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Coeur Mining (CDE) AI Stock Analysis

TSE:CDE

Coeur Mining

(TSX:CDE)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Strong cash generationRecent cash generation is substantial relative to the company’s operating scale, giving Coeur resources to fund mine development, exploration, debt reduction and shareholder returns. The strong conversion of earnings into free cash flow also supports financial resilience over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Mine ramp execution riskDelayed throughput improvements at New Afton and below-plan underground rates at Rainy River create execution risk for production and cash-flow targets. Although management has outlined recovery milestones, further delays could defer the expected contribution from these important assets.

Coeur Mining (CDE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%175%TSE:CDE+51.54%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CAD 13.55B
Dividend Yield
0.15%
Average Volume (3M)
536.90K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.4
Beta (1Y)
-0.85
Revenue Growth
114.67%
EPS Growth
209.62%
Country
Canada
Employees
2,620
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Gold

Coeur Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Coeur Mining, Inc. is a company primarily focused on the exploration and development of precious metal deposits across North America, with operations spanning the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The company's key activities involve discovering and...

Coeur Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-25.18%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call conveyed a broadly positive picture driven by record revenue, EBITDA and free cash flow, a strengthened balance sheet with >$1.1B cash and >$2B liquidity, meaningful contributions from newly acquired Canadian assets, strong operational milestones (e.g., Rochester crushing record) and active capital returns. Offsetting items are operational ramp timing issues at New Afton and Rainy River, temporary lower grades at several mines, noncash acquisition accounting impacts that inflate near-term reported costs and EBITDA, and some cost inflation and incremental capital needs. Management presented clear remediation plans and timing for ramp-ups and expects many headwinds to abate in the third and fourth quarters, supporting a constructive outlook.

Positive Updates

Record Quarterly Revenue
Revenue reached $1.1 billion in Q2, marking the first time quarterly revenue passed $1 billion and representing a 27% increase quarter-over-quarter.

Negative Updates

Lower-than-Planned Grades
Several operations experienced below-planned grades in Q2 (Kensington, Rochester, Palmarejo and portions of New Afton), creating headwinds to production; management expects grades to rebound in the second half of the year.

Company Guidance

The company reiterated a materially second‑half weighted outlook for 2026, guiding to approximately $2.3 billion of EBITDA and ~$1.5 billion of free cash flow on updated metal price assumptions of $4,000/oz gold, $60/oz silver and $6.00/lb copper; Q2 set several records (revenue $1.1B, EBITDA $478M despite a ~$140M Q2 non‑cash fair‑value uplift charge, and free cash flow $388M or >$4M/day), cash at June 30 of $1.1B (liquidity >$2B), and buyback/dividend actions (expanded $750M buyback program, $110M repurchased through June 30, inaugural $0.02 dividend, $39M capital lease debt retired). Management disclosed acquisition accounting charges of $244M (Rainy River) and $20M (New Afton) in total (≈$85M hit in Q1, ~$140M in Q2, ~$38M remaining expected in Q3) that materially inflated CAS (Rainy River Q2 uplift = $2,036/oz of a $3,790/oz site CAS; consolidated uplift = $834/oz of a $2,440/oz consolidated CAS). Operationally, Rochester crushed a record 6.8M tonnes in Q2 (↑15% QoQ; ~97% through all three crushers) with Phase IIa leach pad >4M tonnes placed to July (Series IIb on track for Q4); New Afton averaged ~12k tpd in Q2, hit 14k tpd in late July and targets 16k tpd early Q4; Rainy River underground averaged ~2.3k tpd in Q2, rose to ~3.3k tpd in July and targets 5k tpd by year‑end (Q2 mine‑level FCF $123M), while company‑wide 2026 operating costs are expected to rise ~10% (~$30M) and CapEx was adjusted to include +$45M of Phase‑5 capitalized stripping and +$25M of underground-related spend at Rainy River plus +$15M at Silvertip for a PFS.

Coeur Mining Risk Analysis

Coeur Mining disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Coeur Mining reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.New Gold's public filings are subject to Canadian disclosure standards, which differ from SEC disclosure requirements.Q4, 2025
2.The pendency of the New Gold Transaction may cause disruptions in our business, which could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition or results of operations.Q4, 2025
3.The New Gold Transaction is subject to a number of conditions which may not be satisfied or waived, may delay its consummation and could result in additional expenditures of money and resources or reduce the anticipated benefits, or result in termination of the Arrangement Agreement and Coeur having to pay a termination fee.Q4, 2025

Coeur Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

TSE:CDE against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HMYHMY84Outperform$9.30B5.2346.23%5.35%49.72%120.32%
GFIGFI77Outperform$29.33B6.5551.87%7.16%71.19%133.85%
NEMNEM77Outperform$110.79B12.3426.45%0.97%23.41%33.87%
SSRMSSRM75Outperform$5.40B20.0610.25%0.11%48.40%42.80%
AUAU74Outperform$40.29B10.6245.77%5.66%――
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%TSE:CDEGFIHMYNEMSSRMAUDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSE:CDE and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:CDECoeur Mining18.306.2251.54%
GFIGold Fields32.92-3.60-9.87%
HMYHarmony Gold Mining Co. Ltd14.45-1.08-6.97%
NEMNewmont Mining106.6125.7531.84%
SSRMSsr Mining26.483.6115.79%
AUAnglogold Ashanti PLC79.7915.7224.54%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.