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Tilray (TLRY) AI Stock Analysis

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TLRY

Tilray

(NASDAQ:TLRY)

Select Model
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:$3.00â–²(14.94% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (continued losses and negative free cash flow) and bearish technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD). These are partially offset by a more constructive earnings-call backdrop (record revenue/margin expansion and reaffirmed EBITDA guidance) and modestly positive balance-sheet actions, while valuation remains difficult to support given ongoing losses and no dividend.

Positive Factors
Diversified global platformTilray’s presence across cannabis, beverages, wellness and pharmaceutical distribution reduces reliance on a single category or market. Its operations in more than 25 countries provide multiple avenues for product expansion, channel development and geographic growth over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent cash burnNegative operating and free cash flow means Tilray is not currently self-funding its operations, despite some improvement from the prior annual period. Continued cash burn can constrain investment flexibility and make sustained profitability, financing discipline and capital allocation more important.

Tilray (TLRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%TLRY-75.83%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$291.88M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
4.19M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-1.9
Beta (1Y)
1.17
Revenue Growth
15.93%
EPS Growth
93.85%
Country
US
Employees
3,595
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Tilray Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tilray Brands, Inc. is a diversified global consumer packaged goods company primarily involved in the cultivation, processing, marketing, and sale of cannabis products. Its operations span a significant international footprint, encompassing Canada, t...

How the Company Makes Money

Tilray makes money primarily by selling branded and bulk products across its operating segments, with revenue recognized largely from the shipment/delivery of products to customers through a mix of direct sales and distributor/retail channels. Key re...

Tilray Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 08, 2026(Q1-2027)|% Change Since:-29.74%|Next Earnings Date:Jul 28, 2021
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive. Tilray reported record revenue and gross profit, expanding consolidated and cannabis margins, strong international cannabis and BrewDog growth, U.S. craft beer brand momentum, debt reduction, and reaffirmed fiscal 2027 adjusted EBITDA guidance. These strengths were partly offset by a $40 million net loss, lower adjusted EBITDA, total cannabis revenue contraction, international price compression, Canadian adult-use headwinds, fuel costs, higher investment costs, and continued regulatory and market uncertainty.

Positive Updates

Record Revenue and Gross Profit
Q1 revenue reached a record $257.1 million, increasing 23% year-over-year from $209.5 million. Gross profit increased 35% to $77.5 million, and consolidated gross margin expanded approximately 300 basis points to 30%.

Negative Updates

Net Loss and Adjusted Net Loss
Tilray reported a net loss of $40 million, compared with net income of $1.5 million in the prior-year quarter. Adjusted net loss was approximately $3 million, including roughly $5 million of net cash interest expense.

Company Guidance

Tilray is maintaining and reaffirming its fiscal 2027 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $68 million to $75 million; it expects its Portugal facility to deliver more than 40 metric tons of flower at full capacity in our fiscal year 2027, expects a larger impact from new cultivars late in Q2 and beyond, is focused on doubling Lyphe's patient base, expects BrewDog's budget for this year is profitability and some good profitability coming from BrewDog, and expects the Carlsberg partnership, beginning January 1, 2027, to deliver immediate scale, revenue contribution when it begins.

Tilray Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial health is mixed. Revenue is roughly flat (~-2.7% TTM) with continued net losses (net margin ~-12.9%) and negative operating/free cash flow (OCF ~-$88M, FCF ~-$116M). The balance sheet is comparatively supportive with moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.25), but ongoing cash burn and lack of consistent profitability keep the score low.

Income Statement

32Negative

Balance Sheet

63Positive

Cash Flow

28Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMay 2026May 2025May 2024May 2023May 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue963.10M915.45M821.31M788.94M627.12M628.37M
Gross Profit274.29M260.44M240.57M223.35M146.96M116.82M
EBITDA-18.52M9.45M-2.13B-72.84M-1.27B-246.40M
Net Income-164.22M-122.57M-2.19B-244.98M-1.45B-476.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.33B2.33B2.07B4.22B4.31B5.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments218.01M231.27M251.24M253.69M439.31M415.91M
Total Debt371.93M398.40M322.16M377.17M578.00M623.81M
Total Liabilities721.28M733.14M614.55M868.73M1.05B1.01B
Stockholders Equity1.62B1.61B1.48B3.35B3.25B4.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-119.00M-102.13M-127.52M-60.15M-12.89M-211.33M
Operating Cash Flow-84.49M-69.14M-94.60M-30.91M7.91M-177.26M
Investing Cash Flow-89.73M-55.80M-46.72M128.35M-285.11M-21.53M
Financing Cash Flow125.38M130.99M133.51M-75.19M70.16M128.20M

Tilray Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price2.61

Price Trends

50DMA3.48Negative
100DMA3.97Negative
200DMA5.22Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.22Negative
RSI34.83Neutral
STOCH42.39Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TLRY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.82, below the 50-day MA of 3.48, and below the 200-day MA of 5.22, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 34.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TLRY.

Tilray Risk Analysis

Tilray disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tilray reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Our access to borrowings under the revolving credit facility is restricted and, if we are unable to demonstrate compliance with the applicable financial covenants in the future, the restrictions may continue and the lenders may exercise remedies that could materially adversely affect our liquidity and financial condition.Q3, 2026
2.United States regulations relating to cannabinoid products, including CBD, Delta-9 THC, THCA and other cannabinoids, are rapidly evolving, and recent federal and state legislative developments may materially restrict or eliminate certain product categories and adversely affect our business objectives.Q2, 2026
3.Our ability to complete the BrewDog U.S. acquisition is subject to regulatory approvals, and we may face risks associated with integrating all of the acquired BrewDog businesses.Q2, 2026

Tilray Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

TLRY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TRLVTRLV65Neutral$2.14B-4.87-46.07%―-9.09%-230.91%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
INMINM50Neutral$6.70M-0.50-303.50%―-82.91%55.05%
TLRYTLRY49Neutral$391.64M-1.86-10.30%―15.93%93.85%
YCBDYCBD43Neutral$4.30M-1.29-34.25%―10.01%95.01%
IMCCIMCC37Underperform$1.01M-0.02841.81%―-11.91%-285.26%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%0%100%200%TLRYINMYCBDTRLVIMCCAKANDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TLRY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TLRYTilray2.61-8.69-76.90%
INMInmed Pharmaceuticals Inc.15.61-2.49-13.76%
YCBDCbdmd INc0.40-0.34-46.62%
TRLVTrulieve Cannabis11.235.0882.60%
IMCCIm Cannabis Corp0.57-38.72-98.54%
AKANAkanda Corp0.73-28.29-97.47%

Tilray Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Tilray Reduces Debt Through Private Equity Exchange

Neutral
Sep 14, 2026

Between August 31, 2026 and September 8, 2026, Tilray Brands, Inc. executed private debt-for-equity exchange transactions with unrelated holders of its 5.20% Convertible Senior Notes due June 15, 2027, swapping $12 million in note principal for 2,841...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Tilray Reduces Convertible Debt Through Private Equity Exchange

Positive
Aug 10, 2026

On August 4, 2026, Tilray Brands, Inc. executed private debt-for-equity exchange transactions with unrelated parties, issuing 1,377,334 shares of common stock in exchange for $6 million in principal amount of its 5.20% Convertible Senior Notes due Ju...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026