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Swire Pacific (SWRAY) AI Stock Analysis

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SWRAY

Swire Pacific

(Other OTC:SWRAY)

Select Model
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:$16.00â–²(10.49% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The overall score of 76 reflects a company with strong positive momentum. The most significant factors are the bullish earnings call, which highlighted record profits and a dividend increase, and a robust technical trend. This is underpinned by a fortress-like balance sheet and healthy cash flows, which provide a strong foundation and mitigate concerns over moderate income statement profitability and input-cost headwinds.

Positive Factors
Balance-sheet strengthModerate gearing, declining debt and a largely fixed-rate borrowing base provide financial flexibility across property, beverage and aviation investments. This resilience should help Swire Pacific fund its committed growth programmes while reducing exposure to refinancing and interest-rate volatility.
Negative Factors
Earnings volatilityThe wide swings in profitability make it difficult to establish a dependable earnings run-rate and reduce confidence that current improvements will translate into consistently higher returns. Volatility also complicates capital allocation and increases dependence on business-cycle conditions.

Swire Pacific (SWRAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%SWRAY+68.50%SPY+13.89%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$16.90B
Dividend Yield
3.51%
Average Volume (3M)
16.14K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
17.5
Beta (1Y)
-0.13
Revenue Growth
6.45%
EPS Growth
616.40%
Country
US
Employees
92,000
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Conglomerates

Swire Pacific Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Swire Pacific Limited is a diverse conglomerate with operations spanning property, aviation, beverages, marine, and trading & industrial sectors. Its business activities extend across Hong Kong, Mainland China, other parts of Asia, the United States,...

How the Company Makes Money

Swire Pacific makes money primarily through earnings and cash flows generated by its operating subsidiaries and through dividends and profit contributions from its major investments. Key revenue and earnings streams include: 1) Property - Rental inco...

Swire Pacific Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:19.39%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call highlights a strong first half with record underlying and recurring profits, broad-based recovery in property, beverages (notably Mainland China), and a robust aviation performance led by Cathay and HAECO. The balance sheet is healthier (lower gearing, lower cost of debt) enabling record capital investment and a 15% increase in the interim dividend. Key challenges are input-cost inflation (aluminum and energy) affecting beverage margins—particularly in Southeast Asia—some regional profit volatility in ASEAN bottlers, and near-term aviation fuel cost volatility. On balance, the positive operational and financial momentum substantially outweigh the manageable headwinds.

Positive Updates

Record-high underlying and recurring profits
Underlying profit increased 43% year-on-year to HKD 7.8 billion; recurring underlying profit for the first half was HKD 7.0 billion, up 48% year-on-year, reflecting broad-based improvement across divisions.

Negative Updates

Input-cost and margin pressure in beverages (ASEAN focus)
Elevated aluminum and energy prices driven by Middle East conflict are a headwind to bottler margins; management notes higher input cost inflation particularly in Southeast Asia and expects cost pressure to persist into H2 despite some H1 insulation from advanced purchases.

Company Guidance

Management guided that momentum should continue into H2 as consumer sentiment improves and investments remain at record levels: underlying profit rose 43% y/y to HKD 7.8bn (recurring underlying profit up ~48% to ~HKD 7.0bn), interim dividend was increased 15% to HKD 1.50 per A share, and recurring attributable profit for Swire Coca‑Cola was HKD 907m (+5%) with Mainland profit HKD 727m (+24%), Vietnam/Cambodia HKD 98m (‑13%), Thailand/Laos HKD 95m (‑10%) and Hong Kong HKD 58m (+5%); divisional RUPs were property +37%, beverages +5% and aviation +39%; balance‑sheet metrics include gearing 19.3%, debt down 4%, weighted average cost of debt 3.4% and 75% fixed‑rate borrowings; capital plans include the HKD 100bn property programme ~70% committed with 7 Mainland projects, RMB/CNY 12bn beverage investment (two new Mainland plants adding ~10% capacity), Cathay group HKD 150bn capex with 150 aircraft/150 destinations targeted over 10 years, while management warned of ongoing oil and aluminium cost headwinds and kept share buyback secondary to progressive dividend policy.

Swire Pacific Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is solid, driven by an exceptionally strong balance sheet (Score: 88) with minimal debt and robust cash flow generation (Score: 78). These strengths are partially offset by a weaker income statement (Score: 48) reflecting modest profitability and earnings volatility.

Income Statement

48Neutral

Balance Sheet

88Very Positive

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue94.16B90.31B81.97B94.82B91.17B90.80B
Gross Profit33.95B33.68B30.46B35.15B34.19B35.28B
EBITDA15.49B15.52B14.62B39.52B16.07B16.40B
Net Income8.90B2.93B4.32B28.85B4.20B5.12B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets482.09B476.37B476.56B447.75B434.77B436.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.25B23.17B21.03B14.08B11.61B22.89B
Total Debt95.15B93.56B96.61B74.90B73.29B66.89B
Total Liabilities158.97B160.16B157.89B122.98B118.83B112.15B
Stockholders Equity266.35B259.55B258.30B268.13B258.46B266.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.00B8.94B5.89B6.32B4.73B7.45B
Operating Cash Flow15.84B14.53B10.46B9.92B8.16B11.66B
Investing Cash Flow942.05M-1.69B-14.60B13.03B-17.54B-6.34B
Financing Cash Flow-21.13B-12.30B12.62B-21.73B-1.40B-12.34B

Swire Pacific Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price14.48

Price Trends

50DMA13.32Positive
100DMA12.59Positive
200DMA11.51Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.35Negative
RSI73.14Negative
STOCH99.21Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SWRAY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.68, above the 50-day MA of 13.32, and above the 200-day MA of 11.51, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.14 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 99.21 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SWRAY.

Swire Pacific Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

SWRAY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SWRAYSWRAY76Outperform$17.13B17.483.38%3.51%6.45%616.40%
HONHON73Outperform$72.43B10.2936.19%1.95%-17.35%23.22%
SEBSEB67Neutral$3.61B6.4910.25%0.24%6.98%40.66%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
CRESYCRESY63Neutral$695.67M5.7213.52%15.05%11.27%18.25%
CODICODI62Neutral$897.57M-15.25-0.18%―12.88%85.04%
BBUCBBUC59Neutral$6.11B-18.212.32%0.85%179.94%85.40%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%SWRAYCODICRESYHONSEBBBUCDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
SWRAY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SWRAYSwire Pacific14.485.7766.20%
CODICompass Diversified11.806.05105.22%
CRESYCresud S.A.C.I.F. Y A.8.95-0.75-7.74%
HONHoneywell International223.4517.598.55%
SEBSeaboard Corporation3702.86-411.34-10.00%
BBUCBrookfield Business Corp. Class A29.00-3.99-12.10%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2026