite representing the top 1,000 meters of the Apollo system at its Guayabales Project in Colombia, with locked-cycle tests showing recoveries of 95% gold, 92% silver and 85% c...

Business Operations and Strategy

Collective Mining Advances Guayabales Adit Toward 2026 Construction

Positive
Aug 18, 2026

Collective Mining has completed a 1.8-kilometer access road linking the Pan American Highway to the planned exploration adit portal at its Guayabales Project in Colombia. With permits secured, portal platform and box-cut work will begin immediately,...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 10, 2026