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Impact Coatings AB (IMPC) AI Stock Analysis

SE:IMPC

Impact Coatings AB

(Nasdaq OMX AB:IMPC)

Select Model
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:SEK 3.00â–¼(-2.28% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/24/26

Impact Coatings scores below average, driven primarily by weak fundamentals: persistent losses, negative TTM gross margins, continuous cash burn and an equity base that has shrunk roughly 34% since 2023, which could force external funding if the recovery stalls. The debt-free balance sheet and narrowing losses provide some cushion. The latest earnings call is a genuine positive — the first positive quarterly EBIT and net income, more than doubled quarterly sales, improved margins and lower costs — and technicals are modestly supportive with the shares above their 20-, 50- and 200-day averages on neutral momentum readings. Valuation offers no support given negative earnings and no dividend. On balance this remains a speculative, pre-profitability story where one strong quarter has yet to prove it is sustainable.

Positive Factors
Revenue and Margin ImprovementStrong quarterly and year-to-date sales growth, alongside higher gross margin, indicates improving commercial traction and operating economics. If maintained, this combination can support better absorption of fixed costs and create a more credible path toward sustainable profitability.
Negative Factors
Persistent Cash BurnNegative operating and free cash flow show that the business is not yet funding operations internally, despite recent improvements in sales and margins. Continued cash consumption can constrain investment, increase reliance on external funding, and create dilution risk if the turnaround takes longer.

Impact Coatings AB (IMPC) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%SE:IMPC+114.39%EWD+13.33%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
SEK 323.02M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
112.61K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-12.4
Beta (1Y)
-0.14
Revenue Growth
6.10%
EPS Growth
51.80%
Country
Sweden
Employees
43
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

Impact Coatings AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Impact Coatings AB (publ), a global enterprise established in Linköping, Sweden in 1997, focuses on developing and commercializing advanced physical vapor deposition (PVD) surface treatment solutions. The company's product line features the INLINECOA...

How the Company Makes Money

Impact Coatings primarily makes money by selling PVD/vacuum coating systems (capital equipment) to industrial customers. These equipment sales are typically the largest and most visible revenue events and may include system design/configuration, deli...

Impact Coatings AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 20, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-0.97%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly positive: the company delivered strong year-over-year revenue growth, returned to positive quarterly EBIT and net income, improved gross margin, reduced personnel costs, added customers, won a competitive Romanian order, and reported progress in hydrogen, SOFC, and industrial-partner initiatives. Offsetting concerns included moderate order intake, negative year-to-date cash flow, a lower cash balance than at year-end, Shanghai capacity limits, longer SOFC qualification cycles, and continued weakness in the automotive market.

Positive Updates

Positive Q3 Net Income and Operating Results
The company reported positive net income of SEK 3.6 million in Q3 2026, compared with SEK -12.1 million in Q3 2025. EBIT was SEK 3.8 million, and both EBITDA and EBIT were positive. Net income was positive both including and excluding sales of recovered metals.

Negative Updates

Moderate Q3 Order Intake
Q3 order intake was described as moderate at SEK 9.5 million.

Company Guidance

Management said it will continue to focus on sales and customer development, while cost control, cash flow, and improved margins remain essential as it works towards long-term profitability; the customer-development target is approximately two per month, with five new paying customers in Q3 and 18 new paying customers this year. In Shanghai, overtime might not be enough to fulfill customer demand in the forecast from customers today for the rest of the year, in which case the company needs to go to two shifts, although it may work with overtime or other means to make it work with one shift; management is looking forward to full two shift production. For SOFC, management expects either a ramp-up during next year in Coating Services or machine sales relatively soon, and said HJWAVE’s expansion plans require more than one machine, dependent on successful expansion.

Impact Coatings AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Weak overall. The income statement (18) is the biggest drag: losses in every period shown, a TTM net loss of SEK 24.7m on SEK 76.5m of revenue (-75% net margin), and a gross margin that has turned negative (-88% TTM) after 57–60% levels in 2023–2024, implying revenue does not currently cover direct costs. Cash flow (27) is negative throughout, with TTM operating cash flow of SEK -24.6m, though burn is narrowing sharply from SEK -72.9m in 2024. The balance sheet (58) is the offset: zero debt, equity funding about 72% of a SEK 193m asset base, but book value has eroded roughly 34% since 2023 as accumulated losses mount, pointing to a finite runway and possible future financing or dilution.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

27Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue76.50M47.30M110.30M99.10M32.02M57.20M
Gross Profit-31.20M-50.80M63.10M57.60M19.33M22.66M
EBITDA-22.00M-43.10M-25.80M-27.30M-44.20M-29.41M
Net Income-24.70M-45.90M-29.60M-32.00M-47.00M-32.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets193.00M206.00M269.20M282.50M152.58M173.45M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.10M37.40M29.80M119.80M58.69M129.47M
Total Debt027.50M0000
Total Liabilities54.30M51.50M86.50M73.00M38.71M12.81M
Stockholders Equity138.70M154.50M182.70M209.50M113.87M160.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-21.30M-47.70M-72.90M-69.30M-68.26M-33.86M
Operating Cash Flow-24.60M-39.80M-72.90M-42.10M-42.38M-31.76M
Investing Cash Flow-2.80M-7.80M-16.70M-27.20M-25.88M-2.10M
Financing Cash Flow27.90M52.10M0129.80M-1,000113.70M

Impact Coatings AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3.07

Price Trends

50DMA3.05Positive
100DMA3.34Negative
200DMA2.72Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.03Positive
RSI46.76Neutral
STOCH9.54Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:IMPC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.14, above the 50-day MA of 3.05, and above the 200-day MA of 2.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.54 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:IMPC.

Impact Coatings AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

SE:IMPC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SE:SINTSE:SINT71OutperformSEK 743.24M39.0725.77%4.27%-19.19%-43.88%
SE:TREL.BSE:TREL.B69NeutralSEK 98.87B25.2910.57%1.77%1.86%11.09%
SE:ALFASE:ALFA67NeutralSEK 225.51B27.7117.58%1.65%4.27%-2.41%
SE:SANDSE:SAND65NeutralSEK 450.20B23.6018.92%1.67%14.34%29.04%
SE:NMANSE:NMAN60NeutralSEK 4.86B21.66―2.89%-6.05%-24.08%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
SE:IMPCSE:IMPC47NeutralSEK 323.02M-12.36――6.10%51.80%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%SE:IMPCSE:ALFASE:SANDSE:TREL.BSE:SINTSE:NMANDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
SE:IMPC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SE:IMPCImpact Coatings AB3.071.66117.27%
SE:ALFAAlfa Laval AB545.60106.8324.35%
SE:SANDSandvik AB (UK)358.9077.9627.75%
SE:TREL.BTrelleborg AB451.2065.7317.05%
SE:SINTSinterCast AB105.500.060.06%
SE:NMANNederman Holding AB138.40-19.61-12.41%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2026