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Rent the Runway (RENT) AI Stock Analysis

RENT

Rent the Runway

(NASDAQ:RENT)

Select Model
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:$2.50â–²(14.68% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/27/26

RENT's score is primarily constrained by fragile financial quality, negative free cash flow, and weak medium- and long-term technical positioning. Strong revenue and profitability improvement, unusually low reported P/E, reaffirmed guidance, and strengthened liquidity provide meaningful support, but subscriber pressure, expected near-term EBITDA losses, and financing risk limit the upside.

Positive Factors
Revenue and Margin ExpansionRecord revenue growth alongside substantial gross-margin expansion indicates improving monetization and operating efficiency. If sustained, stronger unit economics can support reinvestment in inventory, technology, and customer experience while increasing the platform’s ability to scale profitably.
Negative Factors
Negative Shareholder EquityNegative equity remains a structural balance-sheet weakness even after debt reduction. It limits financial flexibility, increases sensitivity to refinancing and credit conditions, and leaves less capital cushion to absorb operating setbacks or fund inventory and technology investments internally.

Rent the Runway Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Subscriber BreakdownProvides a detailed look at the composition of subscribers, revealing trends in customer acquisition, retention, and the overall health of the subscription model.

0.00100.00K200.00K300.00K400.00K500.00KJan 21Apr 21Jul 21Oct 21Jan 22Apr 22Jul 22Oct 22Jan 23Apr 23Jul 23Oct 23Jan 24Apr 24Jul 24Oct 24Jan 25Apr 25Jul 25Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26
Chart Insights

Subscriber growth has become the lever for Rent the Runway’s recovery—ending and average active subscribers accelerated into early‑2026 after the FY2025 inventory build, validating the strategy with higher engagement and record totals. That said, management warns growth may decelerate from the ~20% YoY pace, will materially pull back new-buy inventory next year, and is shifting mix toward revenue‑share stock; expect continued top‑line momentum but near‑term margin and cash‑flow pressure as the company balances growth versus profitability.

Data provided by:The Fly

Rent the Runway (RENT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-50%0%50%100%150%RENT-39.63%SPY+13.13%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$81.56M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
626.11K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
0.2
Beta (1Y)
2.53
Revenue Growth
21.17%
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
979
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Apparel - Retail

Rent the Runway Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Rent the Runway, Inc. operates a service that leases premium women's fashion and apparel. Customers can access these offerings through the company's online platform and its physical retail locations. Their extensive inventory spans a broad spectrum o...

How the Company Makes Money

Rent the Runway primarily generates revenue from apparel rentals delivered through its subscription offerings and related rental services. The core revenue stream is subscription revenue, where customers pay recurring fees for access to a plan that a...

Rent the Runway Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 10, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-22.70%|Next Earnings Date:Dec 08, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive. The company reported record revenue, strong year-over-year gross margin and adjusted EBITDA improvement, better year-to-date free cash flow, reaffirmed full-year guidance, continued customer-experience innovation, and additional liquidity support. These positives were tempered by a 3.8% decline in ending active subscribers, lower Reserve revenue, negative year-to-date free cash flow, paused initiatives, and expectations for flat to 3% Q3 revenue growth and negative Q3 adjusted EBITDA.

Positive Updates

Record Quarterly Revenue
Second-quarter net revenue was $97.7 million, or approximately $98 million, an all-time company record. Revenue increased 20.8% year-over-year and 8.7% sequentially, ahead of the range communicated in June.

Negative Updates

Decline in Ending Active Subscribers
The company ended Q2 with 140,826 active subscribers, down 3.8% year-over-year. Management attributed the decline primarily to a higher year-over-year pause rate and fewer subscribers acquired after reducing the stronger promotional activity used in 2025.

Company Guidance

For fiscal year 2026, Rent the Runway reiterated its double-digit revenue growth guidance and adjusted EBITDA guidance of 4%-7% of revenue, expects rental product investment to be in the range of $53 million-$55 million, compared with fiscal year 2025 of $75 million and previous guidance of $45 million-$50 million, and continues to expect improved free cash flow in 2026 compared to last year; for Q3 2026, it expects revenue to be between $87 million and $90 million, representing between flat to 3% growth versus Q3 2025, active subscribers to be roughly flat in the back half of 2026, Resale revenue to continue to grow in the second half, Reserve orders to grow, and adjusted EBITDA to be between negative 3% and negative 6% of revenue.

Rent the Runway Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue and profitability have improved substantially, but negative equity, historically significant losses, and persistently negative free cash flow keep financial risk elevated.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

48Neutral

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue366.90M329.80M306.20M298.20M296.40M203.30M
Gross Profit260.40M196.00M67.70M60.80M55.10M8.90M
EBITDA188.40M65.70M13.30M25.70M-4.70M-67.20M
Net Income43.30M22.60M-69.90M-113.20M-138.70M-211.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets192.40M221.00M509.60M534.60M336.20M447.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.00M50.40M77.40M84.00M154.50M247.60M
Total Debt196.00M198.30M380.80M356.60M315.20M312.80M
Total Liabilities257.90M257.10M692.10M656.90M371.50M376.40M
Stockholders Equity-65.50M-36.10M-182.50M-122.30M-35.30M71.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-50.30M-46.60M-40.70M-98.20M-118.70M-83.40M
Operating Cash Flow700.00K3.50M12.90M-15.70M-47.70M-42.30M
Investing Cash Flow-35.40M-49.50M-20.10M-54.60M-44.30M-22.50M
Financing Cash Flow19.70M18.60M-300.00K700.00K-4.00M215.20M

Rent the Runway Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price2.18

Price Trends

50DMA2.41Positive
100DMA2.91Negative
200DMA4.08Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.12Negative
RSI55.54Neutral
STOCH61.32Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RENT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.07, below the 50-day MA of 2.41, and below the 200-day MA of 4.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RENT.

Rent the Runway Risk Analysis

Rent the Runway disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rent the Runway reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Rent the Runway Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

RENT against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
RENTRENT57Neutral$81.56M0.19-91.16%―21.17%―
SFIXSFIX52Neutral$360.73M-28.69-6.22%―6.39%57.76%
TLYSTLYS52Neutral$128.77M59.302.37%―6.07%―
LVLULVLU48Neutral$32.76M-3.88-903.25%―-10.40%83.52%
CURVCURV42Neutral$243.32M-26.994.27%―-11.16%-384.28%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%200%400%RENTTLYSSFIXCURVLVLUDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
RENT and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
RENTRent The Runway, Inc.2.42-1.38-36.45%
TLYSTilly's4.212.72182.55%
SFIXStitch Fix2.70-1.45-34.94%
CURVTorrid Holdings, Inc.2.441.1893.65%
LVLULulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc.11.416.91153.56%

Rent the Runway Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Rent the Runway Strengthens Liquidity With New Equity Financing

Positive
Oct 26, 2026

On October 20, 2026, Rent the Runway completed a $15 million rights offering, through which subscribers purchased 2,501,262 shares of Class A common stock, generating approximately $8.9 million in gross proceeds. Under a backstop agreement with CHS U...

Private Placements and Financing

Rent the Runway concludes shareholder rights offering period

Neutral
Oct 14, 2026

On October 14, 2026, Rent the Runway’s subscription period for its previously announced $15,000,000 rights offering expired at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time. Any rights that were not exercised by that deadline lapsed and can no longer be used, effecti...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Rent the Runway Launches $15M Share Rights Offering

Positive
Sep 30, 2026

On September 30, 2026, Rent the Runway launched a previously announced $15 million rights offering for holders of its Class A common stock as of the September 25, 2026 record date, subject to due bill trading procedures that shift rights to purchaser...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Rent the Runway Announces $15 Million Rights Offering

Neutral
Sep 15, 2026

On September 15, 2026, Rent the Runway announced that it will conduct a $15 million rights offering, setting September 25, 2026 as the record date for determining eligible holders of its Class A common stock. The offering will grant these shareholder...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Rent the Runway Announces $15 Million Rights Backstop

Positive
Sep 11, 2026

On September 11, 2026, Rent the Runway entered into a $15 million rights offering backstop agreement with an investor group comprising CHS US Investments, Gateway Runway and S3 RR Aggregator to bolster its financial position and flexibility. The comp...

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings

Rent the Runway Settles IPO-Related Securities Class Action

Neutral
Sep 4, 2026

On September 3, 2026, Rent the Runway entered into a Stipulation and Agreement of Settlement to resolve a putative securities class action filed on November 14, 2022 in the Eastern District of New York, which alleged misleading statements and omissio...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Rent the Runway Secures New $10M Term Loan

Positive
Sep 1, 2026

On September 1, 2026, Rent the Runway, Inc. entered into a Third Amendment to its Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with its existing lenders and CHS (US) Management LLC as administrative agent. The amendment establishes an incremental term loan...

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Rent the Runway Updates Bylaws and Governance Framework

Neutral
Aug 13, 2026

On August 11, 2026, Rent the Runway’s board approved conforming amendments to its Third Amended & Restated Bylaws, following the earlier stockholder-approved filing of its Thirteenth Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation in Dela...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2026