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Modus Therapeutics Holding AB (MODTX) AI Stock Analysis

SE:MODTX

Modus Therapeutics Holding AB

(Nasdaq OMX AB:MODTX)

Select Model
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:SEK 0.17â–¼(-7.61% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/21/26

The score is held down primarily by the financial profile: Modus Therapeutics generates no revenue, burns roughly SEK 18 million of cash annually, and holds only about SEK 10 million of equity, pointing to a likely near-term capital raise and shareholder dilution. A debt-free balance sheet and stable, controlled cost base are modest positives. Technically, the shares trade well below all major moving averages with negative MACD, though extremely low RSI and Stochastic readings indicate deeply oversold conditions that could permit short-term rebounds. With negative earnings and no dividend, valuation offers no support, leaving the investment case dependent entirely on clinical progress and access to funding.

Positive Factors
Debt-Free Balance SheetThe absence of debt reduces interest obligations and near-term refinancing pressure, giving Modus greater financial flexibility while it advances development programs. This conservative capital structure can help preserve strategic options during clinical execution and future financing decisions.
Negative Factors
Pre-Revenue Business ModelThe absence of product revenue means Modus has not yet established a commercial income stream to fund operations or validate recurring demand. Its financial outlook therefore remains dependent on successful development, approval, partnering, or other future monetization milestones.

Modus Therapeutics Holding AB (MODTX) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%SE:MODTX-53.18%EWD+13.33%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
SEK 31.19M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.17M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-1.0
Beta (1Y)
2.13
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
0.22%
Country
Sweden
Employees
2
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Biotechnology

Modus Therapeutics Holding AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Modus Therapeutics Holding AB (publ), a biotechnology company, develops a treatment for sepsis and septic shock in Sweden. It develops Sevuparin, a lipopolysaccharide in Phase IIa trial to treat patients with sepsis, septic shock, anemia associated w...

How the Company Makes Money

Modus Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotechnology company and, based on publicly available information, it does not appear to generate recurring commercial product revenue. Its business model is primarily to fund and advance its drug development p...

Modus Therapeutics Holding AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Modus Therapeutics is a pre-revenue, clinical-stage biotech with no sales recorded from 2021 through the latest twelve months and persistent net losses of roughly SEK 15–21 million per year (SEK 17.6 million in the TTM period). Operating cash flow was approximately SEK -18.6 million, with free cash flow equally negative given the absence of capital spending. The balance sheet offers partial offset: debt has been zero since 2023 and equity has been rebuilt to about SEK 10.2 million against SEK 13.3 million of total assets. However, that equity base is smaller than the annual burn, implying under a year of self-funded runway and a high probability of further dilutive capital raises. Return on equity remains deeply negative (about -177%), and funding volatility across 2023–2025 underlines the reliance on external capital.

Income Statement

7Very Negative

Balance Sheet

38Negative

Cash Flow

9Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue000000
Gross Profit000000
EBITDA-17.47M-18.17M-15.84M2,0000-20.69M
Net Income-17.59M-18.54M-15.54M-17.90M-18.32M-20.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.28M12.69M4.88M20.04M11.27M21.19M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.49M11.37M4.38M19.06M10.42M20.65M
Total Debt000011.50M0
Total Liabilities3.04M3.62M2.75M2.36M13.86M5.46M
Stockholders Equity10.24M9.07M2.14M17.68M-2.58M15.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-18.57M-18.07M-14.68M-16.68M-21.72M-16.08M
Operating Cash Flow-18.57M-18.07M-14.68M-16.68M-21.72M-16.08M
Investing Cash Flow00000-50.00K
Financing Cash Flow29.16M25.07M025.32M11.50M29.43M

Modus Therapeutics Holding AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.18

Price Trends

50DMA0.35Negative
100DMA0.37Negative
200DMA0.36Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.06Positive
RSI23.08Positive
STOCH23.56Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:MODTX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.26, below the 50-day MA of 0.35, and below the 200-day MA of 0.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.08 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:MODTX.

Modus Therapeutics Holding AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

SE:MODTX against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SE:CANTASE:CANTA70OutperformSEK 451.68M2.3563.09%―――
SE:HNSASE:HNSA55NeutralSEK 4.00B-5.00――-3.57%8.84%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
SE:BINVSE:BINV43NeutralSEK 357.32M-0.73-128.54%―-83.67%-50.29%
SE:IMMUSE:IMMU43NeutralSEK 348.89M-3.07-18.05%――15.97%
SE:MODTXSE:MODTX40UnderperformSEK 31.19M-1.02-177.45%――0.22%
SE:VICOSE:VICO39UnderperformSEK 2.73B-5.05-53.71%―-48.40%-1.06%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%SE:MODTXSE:HNSASE:BINVSE:VICOSE:IMMUSE:CANTADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
SE:MODTX and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SE:MODTXModus Therapeutics Holding AB0.18-0.22-54.68%
SE:HNSAHansa Biopharma39.348.3426.90%
SE:BINVBioInvent International AB5.43-28.47-83.98%
SE:VICOVicore Pharma Holding AB9.70-1.18-10.85%
SE:IMMUImmunicum AB5.50-1.89-25.58%
SE:CANTACantargia AB1.60-1.97-55.13%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 21, 2026