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Tokai Carbon (TKCBY) AI Stock Analysis

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TKCBY

Tokai Carbon

(Other OTC:TKCBY)

Select Model
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:$51.00â–²(4.25% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/30/26

Overall score reflects mid-range fundamentals driven by volatile earnings and uneven free-cash-flow quality, partially offset by a strong technical uptrend. Valuation is a headwind given the ~25 P/E with only a modest dividend yield, limiting upside support if fundamentals soften.

Positive Factors
Consistently positive operating cash flowConsistently positive operating cash flow indicates that Tokai Carbon’s core operations generate cash even when free cash flow is uneven. This provides an internal funding base for investment and working-capital needs, while reducing reliance on external financing over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent revenue growthUneven revenue growth makes Tokai Carbon’s earnings base less predictable and indicates that demand remains exposed to industrial end-market cycles. Inconsistent sales momentum can reduce operating leverage, complicate capacity planning, and make sustained profit improvement harder to maintain.

Tokai Carbon (TKCBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%TKCBY+81.69%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$2.56B
Dividend Yield
1.60%
Average Volume (3M)
―
Price to Earnings (P/E)
21.8
Beta (1Y)
0.90
Revenue Growth
-2.72%
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
4,436
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Chemicals - Specialty

Tokai Carbon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in Tokyo, Japan, in 1918 as Tokai Electrode Mfg. Co. Ltd., and rebranded as Tokai Carbon Co., Ltd. in 1975, the company is a prominent manufacturer and supplier of a comprehensive range of carbon-related products and services. Its offerin...

How the Company Makes Money

Tokai Carbon primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling carbon and graphite materials and related products to industrial customers. Key revenue streams include: (1) Graphite electrodes: Tokai Carbon sells large graphite electrodes used by ste...

Tokai Carbon Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement and balance sheet are mid-range: profitability rebounded in 2025 after a sharp 2024 collapse, indicating earnings volatility. Leverage appears manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.68) but not meaningfully improving, and ROE is modest in profitable years. Cash flow is the key drag: operating cash flow is positive, but free cash flow is uneven and cash conversion is weak (FCF ~26% of net income in 2025).

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

64Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue344.25B338.62B350.11B363.95B340.37B258.87B
Gross Profit81.24B78.48B80.64B81.49B94.05B70.73B
EBITDA58.53B61.28B-3.95B80.78B78.14B54.27B
Net Income19.08B21.05B-56.74B25.47B22.42B16.11B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets678.79B664.49B640.75B640.00B576.47B512.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments85.83B90.22B92.21B77.47B70.91B78.86B
Total Debt215.76B216.72B199.11B166.64B171.45B168.25B
Total Liabilities324.93B311.40B315.60B279.90B275.60B255.94B
Stockholders Equity319.35B318.58B289.56B324.49B268.82B229.21B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow015.49B9.36B12.46B-4.01B8.54B
Operating Cash Flow058.58B64.47B62.07B41.20B38.07B
Investing Cash Flow0-53.53B-70.78B-47.63B-49.90B-35.28B
Financing Cash Flow0-8.06B9.41B-14.51B-10.63B1.21B

Tokai Carbon Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price48.92

Price Trends

50DMA51.58Negative
100DMA46.94Positive
200DMA38.26Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-1.31Positive
RSI40.67Neutral
STOCH65.80Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TKCBY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 48.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.07, below the 50-day MA of 51.58, and above the 200-day MA of 38.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TKCBY.

Tokai Carbon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

TKCBY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CBTCBT66Neutral$3.84B20.6212.07%2.48%-4.74%-53.83%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
TKCBYTKCBY60Neutral$2.50B21.776.03%1.60%-2.72%―
NGVTNGVT58Neutral$2.55B48.2685.17%―-12.42%―
KOPKOP54Neutral$784.83M-8.98-16.91%0.84%-4.98%-710.42%
MTXMTX46Neutral$1.95B-28.78-4.12%0.77%4.76%-19991.67%
OECOEC46Neutral$316.53M-3.24-24.91%1.48%-1.02%-734.16%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%TKCBYCBTKOPMTXOECNGVTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TKCBY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TKCBYTokai Carbon48.9222.1082.38%
CBTCabot Corp74.4310.1015.69%
KOPKoppers41.5013.5948.68%
MTXMinerals Technologies62.746.9512.46%
OECOrion S.A.5.600.387.26%
NGVTIngevity74.3220.4838.04%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 30, 2026