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B Riley Financial (RILY) AI Stock Analysis

RILY

B Riley Financial

(NASDAQ:RILY)

Select Model
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:$4.50â–²(10.84% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/01/26

The overall score of 63 reflects a company with a significantly improved financial foundation and positive strategic developments, offset by very weak technical market sentiment. The primary strength is the dramatically deleveraged balance sheet and an extremely low P/E ratio, suggesting deep value. However, the stock is under severe technical pressure, trading below all major moving averages with deeply oversold momentum indicators, which is the most significant risk factor. Positive corporate events, including an acquisition and enhanced financial flexibility, provide a moderate uplift.

Positive Factors
TTM Profitability ReboundThe return to positive earnings and strong TTM operating and net margins provides evidence that the business can restore profitability after severe losses. If sustained, improved earnings can support internal funding, strengthen operating resilience, and help rebuild financial capacity over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet StressNegative equity combined with historically high debt signals material balance-sheet stress and reduced financial flexibility. This can constrain capital allocation, make the company more sensitive to operating setbacks, and leave less room to absorb volatility while management works through its financing structure.

B Riley Financial (RILY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%RILY-8.76%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$163.21M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
688.41K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
0.3
Beta (1Y)
1.24
Revenue Growth
49.44%
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
1,380
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Financial - Conglomerates

B Riley Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

BRC Group Holdings is a diversified holding company that operates through several segments, including financial services, telecom, and retail. Its core financial services platform provides investment banking, brokerage, wealth management, asset manag...

B Riley Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026(Q1-2026)|% Change Since:-53.28%|Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2024
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call conveyed a predominantly positive quarter driven by substantial investment mark-to-market gains, a strong rebound in Capital Markets results, significant debt reduction and improved operating metrics (operating adjusted EBITDA up ~40% sequentially). Management highlighted momentum in capital raising, active balance sheet management, and operational normalization after prior remediation. However, meaningful caveats remain: a large portion of the year-over-year improvement stems from non-recurring investment valuation gains (notably Babcock & Wilcox), cash declined quarter-over-quarter, private equity realizations reduced certain holdings, and material debt maturities remain later in 2026. Management emphasized ongoing cost/operational optimization, recovery of client relationships after prior delinquency, and strategic actions (BRS minority buyout, platform synergies) that should support continued improvement.

Positive Updates

Strong Quarterly Profitability and Adjusted EBITDA
Net income available to common shareholders of $211.3M and adjusted EBITDA of $262.2M for Q1 2026; adjusted EBITDA swung from a loss of $45M in Q1 2025 to $262.2M in Q1 2026.

Negative Updates

Revenue Driven by Non-Recurring/Volatile Investment Gains
A substantial portion of the YoY revenue increase is attributable to fair value appreciation and trading gains (notably Babcock & Wilcox), introducing earnings volatility and reliance on investment mark-ups rather than purely recurring operating revenue.

Company Guidance

Management's guidance was that momentum should continue and the company will prioritize balance‑sheet strengthening and reinvesting operating cash flow into the core franchise while using capital actions to fund opportunities and retire debt; they reported Q1 results of net income available to common shareholders of $211.3M, adjusted EBITDA of $262.2M (operating adjusted EBITDA $34.6M, up ~40% sequentially), diluted EPS $6.57 and total revenues $352M (vs. $186M a year ago) driven by $161M higher trading gains and a $229M total Babcock & Wilcox valuation increase (27.4M shares at $14.69); liquidity/capital metrics include cash & equivalents of $178M (down from $229M), securities & other investments $640M (up $193M), loans receivable $24.9M, equity‑method investments $90.7M, total debt of ~$1.3B (down $129M in Q1) and net debt of $372M (down ~$255M YTD), with upcoming maturities of RILYN $167M (9/30) and RILYG $170M (12/31) plus $7M of subsidiary paydowns — actions to address these (buybacks, exchanges, asset sales) are expected to continue; they also highlighted strong commercial momentum (nearly $10B of capital raises in the quarter, $8.7B of new ATMs filed including $6B for IREN and $1B for SMR, 26 research initiations, Wealth AUM $11.9B with 190 RRs) and said merger synergies from combining B. Riley Securities and B. Riley Wealth and further OpEx savings (including lower audit/accounting fees) remain priorities, though synergies were not yet quantified.

B Riley Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is mixed. The balance sheet has improved dramatically with zero debt and positive equity, reducing risk. Profitability is strong on a TTM basis, but revenue is declining and earnings are volatile. Cash flow is positive but modest relative to net income.

Income Statement

60Neutral

Balance Sheet

75Positive

Cash Flow

60Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.31B1.03B1.16B1.45B993.82M1.55B
Gross Profit984.40M669.84M716.43M913.22M748.03M1.42B
EBITDA552.56M357.47M-700.02M6.57M-153.37M733.09M
Net Income411.74M307.42M-764.27M-99.91M-159.83M445.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.97B1.71B1.78B6.08B6.11B5.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments154.11M226.60M154.88M222.69M268.62M278.93M
Total Debt1.32B1.47B1.84B2.45B2.55B2.10B
Total Liabilities1.77B1.83B2.24B5.72B5.43B4.80B
Stockholders Equity142.17M-171.53M-488.18M291.12M446.51M661.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow322.94M-71.03M255.60M16.79M2.73M50.22M
Operating Cash Flow327.35M-59.71M263.55M24.50M6.65M50.89M
Investing Cash Flow-320.25M311.48M440.53M301.17M-32.29M-956.53M
Financing Cash Flow-117.52M-279.37M-671.95M-365.92M17.64M1.08B

B Riley Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price4.06

Price Trends

50DMA5.61Negative
100DMA6.58Negative
200DMA7.32Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.42Negative
RSI31.89Neutral
STOCH39.23Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RILY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.56, below the 50-day MA of 5.61, and below the 200-day MA of 7.32, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 31.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RILY.

B Riley Financial Risk Analysis

B Riley Financial disclosed 75 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. B Riley Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.Our use of artificial intelligence ("AI") technology and the incorporation of AI technology carry risks and challenges that could adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations, and prospects.Q2, 2026

B Riley Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

RILY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TREETREE76Outperform$392.27M2.1269.56%―25.29%―
OVBCOVBC71Outperform$227.16M15.718.46%2.03%8.40%2.21%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
MSDLMSDL65Neutral$1.17B20.183.48%13.34%-14.75%-64.13%
RILYRILY63Neutral$163.21M0.30-775.03%―49.44%―
INBKINBK62Neutral$225.41M15.014.17%0.93%7.39%―
SAMGSAMG49Neutral$133.51M94.835.90%7.51%1.17%-83.06%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%RILYOVBCTREEINBKSAMGMSDLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
RILY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
RILYB. Riley Financial4.06-0.71-14.88%
OVBCOhio Valley Banc48.2213.7039.69%
TREELendingtree Inc27.94-37.80-57.50%
INBKFirst Internet Bancorp25.817.6241.90%
SAMGSilverCrest Asset Management11.18-2.10-15.83%
MSDLMorgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund13.87-1.23-8.12%

B Riley Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions

B Riley Financial streamlines securities unit via merger

Neutral
Oct 28, 2026

On October 22, 2026, BRC Group Holdings completed a short-form merger in Delaware in which its indirect subsidiary BRSH Merger Sub LLC merged into B. Riley Securities Holdings, Inc., with BRSH surviving as a wholly owned entity. At the effective time...

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing

B Riley Financial Announces Sangoma Technologies Acquisition Agreement

Positive
Oct 1, 2026

On September 28, 2026, BRC Group Holdings agreed to acquire Sangoma Technologies Corporation, a Toronto-listed and Nasdaq-listed provider of cloud, hybrid and on‑premises communications solutions, valuing Sangoma at about $204 million. Sangoma,...

Executive/Board Changes

B Riley Extends Co-CEO Bryant Riley Incentive Compensation

Positive
Aug 28, 2026

On August 25, 2026, BRC Group Holdings, Inc.’s Compensation Committee approved an amendment to the employment agreement of Co-Chief Executive Officer Bryant R. Riley, extending his compensation through the company’s incentive program unti...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

B Riley Modifies Credit Agreement to Boost Financial Flexibility

Positive
Aug 13, 2026

On August 7, 2026, BRC Group Holdings, Inc. and its subsidiary BR Financial Holdings, LLC amended their existing credit agreement with a lender group led by Oaktree Fund Administration, LLC, revising the borrowing base by removing certain assets whil...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 01, 2026