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SECOM CO (SOMLY) AI Stock Analysis

SOMLY

SECOM CO

(Other OTC:SOMLY)

Select Model
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:$11.00â–²(1.95% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

SOMLY scores as a stable, low-risk defensive holding with a strong balance sheet and consistent revenue/earnings growth, but several factors limit the overall score. The most significant positive is the exceptionally conservative capital structure with minimal debt, providing resilience in uncertain markets. However, the stock is held back by declining free cash flow conversion in recent years, modest ROE (~8%), and limited margin expansion. Technically, the stock shows short-term weakness trading below its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, though longer-term trends remain supportive. Valuation at 23.6x earnings is fair but not attractive given the moderate growth profile and low dividend yield of 1.42%. SOMLY is best suited for conservative, income-oriented investors seeking stability rather than aggressive growth.

Positive Factors
Steady Revenue and Net Income GrowthMulti-year revenue and earnings growth indicates durable demand for SECOM’s security services and continued business expansion, providing a foundation for sustained profitability over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent Cash ConversionUneven conversion of accounting earnings into cash can reduce funding predictability and may reflect working-capital or timing pressures, limiting confidence that reported profits will consistently support shareholder returns.

SECOM CO (SOMLY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%SOMLY+28.33%SPY+13.13%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$8.98B
Dividend Yield
1.58%
Average Volume (3M)
72.03K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
24.7
Beta (1Y)
-0.06
Revenue Growth
1.02%
EPS Growth
2.31%
Country
US
Employees
65,094
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Security & Protection Services

SECOM CO Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Secom Co., Ltd., established in 1962 and headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, is a global enterprise primarily known for its security services, complemented by a wide array of other offerings. Its Security Services division provides internet-connected secu...

How the Company Makes Money

null

SECOM CO Financial Statement Overview

Summary

SECOM demonstrates steady revenue growth (¥1.04T to ¥1.20T over four years with ~9.5% projected growth in FY2026) and consistent profitability improvement. The balance sheet is exceptionally strong with a debt-to-equity ratio of ~0.05-0.06, providing significant financial resilience. However, free cash flow conversion has weakened in recent years (FCF/NI dropping from 68% to 43%), and net profit margins remain modest at ~9% with limited expansion. The conservative capital structure is a clear strength, but ROE of ~8% and declining free cash flow temper the overall financial score.

Income Statement

68Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

62Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.24T1.20T1.33T1.15T1.10T1.05T
Gross Profit382.79B371.15B402.62B357.28B342.46B337.67B
EBITDA237.16B253.42B255.32B236.61B223.18B220.31B
Net Income107.21B108.11B119.46B101.95B96.08B94.27B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.11T2.15T2.24T2.08T1.99T1.91T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments583.28B584.63B586.09B599.15B684.18B685.86B
Total Debt61.48B72.34B68.80B68.96B64.28B67.63B
Total Liabilities673.44B697.84B733.61B690.09B673.02B651.72B
Stockholders Equity1.26T1.27T1.32T1.22T1.16T1.12T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow40.72B72.58B137.83B71.34B85.09B101.24B
Operating Cash Flow60.73B167.84B212.57B165.76B146.43B164.91B
Investing Cash Flow-13.70B-100.80B-93.94B-162.27B-70.45B-55.35B
Financing Cash Flow-40.80B-85.25B-121.98B-95.49B-77.84B-87.39B

SECOM CO Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price10.79

Price Trends

50DMA10.25Positive
100DMA10.25Positive
200DMA9.88Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.15Negative
RSI63.87Neutral
STOCH28.79Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SOMLY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.79 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.39, above the 50-day MA of 10.25, and above the 200-day MA of 9.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SOMLY.

SECOM CO Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

SOMLY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
ALLEALLE82Outperform$15.72B23.1032.68%1.16%10.33%8.70%
ADTADT78Outperform$7.20B12.8016.83%2.23%2.10%6.68%
NSSCNSSC78Outperform$1.41B32.5223.59%1.55%11.39%0.75%
BCOBCO64Neutral$4.23B23.5664.68%0.99%8.12%16.12%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
SOMLYSOMLY61Neutral$19.12B24.658.70%1.58%1.02%2.31%
SNTSNT50Neutral$36.40M74.281.16%―――

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%SOMLYBCOSNTNSSCALLEADTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
SOMLY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SOMLYSECOM CO10.802.3828.25%
BCOBrink's102.71-2.48-2.35%
SNTSenstar Technologies Ltd.1.56-3.26-67.63%
NSSCNapco Security39.35-1.35-3.33%
ALLEAllegion PLC186.4423.2814.27%
ADTAdt, Inc.9.862.0325.93%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026