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Cronos Group (US) (TSE:CRON)
:CRON
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Cronos Group (CRON) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CRON

Cronos Group

(NASDAQ:CRON)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
C$4.00
▲(13.31% Upside)
Cronos Group's overall stock score reflects a mix of strong earnings performance and financial stability, offset by operational inefficiencies and valuation concerns. The earnings call provided a positive outlook with significant revenue growth and improved margins, which are the most impactful factors. However, technical indicators suggest a lack of momentum, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 21% year-over-year revenue growth indicates strong demand and effective market strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Improved Gross Margin
Improved gross margins reflect better cost management and operational efficiency, enhancing profitability and competitiveness.
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with no debt provides financial stability and flexibility for strategic investments and growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Operational Inefficiencies
Negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight ongoing operational challenges, potentially impacting profitability and long-term growth.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow suggests cash management issues, which can limit investment in growth initiatives and affect financial health.
Limited Growth in Canadian Market
Slower growth in the Canadian market compared to international markets may hinder overall revenue expansion and market share gains.

Cronos Group (CRON) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Cronos Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCronos Group (CRON) is a global cannabinoid company focused on the production, marketing, and distribution of cannabis products. Operating in both the medical and recreational sectors, Cronos Group offers a diverse range of products, including dried flower, oils, and edibles, leveraging innovative technology and research to create unique cannabis-derived solutions. The company is dedicated to advancing the growth of the cannabis industry while adhering to quality standards and regulatory compliance across various markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyCronos Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of its cannabis products, including dried flower, oils, and edibles. The company operates in multiple jurisdictions, capturing revenue from both recreational and medical cannabis markets. Key revenue streams include direct sales to consumers through retail dispensaries and online platforms, as well as wholesale distribution to other retailers. Additionally, Cronos Group has strategic partnerships, including a significant investment from Altria Group, which provides capital and expertise in marketing and distribution, thereby enhancing its market presence and operational capabilities. The company may also explore opportunities in international markets to further diversify its revenue sources.

Cronos Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and improved gross margins, driven by international expansion and robust market positioning in Canada. However, challenges with flower supply constraints and limited growth in the Canadian market were noted. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negative, indicating a strong performance for the quarter.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Cronos reported consolidated net revenue of $33.5 million, a 21% increase from the prior year period.
Improved Gross Margin
Gross profit in the second quarter was $14.5 million, equating to a 43% gross margin, a significant improvement from 23% in Q2 2024.
Strong Market Position in Canada
Spinach brand ended Q2 as the #2 cannabis brand in Canada with a 4.7% market share across formats. In the vape category, Spinach achieved the #4 position overall with 6.5% share.
International Expansion Success
Cronos Israel posted a record quarter growing revenue by 36% year-over-year, and PEACE NATURALS ended the quarter as the #1 flower brand in Israel with over 20% market share.
Strong Balance Sheet
Cronos maintains the strongest balance sheet in the industry with no debt and cash equivalents and short-term investments of $834 million.
Successful Cost Management
Operating expenses, excluding restructuring costs, were $19.1 million in the quarter, a year-over-year decline of $2.3 million.
Negative Updates
Flower Supply Constraints
Despite strong demand, ongoing flower supply constraints have prevented Cronos from fully meeting consumer demand.
Limited Growth in Canadian Market
Net revenue for Cronos, excluding GrowCo, was $31.2 million, representing a 13% growth year-over-year, indicating slower growth compared to international markets.
Company Guidance
During Cronos Group's 2025 Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a 21% year-over-year increase in net revenue, amounting to $33.5 million, with $31.2 million from Cronos excluding GrowCo. The gross profit was $14.5 million, resulting in a gross margin of 43%, a notable improvement from the previous year's 23%. Operating expenses, excluding restructuring costs, decreased by $2.3 million to $19.1 million. Adjusted EBITDA improved by $12.7 million year-over-year to $1.7 million. The company held $834 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments at the end of the quarter. The Spinach brand achieved a 4.7% market share in Canada, with 4.9% in the flower category and 6.5% in the vape category, while the Lord Jones brand led the hash-infused pre-roll segment with a 28.5% market share. Internationally, Cronos Israel posted a 36% revenue growth, with PEACE NATURALS securing over 20% market share in Israel. The company remains well-positioned for growth with its strategic investments and the upcoming expansion at GrowCo.

Cronos Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cronos Group is showing signs of recovery with revenue growth and improved gross profit margins. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage, providing financial stability. However, operational inefficiencies persist, as indicated by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. Cash flow challenges remain, with negative free cash flow posing potential liquidity risks. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory but needs to address operational and cash flow issues to sustain growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Cronos Group has shown a positive trend in revenue growth with a 4.57% increase in TTM, indicating a recovering trajectory. The gross profit margin improved to 27.65% in TTM, reflecting better cost management. However, the company still faces challenges with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational inefficiencies. The net profit margin is positive at 39.68%, driven by non-operational factors, which may not be sustainable long-term.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0017, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity has improved to 4.63% in TTM, showing better profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio remains robust, suggesting a stable financial position with a high proportion of assets funded by equity.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a mixed picture. While operating cash flow is positive, the free cash flow remains negative, indicating ongoing capital expenditure or operational challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.57, suggesting moderate cash generation efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting potential liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue130.46M117.50M87.03M87.54M64.02M46.57M
Gross Profit48.03M30.45M11.88M15.58M-17.45M-25.75M
EBITDA-16.58M-45.37M-72.28M-93.81M-150.79M-173.09M
Net Income18.49M41.04M-73.79M-170.26M-392.81M-72.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.18B1.17B1.14B1.21B1.40B1.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments834.42M858.80M861.53M877.72M1.00B1.29B
Total Debt2.01M2.02M2.55M3.88M9.81M9.81M
Total Liabilities45.02M55.33M43.96M72.05M63.46M217.51M
Stockholders Equity1.08B1.06B1.10B1.14B1.34B1.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.41M5.69M-46.26M-93.98M-165.88M-177.85M
Operating Cash Flow20.02M18.84M-42.84M-88.95M-153.62M-142.46M
Investing Cash Flow-62.19M175.15M-59.50M-1.84M-28.90M20.15M
Financing Cash Flow-10.94M-1.23M-1.03M-2.90M-13.44M-5.46M

Cronos Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.53
Price Trends
50DMA
3.57
Negative
100DMA
3.22
Positive
200DMA
2.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
50.12
Neutral
STOCH
40.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CRON, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.54, below the 50-day MA of 3.57, and above the 200-day MA of 2.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CRON.

Cronos Group Risk Analysis

Cronos Group disclosed 90 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cronos Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cronos Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
C$1.35B52.061.73%31.72%
C$1.94B-12.60%4.92%-64.84%
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
C$392.92M-0.70%28.42%48.33%
C$3.03B-24.93%-2.64%1.65%
$755.18M-10.02%-5.65%73.45%
C$620.45M-98.42%-4.24%55.82%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CRON
Cronos Group
3.56
0.49
15.96%
TSE:WEED
Canopy Growth
1.70
-5.96
-77.81%
TSE:ACB
Aurora Cannabis
6.86
-1.48
-17.75%
TSE:CURA
Curaleaf Holdings
3.91
-0.39
-9.07%
TSE:TRUL
Trulieve Cannabis
9.66
-7.97
-45.21%
TSE:CL
Cresco Labs
1.63
-0.49
-23.11%

Cronos Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Cronos Group Terminates VP Lloyd Wilson for Cause
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Cronos Group Inc. terminated Lloyd Wilson, the Vice President, Controller, and Principal Accounting Officer, for cause, effective immediately. The termination was not related to the company’s financial or operating results, internal controls, or any disagreements regarding financial or reporting practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CRON) stock is a Hold with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cronos Group stock, see the TSE:CRON Stock Forecast page.

Cronos Group’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Expansion
Aug 13, 2025

Cronos Group’s latest earnings call exuded a positive sentiment, underscored by impressive revenue growth and significant improvements in gross margins. The company showcased strong brand performance and international expansion, although it continues to grapple with supply constraints. Despite these challenges, Cronos maintains a robust financial position and is strategically investing for future growth.

Cronos Group Reports Strong Q2 2025 Performance
Aug 8, 2025

Cronos Group Inc. is a global cannabinoid company focused on cannabis research, technology, and product development, with a diverse brand portfolio including Spinach, PEACE NATURALS, and Lord Jones.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Cronos Group Appoints New Principal Accounting Officer
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Cronos Group announced the appointment of Lloyd Wilson as the new Principal Accounting Officer, succeeding James McGinness. Wilson brings over 20 years of financial leadership experience, previously serving as Corporate Controller at Vital Farms, Inc. Additionally, Cronos reported a 21% year-over-year increase in net revenue for Q2 2025, driven by strong demand in international markets, particularly in Israel where PEACE NATURALS® remains the top cannabis brand. The company highlighted its robust financial health and strategic positioning for accelerated growth in the latter half of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CRON) stock is a Sell with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cronos Group stock, see the TSE:CRON Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025