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Anaergia (ANRG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ANRG

Anaergia

(TSX:ANRG)

Select Model
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:CAD 2.00▼(-6.54% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/12/26

The score is primarily held back by weak financial quality—negative equity and negative free cash flow despite improving revenue and positive net income. Technicals also remain bearish with the stock below major moving averages and negative MACD. Offsetting factors include a constructive earnings call with record backlog, continued positive adjusted EBITDA, and balance-sheet actions (divestitures and expanded credit capacity), while valuation appears moderate based on the provided P/E.

Positive Factors
Record Backlog and Global ReachThe record backlog and broad international operating footprint provide a substantial base for future project revenue. Expansion across Europe, North America, and Australia also broadens customer access and creates opportunities for repeat business as regional centers support new markets.
Negative Factors
Negative Shareholders’ EquityNegative equity reflects accumulated losses and materially limits financial flexibility. Even with moderate absolute debt, the capital structure leaves less capacity to absorb setbacks, fund expansion internally, or refinance obligations without potentially relying on additional financing or dilution.

Anaergia (ANRG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%TSE:ANRG-2.73%EWC+21.04%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
CAD 369.04M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
136.31K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
28.0
Beta (1Y)
1.04
Revenue Growth
80.79%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Canada
Employees
285
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Waste Management

Anaergia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Anaergia Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides solutions for the generation of renewable energy and conversion of waste to resources in Italy, North America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through three...

How the Company Makes Money

Anaergia primarily makes money through (1) project development and delivery and (2) ongoing services tied to operating waste-to-energy/waste-to-resources facilities. 1) Project/EPC and technology-related revenue - Anaergia generates revenue by design...

Anaergia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:21.59%|Next Earnings Date:Jul 06, 2024
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive, with substantial revenue growth, a record $303.1 million backlog, positive adjusted EBITDA for the fifth consecutive quarter, a return to net income, portfolio simplification, debt reduction, expanded credit capacity, and major new awards in Hungary and Australia. The main challenges were year-over-year gross margin compression, higher quarterly SG&A, the prior underperformance of divested facilities, the gradual SoCal capacity ramp, and the need to convert backlog into earnings and cash flow.

Positive Updates

Strong Revenue Growth and Operating Momentum
Q3 2026 revenue was $66.9 million, up 30.3% from $51.4 million in Q3 2025, driven primarily by increased capital sale project execution in North America, Italy, and other EMEA markets. Nine-month revenue increased 71.5% to $186 million from $108.5 million and already exceeded revenue for all of 2025.

Negative Updates

Year-over-Year Gross Margin Compression
Q3 gross margin was 24.5%, down from 28.8% in Q3 2025. Year-to-date gross margin was 23.4%, compared with 28.3% in the prior-year period. Management said the comparison was affected in part by operating costs from the Rhode Island and Charlotte facilities through their September 29 divestiture.

Company Guidance

Management said it is “more confident than ever” that capital sales backlog will be “much higher” than today, with “a few more” releases in the upcoming weeks; CapEx “will go back to normal”; previously announced capital sale contracts are “well into execution,” large projects in Italy and North America are “proceeding normal course,” and “we expect that trend to continue.” SoCal Biomethane is expected to improve “towards full capacity over the coming quarters,” with the company “approaching the nameplate” “over the coming quarters into next year.” Management does not expect “a material change on SG&A” as more work is secured, with additional resources added “as needed” and project costs “accretive to bottom line.”

Anaergia Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth has improved (TTM +15%) and net margin is positive (~6.4%), but operating profitability remains weak (EBIT still negative). The balance sheet is a major risk with negative stockholders’ equity (-$49.0M), and cash generation is the weakest link with negative free cash flow (-$5.6M) and poor cash conversion versus net income (FCF to NI -3.17).

Income Statement

46Neutral

Balance Sheet

28Negative

Cash Flow

22Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Mar 2025Jun 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue242.21M180.20M111.65M147.22M162.85M129.87M
Gross Profit47.31M40.01M25.63M14.60M28.60M31.63M
EBITDA7.92M-7.66M-38.37M-185.49M-53.59M-15.52M
Net Income15.48M6.96M-42.89M-182.60M-68.57M-17.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets260.90M237.94M233.33M278.67M935.11M703.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.66M43.45M30.22M22.11M55.38M79.32M
Total Debt74.57M64.69M71.71M70.89M377.65M221.50M
Total Liabilities205.13M182.41M180.12M205.08M592.97M367.30M
Stockholders Equity-48.97M-46.28M-57.65M-55.38M208.84M218.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.58M3.26M-41.01M-130.87M-152.97M-127.54M
Operating Cash Flow1.76M9.88M-30.23M-66.76M-30.56M-38.95M
Investing Cash Flow-26.52M-22.89M10.90M-27.80M-192.50M-149.62M
Financing Cash Flow16.05M5.21M32.52M64.76M198.13M239.55M

Anaergia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price2.14

Price Trends

50DMA2.20Negative
100DMA2.33Negative
200DMA2.49Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.09Negative
RSI59.26Neutral
STOCH72.42Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ANRG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.87, below the 50-day MA of 2.20, and below the 200-day MA of 2.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:ANRG.

Anaergia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

TSE:ANRG against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
TSE:ANRGTSE:ANRG49NeutralCAD 318.95M28.01-25.27%―80.79%―
TSE:YESTSE:YES40UnderperformCAD 26.45M-90.00-6.70%―11.30%97.22%
TSE:ROOFTSE:ROOF38UnderperformCAD 20.70M-1.30152.16%―6.95%-13.65%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%TSE:ANRGTSE:YESTSE:VTXTSE:ROOFDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TSE:ANRG and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:ANRGAnaergia, Inc.2.14-0.09-4.04%
TSE:YESCHAR Technologies0.18-0.02-10.00%
TSE:VTXVertex Resource Group Ltd.0.250.0631.58%
TSE:ROOFNorthstar Clean Technologies, Inc.0.14-0.16-54.10%

Anaergia Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy

Anaergia Wins C$34 Million Hungarian Biomethane Contract

Positive
Nov 9, 2026

Anaergia is a global technology and project delivery company that converts organic waste into renewable natural gas, fertilizer and clean water. Its integrated waste-to-value solutions serve municipalities, utilities, industrial customers and project...

Financial Disclosures

Anaergia Schedules Third-Quarter 2026 Results Release and Webcast

Neutral
Nov 5, 2026

Anaergia plans to publish third-quarter 2026 financial results after market close on November 11 and host an investor webcast the following morning. Senior executives will discuss the period ended September 30, giving shareholders and other stakehold...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions

Anaergia Sheds Non-Core Bioenergy Assets to Cut Debt and Refocus on Profitable Growth

Positive
Oct 1, 2026

Anaergia has sold its Charlotte Bioenergy Facility in North Carolina and its interests in the Rhode Island Bioenergy Facility, advancing a strategic shift toward more profitable assets and core markets. The company, which specializes in transforming...

Business Operations and Strategy

Anaergia Strikes C$36 Million Waste‑to‑Energy Deal with Hungary’s TisVet

Positive
Sep 29, 2026

Anaergia, through its Italian subsidiary Anaergia Srl, has signed a C$36 million technology and engineering agreement with Hungarian poultry producer TisVet Kft for a major agricultural‑waste‑to‑energy project in Hungary. The new anaerobic digestion...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2026