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Rave Restaurant Group (RAVE) AI Stock Analysis

RAVE

Rave Restaurant Group

(NASDAQ:RAVE)

Select Model
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:$2.50â–²(17.37% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/25/26

The stock’s score is driven primarily by a materially strengthened balance sheet and increasingly robust cash flows supporting a small but improving franchise business, offset by weak price momentum, contracting restaurant footprint, and earnings that rely heavily on the Pizza Inn segment. Valuation appears reasonable for the current risk-reward profile, offering some upside if operational execution and margins continue to improve.

Positive Factors
Strong profitabilitySustained net margins above 20% indicate that RAVE’s restaurant and franchise model has recently converted revenue into meaningful earnings. Maintaining this profitability can support reinvestment, strengthen resilience during operating volatility, and provide a durable base for future expansion.
Negative Factors
Uneven revenue growthAlthough revenue has increased over the full period, the decline in 2025 shows that growth has not been consistently steady. This uneven trajectory can make planning and reinvestment less predictable, while requiring continued execution to translate the 2026 rebound into durable expansion.

Rave Restaurant Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Income Before Taxes by SegmentShows pre-tax profit for each part of the business (for example, company-owned restaurants vs. franchising). Highlights which segments are truly profitable, where margins are strongest, and whether growth in sales is translating into bottom-line gains or being eroded by higher costs.

-$2.00M-$1.00M$0.00$1.00M$2.00MMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Rave’s profitability has become heavily concentrated in Pizza Inn, which shows clear, accelerating contribution and now shoulders most earnings upside; at the same time Company‑Owned Restaurants have been de‑risked to zero, implying an intentional shift to an asset‑light/franchise model. That shift’s benefit is muted by persistent corporate overhead, which hasn’t meaningfully shrunk, while Pie Five’s contribution has flattened and slid — increasing concentration risk and making margin gains contingent on Pizza Inn’s continued momentum.

Data provided by:The Fly

Rave Restaurant Group (RAVE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%RAVE-12.90%SPY+12.58%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$30.70M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
52.89K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.7
Beta (1Y)
0.79
Revenue Growth
7.23%
EPS Growth
8.40%
Country
US
Employees
24
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Restaurants

Rave Restaurant Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

RAVE Restaurant Group, Inc., through its various subsidiaries, manages a diverse portfolio of pizza restaurant concepts. It primarily operates and licenses locations under the Pizza Inn brand, which encompasses buffet, delivery/carry-out (delco), and...

How the Company Makes Money

Rave Restaurant Group makes money primarily through two channels: (1) sales generated by company-owned restaurants and (2) fees and royalties generated from franchised restaurants. 1) Company-owned restaurant sales: For restaurants it owns and operat...

Rave Restaurant Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue, profitability, leverage, and cash generation have all improved, with low debt and cash flow now comfortably covering earnings, though segment concentration, shrinking unit counts, and past one-offs temper the upside.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

88Very Positive

Cash Flow

86Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.91M12.91M12.04M12.15M11.89M10.69M
Gross Profit9.38M9.38M8.64M8.49M7.93M7.41M
EBITDA4.15M3.97M3.80M3.72M2.80M3.03M
Net Income2.88M2.88M2.70M2.47M1.61M8.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.54M19.54M16.56M15.82M14.24M18.52M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.61M13.61M9.88M7.83M5.33M7.72M
Total Debt205.00K205.00K576.00K957.00K1.42M1.94M
Total Liabilities2.21M2.21M2.40M3.12M3.85M5.10M
Stockholders Equity17.33M17.33M14.15M12.70M10.39M13.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.50M3.34M3.34M2.66M2.40M1.22M
Operating Cash Flow3.55M3.40M3.40M2.74M2.63M1.38M
Investing Cash Flow-2.04M-2.04M-2.04M-4.87M-15.00K338.00K
Financing Cash Flow-1.39M-1.39M-1.39M-311.00K-5.01M-2.33M

Rave Restaurant Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price2.13

Price Trends

50DMA2.56Negative
100DMA2.89Negative
200DMA2.86Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.10Negative
RSI38.27Neutral
STOCH30.36Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RAVE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.21, below the 50-day MA of 2.56, and below the 200-day MA of 2.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RAVE.

Rave Restaurant Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

RAVE against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
BDLBDL71Outperform$111.46M18.629.84%0.90%6.14%53.60%
RAVERAVE71Outperform$29.79M10.6717.95%―7.23%8.40%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
NDLSNDLS49Neutral$91.59M-3.7150.91%―0.19%46.85%
GTIMGTIM48Neutral$13.62M6.306.62%―-5.81%78.41%
ARKRARKR38Underperform$18.07M-5.51-9.79%―-9.48%77.31%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%RAVEARKRBDLGTIMNDLSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
RAVE and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
RAVERave Restaurant Group2.16-0.17-7.30%
ARKRArk Restaurants Corp.4.85-2.25-31.69%
BDLFlanigan's Enterprises66.4635.38113.81%
GTIMGood Times Restaurants1.33-0.01-0.75%
NDLSNoodles & Company14.909.43172.49%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 25, 2026