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SuRo Capital (SSSS)
NASDAQ:SSSS

SuRo Capital (SSSS) AI Stock Analysis

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SuRo Capital

(NASDAQ:SSSS)

45Neutral
SuRo Capital's stock score reflects significant financial instability and leverage risk, countered by promising investment prospects in AI and upcoming IPOs highlighted in the earnings call. The technical analysis suggests possible rebound potential, although valuation metrics remain unattractive.
Positive Factors
Investment Strategy
SuRo Capital's portfolio is well positioned for appreciation with strong deployment activity into AI and related businesses.
Market Valuation
SuRo's shares are viewed as undervalued, with the stock price at a 21% discount to the NAV.
Portfolio Development
Two significant investments, CoreWeave and OpenAI, could substantially increase the company's NAV, representing about 30% of the current value.
Negative Factors
Asset Valuation
Learneo was marked down approximately 19%, reflecting the performance of other edtech stocks, but the remaining risk to SuRo's NAV is minimal due to its significant cash balance.
Investment Concentration
The company's top five portfolio investments accounted for 44% of the total portfolio at fair value, indicating a concentrated investment strategy.
Net Asset Value
Net asset value per share decreased by 20.0% year-over-year, reflecting a decline in the company's financial performance.

SuRo Capital (SSSS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

SuRo Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSuRo Capital Corp. is a business development company. The firm seeks to invest in growing, late stage, venture capital-backed private companies. SuRo Capital Corp. was founded in 2010 and is based in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySuRo Capital makes money primarily through the appreciation and eventual sale of its equity investments in private companies. The company invests in early-to-late-stage venture-backed companies with high growth potential. Revenue is generated when these portfolio companies go public through an IPO, are acquired, or experience significant valuation increases, allowing SuRo Capital to sell its shares at a profit. Additionally, the company may earn income through interest and dividends from debt securities and other investment instruments. Key factors contributing to its earnings include market conditions, the performance of its portfolio companies, and strategic investment decisions.

SuRo Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SuRo Capital's financial performance is characterized by erratic revenue spikes and fluctuating profitability, with a significant but potentially unsustainable revenue increase in 2024. The high debt levels pose leverage risks, despite solid equity, and unstable cash flow growth suggests the need for financial stabilization.
Income Statement
SuRo Capital's income statement reflects significant volatility, with a recent massive revenue increase to $4.67 trillion in 2024 from $6.60 million in 2023, indicating a possible one-time event or accounting anomaly. Despite this, the company shows a negative EBIT of $13.95 trillion. The absence of net income in 2024 and erratic revenue growth over the years suggest instability and potential concerns in sustainable earnings.
Balance Sheet
45
The balance sheet shows a high level of stockholders' equity at $157.57 trillion, but also a substantial amount of total debt at $29.05 trillion, resulting in a moderate debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio is relatively healthy, but the presence of high debt and liabilities raises caution regarding financial leverage and risk.
Cash Flow
SuRo Capital's cash flow shows positive operating cash flow of $2.37 trillion in 2024 and stable free cash flow, though the free cash flow growth is unsteady. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is not calculable due to zero net income in 2024, highlighting potential cash generation issues. Financing activities show significant cash outflows, indicating possible debt servicing or capital restructuring.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.67T6.60M3.46M1.47M1.82M
Gross Profit
4.67T6.60M3.46M1.47M1.82M
EBIT
-13.95T10.55M-9.78M-9.23M-12.22M
EBITDA
0.000.000.00156.31M0.00
Net Income Common Stockholders
-38.12M5.07M-132.18M147.07M75.34M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
20.04T28.18M40.12M198.44M45.79M
Total Assets
10.00T>277.60M284.41M462.32M478.88M
Total Debt
29.05T73.75M73.68M73.03M38.03M
Net Debt
9.02T45.57M33.56M-125.41M-7.76M
Total Liabilities
74.03T74.24M74.39M97.47M177.29M
Stockholders Equity
10.00T>203.36M210.02M364.85M301.58M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.37T2.38M-110.56M183.65M-23.62M
Operating Cash Flow
2.37T2.38M-110.56M183.65M-23.62M
Investing Cash Flow
0.000.00-98.72M325.71M-100.19M
Financing Cash Flow
-10.51T-14.32M-47.76M-31.01M24.56M

SuRo Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.27
Price Trends
50DMA
5.16
Positive
100DMA
5.54
Negative
200DMA
4.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
59.95
Neutral
STOCH
84.46
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SSSS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.76, above the 50-day MA of 5.16, and above the 200-day MA of 4.99, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.46 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SSSS.

SuRo Capital Risk Analysis

SuRo Capital disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SuRo Capital reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SuRo Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$54.08M6.1213.04%27.83%134.64%35.26%
OFOFS
70
Outperform
$115.29M3.7619.56%15.91%-49.04%
69
Neutral
$151.23M15.453.63%15.13%127.09%2519.30%
64
Neutral
$12.57B9.747.88%16985.68%12.42%-5.45%
48
Neutral
$112.00M41.01-3.03%20.77%-37.27%-153.39%
48
Neutral
$122.14M24.253.56%13.11%32.38%-90.38%
45
Neutral
$122.47M-9.96%90.08%-893.47%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SSSS
SuRo Capital
5.27
1.46
38.32%
PTMN
Portman Ridge Finance
12.12
-5.09
-29.58%
RAND
Rand Capital
18.22
7.08
63.55%
OFS
OFS Capital
8.48
0.19
2.29%
MRCC
Monroe Capital
6.46
0.10
1.57%
GECC
Great Elm Capital
10.85
1.94
21.77%

SuRo Capital Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.35%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements such as OpenAI's record-breaking funding round and CoreWeave's successful IPO, indicating strong growth and strategic positioning in the AI and fintech sectors. Despite challenges in the broader market context, SuRo Capital's investments show robust potential for future value creation.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
OpenAI's Record-Breaking Funding Round
OpenAI announced a $40 billion funding round at a $300 billion post-money valuation, marking the largest private capital raise ever by a technology company. This was a significant increase from its previous $7 billion round at a $150 billion post-money valuation.
CoreWeave's Successful IPO and Contract with OpenAI
CoreWeave completed the largest technology company IPO since 2021, raising $1.5 billion at a $23 billion valuation. It also announced a 5-year $11.9 billion contract with OpenAI, resulting in a 35% increase in stock price.
Canva's Global Growth
Canva's Visual Suite 2.0 launch accelerated global growth, with more than 145 million users joining the platform since 2022. Canva's annualized revenue increased by over 30%, reaching more than $3 billion.
Plaid's Strategic Investment
SuRo Capital made a $5 billion investment in Plaid, which completed a $575 million financing at a $6.1 billion post-money valuation. Plaid supports over 100 million users and is integrated with more than 8,000 digital finance apps.
Negative Updates
Challenging Public Market Environment
The first quarter of 2025 was challenging for public markets, with the NASDAQ posting its worst performance since 2022. Major indices like the Russell 2000 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average saw significant declines due to global trade tensions and tariffs.
Impact on Private Market Valuations
The decline in public markets led to a compression in private market valuations, affecting SuRo Capital's portfolio company valuations as of March 31st.
Company Guidance
During SuRo Capital's First Quarter 2025 earnings call, significant attention was given to the company's portfolio performance and future outlook, with emphasis on key metrics and developments. Notably, OpenAI's substantial growth was highlighted, having secured a $40 billion funding round at a $300 billion post-money valuation, marking a significant increase from the previous valuation. The company reported 500 million weekly active users, a jump from 300 million in December, and projected revenues escalating from $13 billion in 2025 to $174 billion by 2030. CoreWeave’s IPO raised $1.5 billion at a $23 billion valuation, with its stock price surging over 35% post-IPO. SuRo Capital's top five positions, including OpenAI and CoreWeave, accounted for 46% of their investment portfolio at fair value. The company's net asset value stood at $156.8 million, or $6.66 per share, reflecting a slight decrease from the previous quarter. Additionally, the company discussed recent investments and liquidity, including a $5 billion investment in Plaid, and outlined their strategic focus on AI and fintech sectors.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.