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Rafael Holdings (RFL) AI Stock Analysis

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RFL

Rafael Holdings

(NYSE:RFL)

Select Model
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:$1.00â–¼(-9.91% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/30/26

The overall score of 42 reflects a company in a precarious position. The most significant factor is the deeply unprofitable core operations, which continue to erode shareholder equity despite a strong balance sheet. This is compounded by a decisively bearish technical trend and a negative P/E ratio. While the recent positive cash flow and a debt-free balance sheet provide some buffer, they are overshadowed by the lack of a clear path to sustainable profitability and weak market sentiment.

Positive Factors
Low Financial LeverageVery low leverage reduces mandatory financing demands and preserves financial flexibility while Rafael develops its biotechnology assets and manages its real estate interests. A modest debt burden can also improve resilience during periods of operating losses, provided cash resources remain sufficient.
Negative Factors
Persistent Unprofitable OperationsVery small and declining revenue alongside a substantial net loss shows that Rafael has not yet demonstrated sustainable operating profitability. Continued losses can consume capital, constrain investment choices, and make future earnings dependent on investment results or successful biotech development.

Rafael Holdings (RFL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%RFL-9.02%SPY+13.89%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$57.05M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
143.41K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-1.9
Beta (1Y)
0.68
Revenue Growth
-4.69%
EPS Growth
43.74%
Country
US
Employees
17
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Real Estate - Services

Rafael Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Rafael Holdings, Inc. holds strategic investments in both early-stage and clinical pharmaceutical companies, alongside a portfolio of commercial real estate assets situated in the United States and Israel. The company's business activities are struct...

How the Company Makes Money

Rafael Holdings generates earnings primarily through (1) real estate-related income from properties it owns and leases (e.g., rental revenue and related property income, net of operating expenses), and (2) investment-related gains/losses and income f...

Rafael Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is deeply distressed. The income statement shows persistent, massive operating losses with no clear growth trajectory, despite a high gross margin. The balance sheet is a relative strength with minimal debt, but shareholder equity is eroding rapidly. Cash flow has recently turned positive, providing a critical lifeline, but its sustainability is highly uncertain given the ongoing operational losses.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

65Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJul 2026Jul 2025Oct 2024Jul 2023Oct 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue874.00K874.00K917.00K637.00K279.00K410.00K
Gross Profit578.00K628.00K495.00K483.00K279.00K410.00K
EBITDA-28.67M-33.20M-32.25M-66.79M-8.67M-139.89M
Net Income-29.64M-29.64M-30.52M-34.41M-1.88M-124.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets83.06M83.06M114.11M96.83M98.83M118.32M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.07M22.07M52.77M65.94M79.51M63.23M
Total Debt610.00K610.00K692.00K2.39M015.00M
Total Liabilities11.09M11.09M15.74M10.57M2.20M21.11M
Stockholders Equity66.31M66.31M94.39M82.19M100.29M100.52M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-29.98M14.32M-18.93M-7.98M40.79M-26.08M
Operating Cash Flow-29.98M14.32M-18.92M-7.80M-10.89M-26.08M
Investing Cash Flow-676.00K-676.00K44.03M-10.82M21.21M-63.80M
Financing Cash Flow-128.00K-116.00K24.83M-179.00K-15.22M103.86M

Rafael Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1.11

Price Trends

50DMA1.60Negative
100DMA1.95Negative
200DMA1.67Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.14Negative
RSI37.19Neutral
STOCH42.63Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RFL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.16, below the 50-day MA of 1.60, and below the 200-day MA of 1.67, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RFL.

Rafael Holdings Risk Analysis

Rafael Holdings disclosed 78 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rafael Holdings reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Tech & Innovation - Risks related to the company’s reliance on technology and ability to make innovative products

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.The relationships between Howard S. Jonas other companies, including and IDT Corporation and Genie Energy, could conflict with our stockholders' interests.Q2, 2025
2.If we are unable to successfully integrate Cyclo's team and operation with ours, we would not be able to fully realize the benefits of the Merger and our operations and financial condition could be adversely affected.Q2, 2025
3.We and the Portfolio Companies may, in the future, form or seek collaborations or strategic alliances or enter into licensing arrangements, and we and/or the Portfolio Companies may not realize the benefits of such collaborations, alliances or licensing arrangements.Q2, 2025

Rafael Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

RFL against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
COMPCOMP59Neutral$7.88B51.795.49%―89.80%―
AGNTAGNT54Neutral$468.61M-17.60-9.51%7.46%7.72%-22.43%
DOUGDOUG47Neutral$158.26M2.6632.79%―-3.46%―
REAXREAX47Neutral$427.92M-3.67-54.32%―32.27%-463.00%
RFLRFL42Neutral$56.89M-1.87-38.73%―-4.69%43.74%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%RFLAGNTREAXCOMPDOUGDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
RFL and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
RFLRafael Holdings1.11-0.11-9.02%
AGNTExp World Holdings, Inc.2.68-7.75-74.31%
REAXReal Brokerage Inc.10.69-26.31-71.11%
COMPCompass Inc10.260.859.03%
DOUGDouglas Elliman Inc.1.70-0.71-29.46%

Rafael Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Rafael Holdings Submits NDA for Lead Rare Disease Drug

Positive
Oct 29, 2026

Rafael Holdings reported results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year ended July 31, 2026, highlighting progress across its portfolio despite continued losses. The company’s lead asset, remibetadex for Niemann-Pick Disease Type C, advanced wit...

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Rafael Holdings Reports Positive Phase 3 Trappsol Cyclo Data

Positive
Sep 30, 2026

On September 30, 2026, Rafael Holdings reported topline Phase 3 data from its TransportNPC study of Trappsol Cyclo in 94 Niemann‑Pick Disease Type C patients, showing a favorable but not statistically significant effect versus placebo on the primary...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026