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Ascelia Pharma AB (ACE) AI Stock Analysis

SE:ACE

Ascelia Pharma AB

(Nasdaq OMX AB:ACE)

Select Model
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:SEK 0.56â–¼(-3.97% Downside)
Action:upgraded
Date:10/13/26

The overall score is heavily pressured by the company's pre-revenue status and significant cash burn, which present a high-risk profile. The clean balance sheet with minimal debt provides some stability, but the shrinking asset base is a major concern. Technicals show a neutral short-term picture within a long-term downtrend, and the negative P/E ratio confirms the lack of current profitability. The primary risk is the finite cash runway, which is the most critical factor for investors to monitor.

Positive Factors
Low LeverageVery low leverage limits interest and refinancing pressure while preserving flexibility to fund development or respond to setbacks. Although the company remains loss-making, its conservative debt profile reduces balance-sheet risk over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Pre-Revenue BusinessThe company has not yet established recurring product revenue, so its business model remains dependent on development success before commercial economics can emerge. The absence of revenue also means fixed development costs currently translate directly into continued operating losses.

Ascelia Pharma AB (ACE) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

-100%-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%SE:ACE-81.17%EWD+13.33%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
SEK 77.45M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.03M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-1.2
Beta (1Y)
0.62
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
58.15%
Country
Sweden
Employees
10
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Biotechnology

Ascelia Pharma AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ascelia Pharma AB (publ) is a Swedish biotechnology company concentrating on the development of orphan drugs for cancer treatment. The firm is currently progressing Mangoral, an innovative non-gadolinium contrast agent, through Phase 3 clinical trial...

How the Company Makes Money

Ascelia Pharma’s business model is centered on successfully developing, obtaining regulatory approval for, and then commercializing its product candidates, with future revenues expected to come primarily from product sales of its lead candidate, Orvi...

Ascelia Pharma AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The company is pre-revenue with deeply negative margins, resulting in a minimal Income Statement score. The balance sheet is clean with negligible debt, but assets are shrinking rapidly due to cash burn. Cash flow is a critical concern with a high and consistent burn rate, though it has improved from 2023 peaks. Overall, the financial profile is high-risk, typical of clinical-stage biotech, with survival dependent on the current cash runway.

Income Statement

1Very Negative

Balance Sheet

65Positive

Cash Flow

10Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue000000
Gross Profit0-888.00K-938.00K-1.05M-3.89M-8.72M
EBITDA-59.92M-73.24M-66.83M-108.56M-132.06M-128.42M
Net Income-60.13M-76.25M-80.03M-109.29M-131.22M-125.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets100.23M111.94M140.92M87.07M218.57M333.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments38.05M49.86M75.26M21.86M149.56M261.60M
Total Debt490.00K1.04M25.40M1.06M484.00K1.66M
Total Liabilities10.40M12.47M61.98M12.74M37.71M25.66M
Stockholders Equity89.83M99.47M78.94M74.33M180.86M307.83M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-67.19M-72.31M-62.84M-126.79M-125.33M-116.60M
Operating Cash Flow-67.19M-72.25M-62.84M-126.79M-125.26M-116.56M
Investing Cash Flow0-57.00K046.00K-65.00K-38.00K
Financing Cash Flow45.00M48.21M115.19M-936.00K-1,100184.87M

Ascelia Pharma AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price0.58

Price Trends

50DMA0.63Negative
100DMA0.94Negative
200DMA1.96Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.04Positive
RSI46.86Neutral
STOCH52.30Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:ACE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.62, below the 50-day MA of 0.63, and below the 200-day MA of 1.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SE:ACE.

Ascelia Pharma AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

SE:ACE against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SE:CANTASE:CANTA70OutperformSEK 451.68M2.3563.09%―――
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
SE:ONCOSE:ONCO47NeutralSEK 721.66M-2.14――87.23%35.27%
SE:BINVSE:BINV43NeutralSEK 357.32M-0.73-128.54%―-83.67%-50.29%
SE:IMMUSE:IMMU43NeutralSEK 348.89M-3.07-18.05%――15.97%
SE:ACESE:ACE42NeutralSEK 77.45M-1.20-62.21%――58.15%
SE:ONCOZSE:ONCOZ38UnderperformSEK 85.84M-1.62-2775.09%―115.26%-230.43%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%SE:ACESE:BINVSE:ONCOSE:ONCOZSE:IMMUSE:CANTADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
SE:ACE and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SE:ACEAscelia Pharma AB0.58-2.63-81.93%
SE:BINVBioInvent International AB5.43-28.47-83.98%
SE:ONCOOncopeptides AB1.67-3.75-69.16%
SE:ONCOZOncoZenge AB3.11-1.14-26.75%
SE:IMMUImmunicum AB5.50-1.89-25.58%
SE:CANTACantargia AB1.60-1.97-55.13%

Ascelia Pharma AB Corporate Events

Ascelia Pharma Charts New Path for Orviglance After FDA Meeting

Oct 11, 2026

Ascelia Pharma has received official minutes from its Type A meeting with the U.S. FDA regarding the Complete Response Letter for the Orviglance New Drug Application, confirming that the agency still wants additional clinical evidence, ideally from a...

Ascelia Pharma’s Orviglance Study Published in Leading MRI Journal

Sep 24, 2026

Ascelia Pharma AB, a Malmö-based biotech company listed on Nasdaq Stockholm and focused on orphan oncology treatments, is developing two key drug candidates: Orviglance, a manganese-based MRI contrast agent for liver imaging, and Oncoral. The co...

Ascelia Pharma Holds FDA Type A Meeting on Orviglance NDA

Sep 10, 2026

Ascelia Pharma has completed a Type A meeting with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration to discuss the Complete Response Letter issued for the Orviglance New Drug Application. The meeting was aimed at clarifying the steps required to secure U.S. reg...

Ascelia Pharma Tightens Costs After FDA Setback on Orviglance

Aug 20, 2026

Ascelia Pharma reported that its primary focus in the first half of 2026 has been advancing Orviglance through the U.S. regulatory process and preparing for potential commercial partnering once approval is secured. The company completed a SEK 20 mill...

Ascelia Pharma Secures FDA Type A Meeting on Orviglance NDA

Aug 17, 2026

Ascelia Pharma said the U.S. Food and Drug Administration has scheduled a Type A meeting on September 9, 2026 to discuss the Complete Response Letter issued for the New Drug Application of Orviglance. The meeting will allow the company and the regula...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 13, 2026