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ADENTRA (ADEN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ADEN

ADENTRA

(TSX:ADEN)

Select Model
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:CAD 41.00▲(10.19% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:11/11/26

The score reflects solid technical momentum and attractive valuation, supported by a generally positive earnings call (profit growth, deleveraging, dividend increase). The main constraint is only moderate underlying financial performance quality: multi-year profitability is still below prior peaks and cash-flow-to-debt coverage is relatively modest, alongside guidance noting continued soft organic demand and a weaker seasonal Q4.

Positive Factors
Pricing power and margin protectionThe ability to pass through sourcing and freight-cost increases while preserving distribution margins supports earnings resilience when input costs rise. This pricing discipline, combined with a service-enabled offering, can help sustain profitability across changing commodity and cost environments.
Negative Factors
Persistent soft organic demandPricing is currently supporting sales while underlying volumes remain negative, indicating that end-market demand has not yet recovered. Continued softness would limit organic growth, reduce operating leverage, and make future revenue performance more dependent on uncertain price movement.

ADENTRA (ADEN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%TSE:ADEN+17.45%EWC+19.77%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
CAD 630.38M
Dividend Yield
1.68%
Average Volume (3M)
42.60K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
8.8
Beta (1Y)
1.29
Revenue Growth
1.17%
EPS Growth
68.46%
Country
Canada
Employees
2,940
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Industrial - Distribution

ADENTRA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ADENTRA Inc. engages in the wholesale distribution of architectural building products to the residential, repair and remodel, and commercial construction markets in Canada and the United States. It offers doors, decorative surfaces, mouldings, stair...

How the Company Makes Money

ADENTRA makes money primarily by distributing building materials and earning a gross margin (the spread between its purchase cost from manufacturers and its selling price to customers) on product sales. Its key revenue stream is the sale of building...

ADENTRA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 09, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:5.53%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 15, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive. ADENTRA delivered sales, EBITDA, earnings-per-share and margin growth, reduced leverage, repaid debt, increased its dividend, completed a strategically aligned acquisition and reported a strong acquisition pipeline. These strengths were partly offset by continued soft demand, organic volume declines, seasonal fourth-quarter weakness, lower operating cash flow and ongoing uncertainty around inflation, pricing durability and the timing of AI benefits.

Positive Updates

Quarterly Sales and Earnings Growth
Third-quarter sales increased 4.5% year over year to $618.7 million, adjusted EBITDA increased 10.6% to $55.2 million, reported net income increased 56.8% to $15.9 million, adjusted net income increased 24.4% to $21.4 million, and adjusted basic earnings per share increased 27.1% to $0.89 from $0.70.

Negative Updates

Continued Softness in Organic Demand
Management stated that demand remained soft and that sales growth was driven by pricing rather than a recovery in organic volumes. Organic volumes were 1.6% below the prior year, U.S. organic volumes declined 1%, and fourth-quarter volumes were down low-single digits.

Company Guidance

Management said October sales were approximately 5% higher on an average daily sales basis compared with last year, but remains measured entering the seasonally slower fourth quarter; Q4 volumes should decrease from Q3, while Q3 is a good guide to the forward look for gross profit margin and the particularly strong fourth quarter gross profit margin last year is not necessarily expected to repeat. For 2027 planning, volumes are expected to be “steady as she goes,” with year-to-date volumes roughly flat, down a little, and fourth-quarter volumes down low-single digits; operating expenses are expected to increase low single digit or show low single-digit inflation. AI and digital tools are expected to scale in the first half of 2027, with more of the benefit harvested in the second half, although no numbers were provided for gross margin expansion or share gain. Mount Storm is expected to add approximately $20 million in annualized sales, and approximately 30% of the product mix is subject to tariffs today between 10% and 12.5%, while the current tariff regime is not expected to have a significant impact on the business.

ADENTRA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement trends are steady but not strong (TTM revenue up ~1.4% with net margin ~3.2%), leverage is moderate and improving (debt-to-equity ~0.86), and cash generation is positive (TTM FCF ~133M). Offsetting this, profitability remains well below 2021–2022 levels and cash-flow-to-debt coverage is modest (~0.41x), limiting flexibility if demand softens.

Income Statement

66Positive

Balance Sheet

63Positive

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.30B2.29B2.18B2.97B3.47B2.06B
Gross Profit436.13M419.14M474.06M617.81M748.07M475.27M
EBITDA202.61M191.30M169.82M214.54M431.12M230.45M
Net Income73.57M69.63M46.48M47.78M172.88M131.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.46B1.37B1.40B1.63B1.92B1.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.39M12.99M33.74M17.24M88.10M9.82M
Total Debt597.80M573.89M623.07M747.62M1.06B727.21M
Total Liabilities763.34M701.68M763.08M934.81M1.24B893.28M
Stockholders Equity698.23M668.80M634.57M698.36M686.41M527.68M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow133.28M149.86M133.54M299.96M268.56M-92.89M
Operating Cash Flow145.33M163.45M142.75M327.98M283.09M-83.37M
Investing Cash Flow-16.10M-6.70M-147.46M-18.20M-375.51M-387.74M
Financing Cash Flow-136.52M-176.72M30.00M-386.00M172.80M479.07M

ADENTRA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price37.21

Price Trends

50DMA35.49Positive
100DMA35.92Positive
200DMA35.36Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.61Negative
RSI63.39Neutral
STOCH86.42Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ADEN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.68, above the 50-day MA of 35.49, and above the 200-day MA of 35.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.42 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ADEN.

ADENTRA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

TSE:ADEN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:ALCTSE:ALC76OutperformCAD 1.30B7.0217.83%5.05%17.52%84.96%
TSE:ADENTSE:ADEN70OutperformCAD 914.06M8.8310.80%1.68%1.17%68.46%
TSE:RUSTSE:RUS65NeutralCAD 4.16B14.3118.02%2.18%30.50%90.48%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
TSE:TBLTSE:TBL63NeutralCAD 394.00M13.948.89%―-5.59%-34.15%
TSE:WJXTSE:WJX61NeutralCAD 737.09M12.5911.04%3.97%-4.44%31.27%
TSE:DBMTSE:DBM60NeutralCAD 875.43M10.1912.58%5.61%-0.96%10.25%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%TSE:ADENTSE:ALCTSE:DBMTSE:TBLTSE:WJXTSE:RUSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TSE:ADEN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:ADENAdentra Inc.37.214.7514.64%
TSE:ALCAlgoma Central32.3015.0987.65%
TSE:DBMDoman Building Materials Group Ltd.9.801.4417.20%
TSE:TBLTaiga Building Prod3.680.288.24%
TSE:WJXWajax Corporation36.0010.4640.94%
TSE:RUSRussel Metals78.8540.32104.66%

ADENTRA Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions

ADENTRA Delivers Q3 Earnings Growth and Lower Leverage

Positive
Nov 9, 2026

ADENTRA is one of North America’s largest distributors of architectural building products, serving residential, repair and remodel, and commercial construction markets through 82 facilities across the United States and Canada. Its broad distribution...

Financial Disclosures

ADENTRA Sets November 9 Date to Unveil Q3 2026 Results

Neutral
Oct 15, 2026

ADENTRA Inc. plans to release its third quarter 2026 financial results before markets open on November 9, 2026, and will hold a conference call later that morning led by Chief Executive Officer Rob Brown and Chief Financial Officer Faiz Karmally. The...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2026