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Timberland Bancorp (TSBK) AI Stock Analysis

TSBK

Timberland Bancorp

(NASDAQ:TSBK)

Select Model
Rating:80.3Outperform
Price Target:$52.00â–²(9.24% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/08/26

Timberland Bancorp's strong financial foundation, highlighted by a rock-solid balance sheet and consistent cash flows, is the primary driver of the score. Attractive valuation and positive corporate events further support the investment case. While technical indicators are favorable, the stock's recent overbought condition suggests potential near-term consolidation. Overall, the company presents a compelling profile for investors seeking a well-capitalized regional bank with shareholder-friendly policies.

Positive Factors
Strong Profitability and Cash ConversionHigh net and operating margins indicate effective banking economics, while free cash flow near net income shows earnings are converting into cash. This combination supports internal funding, resilience through normal credit cycles, and sustainable shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Recent Revenue ContractionThe latest top-line decline signals that revenue momentum has weakened after prior expansion. If softness persists, it could constrain operating leverage, reduce the capacity to grow earnings, and make results more dependent on credit quality or cost control.

Timberland Bancorp (TSBK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%TSBK+45.20%SPY+13.13%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$364.06M
Dividend Yield
2.48%
Average Volume (3M)
33.42K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.7
Beta (1Y)
0.46
Revenue Growth
3.87%
EPS Growth
8.03%
Country
US
Employees
271
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

Timberland Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Timberland Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Timberland Bank that provides various community banking services in Washington. It offers various deposit products, including money market deposit, checking, and regular savings accoun...

How the Company Makes Money

Timberland Bancorp primarily makes money through traditional banking activities conducted by Timberland Bank. The largest driver of earnings is typically net interest income: the bank earns interest and fees on loans (such as commercial real estate,...

Timberland Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Timberland Bancorp demonstrates solid financial health with a strong balance sheet (score 88) and robust cash flows (score 80). Profitability remains healthy (income statement score 72) despite a recent revenue dip, supported by cost efficiency. The company's conservative leverage and high capital adequacy provide resilience.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

88Very Positive

Cash Flow

80Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue109.63M110.49M101.55M87.23M67.33M68.62M
Gross Profit84.74M77.46M69.71M73.51M64.50M65.63M
EBITDA41.42M38.73M32.98M36.66M32.40M37.46M
Net Income31.51M29.16M24.28M27.12M23.60M27.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.06B2.01B1.92B1.84B1.86B1.79B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.80M281.89M247.19M185.68M381.06M671.85M
Total Debt14.32M23.08M21.57M36.87M2.07M7.36M
Total Liabilities1.79B1.75B1.68B1.61B1.64B1.59B
Stockholders Equity273.21M262.61M245.41M233.07M218.57M206.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow26.75M28.42M21.71M29.89M25.59M28.74M
Operating Cash Flow28.91M30.16M23.02M31.00M26.50M29.64M
Investing Cash Flow-45.27M-8.25M-45.80M-170.22M-335.16M37.45M
Financing Cash Flow68.81M56.79M58.78M-48.81M45.22M198.66M

Timberland Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price47.60

Price Trends

50DMA45.88Positive
100DMA44.96Positive
200DMA42.00Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.46Negative
RSI56.31Neutral
STOCH66.89Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSBK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 47.60 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.94, above the 50-day MA of 45.88, and above the 200-day MA of 42.00, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSBK.

Timberland Bancorp Risk Analysis

Timberland Bancorp disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Timberland Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.Current and future uses of Artificial Intelligence ("AI") and other emerging technologies may create additional risks.Q2, 2025

Timberland Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

TSBK against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSBKTSBK80Outperform$364.06M11.6811.45%2.48%3.87%8.03%
PKBKPKBK75Outperform$383.19M8.0813.90%2.33%8.56%40.25%
ISBAISBA74Outperform$302.41M13.628.89%2.83%11.39%16.46%
COSOCOSO72Outperform$327.15M11.2911.22%0.54%8.14%12.46%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
FRSTFRST63Neutral$365.29M6.6112.78%2.72%17.42%538.62%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%TSBKPKBKFRSTCOSOISBADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSBK and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSBKTimberland46.8215.2548.32%
PKBKParke Bancorp32.5811.6355.54%
FRSTPrimis Financial Corp.14.734.2841.01%
COSOCoastalSouth Bancshares 27.886.5930.98%
ISBAIsabella Bank Corporation39.64-2.81-6.63%

Timberland Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Timberland Bancorp Posts Strong Q3 Earnings, Raises Dividend

Positive
Jul 29, 2026

For the fiscal third quarter ended June 30, 2026, Timberland Bancorp reported net income of $7.72 million, or $0.98 per diluted share, up 9% from a year earlier and 8% from the prior quarter. Earnings for the first nine months of fiscal 2026 rose 11%...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2026