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TEGNA (TGNA)
NYSE:TGNA

TEGNA (TGNA) AI Stock Analysis

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TG

TEGNA

(NYSE:TGNA)

73Outperform
TEGNA scores well due to its strong financial performance and attractive valuation, with a particularly low P/E ratio and a decent dividend yield. However, technical analysis presents a mixed outlook, and recent earnings call highlights challenges such as revenue declines and EBITDA pressure, which slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Cost Savings
TEGNA’s ongoing cost savings efforts, which reached 60% of their stated $90-100 million goal, were realized faster than anticipated.
Revenue Growth
For the first time in several quarters, 1Q25 revenue beat consensus, with the upside split about evenly between AMS and the newly minted distribution line item.
Strategic Investments
TEGNA now feels firmly in the buyer camp, suggesting potential for growth through acquisitions, although monetizing non-core assets or certain stations is not off the table.
Negative Factors
Advertising Challenges
The advertising headaches seem likely to persist, affecting the company's performance.
National Market Exposure
A tougher national environment is anticipated due to the company's exposure to larger DMAs.
Subscription Growth
Subscription growth may struggle to post positive gains for the second consecutive year, following a likely 5% decline.

TEGNA (TGNA) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

TEGNA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTEGNA Inc. is a publicly traded media company headquartered in Tysons, Virginia, primarily operating in the television broadcasting sector. The company owns and manages a diverse portfolio of television stations across the United States, providing local news coverage, entertainment, and other content. TEGNA focuses on delivering high-quality, locally relevant programming and is committed to serving its communities through various media platforms.
How the Company Makes MoneyTEGNA Inc. generates revenue primarily through advertising sales and retransmission consent fees. Advertising sales are driven by its television stations, which attract local and national advertisers looking to reach audiences through broadcast and digital platforms. These advertisements can be displayed during commercial breaks in programming or integrated into digital content. Retransmission consent fees are payments received from cable and satellite operators who retransmit TEGNA's television stations to their subscribers. Additionally, TEGNA may earn revenue from producing and distributing original content, syndication deals, and digital advertising on its websites and mobile applications. Strategic partnerships with other media companies and content producers can also contribute to its earnings by expanding its content offerings and audience reach.

TEGNA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TEGNA demonstrates strong financial performance with stable profitability and robust cash flow generation. Despite high leverage posing a risk, effective equity utilization and cash flow management mitigate these concerns. Continued focus on revenue growth and debt management could enhance future financial health.
Income Statement
78
Positive
TEGNA demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent Gross Profit Margin and an improving Net Profit Margin due to efficient cost management. Revenue growth was volatile, but recent years show a recovery trend. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio is relatively high, reflecting significant leverage, which can pose financial risks. However, TEGNA maintains a solid Return on Equity, showcasing effective use of shareholder investments. The Equity Ratio has improved over time, indicating better asset management.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
TEGNA has demonstrated robust Free Cash Flow growth, improving its liquidity position. The strong Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio highlights efficient cash generation relative to net earnings, signaling financial stability and capability to cover debts.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.10B2.91B3.28B2.99B2.94B
Gross Profit
1.35B1.19B1.59B1.39B1.43B
EBIT
784.78M733.54M990.63M802.22M870.98M
EBITDA
1.06B892.69M1.13B940.57M1.00B
Net Income Common Stockholders
599.82M476.72M629.91M477.00M481.83M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
693.21M361.04M551.68M56.99M40.97M
Total Assets
7.33B7.00B7.33B6.92B6.85B
Total Debt
3.14B3.16B3.15B3.32B3.65B
Net Debt
2.45B2.80B2.60B3.26B3.61B
Total Liabilities
4.30B4.28B4.24B4.38B4.78B
Stockholders Equity
3.00B2.70B3.07B2.52B2.06B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
632.53M532.55M760.82M438.54M759.64M
Operating Cash Flow
684.97M587.25M812.15M501.61M805.14M
Investing Cash Flow
31.77M-27.99M-51.23M-69.26M-59.52M
Financing Cash Flow
-384.56M-749.90M-266.23M-416.33M-734.05M

TEGNA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.09
Price Trends
50DMA
17.12
Negative
100DMA
17.57
Negative
200DMA
16.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
56.50
Neutral
STOCH
69.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TGNA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.21, below the 50-day MA of 17.12, and above the 200-day MA of 16.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TGNA.

TEGNA Risk Analysis

TEGNA disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TEGNA reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TEGNA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$4.71B7.2628.46%4.20%8.00%71.49%
73
Outperform
$2.68B4.6516.07%2.92%6.34%-0.26%
SSSSP
73
Outperform
$203.10M2.5211.23%6.28%
GTGTN
72
Outperform
$419.09M1.179.92%7.57%9.08%
60
Neutral
$1.08B3.2634.07%6.56%11.62%
60
Neutral
$13.44B7.15-2.73%3.79%2.11%-39.64%
GCGCI
52
Neutral
$461.27M10.3326.63%-7.04%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TGNA
TEGNA
17.09
2.06
13.71%
SSP
E. W. Scripps Company Class A
2.32
-1.46
-38.62%
GTN
Gray Television
4.23
-2.22
-34.42%
NXST
Nexstar Media Group
164.87
-3.71
-2.20%
SBGI
Sinclair Broadcast
15.24
1.18
8.39%
GCI
Gannett
3.71
0.35
10.42%

TEGNA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.52%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed performance with several positive achievements, including growth in digital revenue and successful cost-cutting initiatives, alongside challenges such as revenue and EBITDA declines. The company's strong balance sheet and strategic focus on digital and sports rights are promising, but broader market headwinds pose challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Digital Revenue Growth
TEGNA reported growth in digital advertising revenue, with initiatives in digital product portfolio, web solutions, mobile, and streaming apps showing positive momentum.
Cost-Cutting Initiatives
Non-GAAP expenses finished flat year-over-year, with operational cost-cutting initiatives yielding benefits. The company is on track to achieve $90 million to $100 million in annualized core non-programming savings by the end of 2025.
Securing Local Sports Rights
TEGNA has secured local team rights across NBA, WNBA, NHL, and MLB, along with partnerships with NFL teams to air preseason games for free over the air.
Strong Balance Sheet and Cash Flow
TEGNA maintains a healthy balance sheet with cash and cash equivalents totaling $717 million at quarter end and a net leverage of 2.8x, positioning them well for M&A opportunities.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total company revenue for the first quarter was $680 million, a decrease of 5% year-over-year, primarily due to lower political advertising revenue and macroeconomic headwinds.
Challenges in Advertising Market
Advertising and marketing services revenue decreased by 3% year-over-year, with consumer confidence softening and some advertisers taking a cautious approach.
Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter decreased by 22% year-over-year, primarily due to lower political advertising revenue and AMS revenue.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, TEGNA Inc. reported a total revenue of $680 million, reflecting a 5% year-over-year decrease due to lower political advertising revenue and macroeconomic challenges. The company’s advertising and marketing services revenue stood at $286 million, decreasing by 3% year-over-year, partly attributed to the Super Bowl airing on a smaller affiliate group. Despite these declines, TEGNA experienced growth in digital advertising revenue. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter fell by 22% to $136 million, impacted by reduced political and AMS revenues. TEGNA is on track with its cost-cutting initiatives, achieving approximately 60% of its annualized savings target of $90 million to $100 million by the end of 2025. For the second quarter, TEGNA anticipates a revenue decline of 4% to 7% year-over-year, primarily due to the cyclical nature of political advertising and broader advertising environment challenges. The company's balance sheet remains strong, with a net leverage ratio of 2.8x, and it remains committed to returning 40% to 60% of adjusted free cash flow to shareholders over the 2024-2025 period.

TEGNA Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Karen Grimes to Retire from TEGNA’s Board
Neutral
Feb 12, 2025

On February 9, 2025, Karen Grimes announced her decision to retire from TEGNA Inc.’s Board of Directors and not to seek re-election at the 2025 annual meeting of shareholders. Her departure is not due to any disagreements with the company, and TEGNA expressed gratitude for her service and contributions.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.