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Ascend Wellness Holdings LLC (AAWH.USD) AI Stock Analysis

TSE:AAWH.USD

Ascend Wellness Holdings LLC

(CNQX:AAWH.USD)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
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No summary available

Positive Factors
Negative Factors

Ascend Wellness Holdings LLC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. engages in the cultivation, manufacture, and distribution of cannabis consumer packaged goods. Its cannabis product categories include flowers, pre-rolls, concentrates, vapes, edibles, and other cannabis-related product...

Ascend Wellness Holdings LLC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2026(Q2-2026)|Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call highlighted multiple operational and financial improvements: sequential revenue growth of 7.9%, retail-led expansion (+11.5% retail sales), adjusted EBITDA growth (~10.5%) and improving customer metrics (transactions +6.7%, traffic +20%, loyalty conversion). Product innovation and share gains were notable positives. Challenges include a modest wholesale decline (~1%), operational disruption from an Illinois union strike and a closed Michigan facility, lower-margin biomass sales, ongoing pricing pressure in some markets, and a reverse split proposal tied to uplisting efforts. On balance, positive momentum in retail densification, margin expansion and cash generation outweigh the transitory operational and market challenges.

Positive Updates

Revenue Growth
Net revenue of $126.1M in Q2 2026, up $9.2M or 7.9% sequentially, driven by retail expansion and same-store improvements.

Negative Updates

Wholesale Revenue Decline
Wholesale revenue was $33.4M, down $0.4M or ~1% sequentially, with weakness driven primarily by New Jersey volume/pricing and delivery disruptions in Illinois.

Company Guidance

Guidance for the next quarter calls for 2%–4% top-line growth driven by ramping new store openings and the M&A pipeline (partially offset by a month-long Illinois union strike that hit wholesale), with adjusted EBITDA margin expected to be similar to Q2’s 23.1% (Q2 results: $126.1M net revenue, $92.7M retail, $33.4M wholesale; adjusted EBITDA $29.1M; adjusted gross profit $58.3M and 46.2% margin), a full-year CapEx plan of about $20M (≈$11M deployed year-to-date, $5.8M in Q2) and liquidity of $67M at quarter end; the company expects to meet or exceed its 60‑store year‑end target (56 stores today) and is targeting a minimum ~35% return on invested capital for M&A.

Ascend Wellness Holdings LLC Risk Analysis

Ascend Wellness Holdings LLC disclosed 81 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ascend Wellness Holdings LLC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.We are subject to risks and uncertainties relating to the April 23, 2026 order issued by the U.S. Department of Justice rescheduling certain medical cannabis to Schedule III (the "April 2026 Order") and the related DEA administrative proceedings concerning broader cannabis rescheduling.Q2, 2026

Ascend Wellness Holdings LLC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

TSE:AAWH.USD against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:GTIITSE:GTII73OutperformCAD 1.90B11.416.82%―3.81%344.13%
TSE:CURATSE:CURA59NeutralCAD 3.12B-60.28-4.47%―1.50%81.84%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
TSE:VRNOTSE:VRNO51NeutralCAD 2.17B-1.65-28.93%―0.61%37.92%
TSE:CLTSE:CL45NeutralCAD 365.32M-1.89-28.27%―-5.83%-115.39%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%50%TSE:CURATSE:GTIITSE:CLTSE:VRNODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSE:AAWH.USD and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:CURACuraleaf Holdings (Otc)11.770.040.34%
TSE:GTIIGreen Thumb Industries (OTC)8.70-0.95-9.84%
TSE:CLCresco Labs OTC0.80-0.83-50.92%
TSE:VRNOVerano Holdings Corp.6.320.000.00%
Glossary
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HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.